- Lead
- 213,949
- Total
- 1,327,591
- vs nation
- R+14.6
- Turnout
- 62.9%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,947,1972024 5-year
- Population density
- 36 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 81,759 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,2752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.4 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nebraska, NE · twin score 81.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 62.9%1,342,102 participants ÷ 2,134,490 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 44.0%–49.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,342,102 | 2,134,490 ± 3,716 | 62.9% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2022Mid | 997,607 | 2,126,123 ± 3,610 | 46.9% | Audited | E/A |
| 1,379,623 | 2,097,052 ± 3,734 | 65.8% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2018Mid | 1,070,221 | 2,077,566 ± 2,951 | 51.5% | Audited | B/A |
| 1,223,491 | 2,061,775 ± 2,925 | 59.3% | Audited | B/A | |
| 1,157,532 | 2,019,955 | 57.3% | Derived | — | |
| 1,235,872 | 1,983,023 | 62.3% | Derived | — | |
| 1,187,756 | 1,946,091 extrapolated | 61.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 284/182.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Kansas · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
54.1%
464,028 votes · D+9.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 53.7%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
72.0%
513,672 votes · R+45.0
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 68.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
570,323votes
41.5% of the vote · R+14.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 544,853 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
771,406votes
56.1% of the vote · R+14.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 758,802 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+9.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+3.7 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +2.7 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+50.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.4 · U.S. D+1.7 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +28.6 pts
On the ballot
Open seat; Gov. Laura Kelly (D) term-limited. State Sen. Cindy Holscher won the Democratic primary 48.6%-38.8% over Ethan Corson. Senate President Ty Masterson won the GOP primary with 43.2% over Philip Sarnecki (22.4%), Vicki Schmidt (13.7%) and Scott Schwab (10.9%).
Incumbent Roger Marshall won the GOP primary 79.9%-20.1%. Adam Hamilton, senior pastor of the Leawood-based Church of the Resurrection, won an 11-candidate Democratic primary with ~35%.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 1 · R 3 | 40.3% | 57.4% | 1,305,649 | |
| D 1 · R 3 | 42.5% | 56.9% | 1,001,817 | |
| D 1 · R 3 | 41.0% | 57.1% | 1,358,953 | |
| D 1 · R 3 | 44.2% | 53.6% | 1,050,322 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.0 points more Democratic than the rolls.
1,999,608 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−519 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −130,387 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −8,652 |
| 2012 | −4,625 |
| 2013 | −11,900 |
| 2014 | −13,065 |
| 2015 | −12,926 |
| 2016 | −18,161 |
| 2017 | −14,764 |
| 2018 | −11,564 |
| 2019 | −12,357 |
| 2021 | −4,610 |
| 2022 | −7,185 |
| 2023 | −5,284 |
| 2024 | −4,775 |
| 2025 | −519 |
Johnson County backed the Republican by 17.4 points in 2012, then crossed to the Democrat in 2020 and held in 2024 — in the suburbs that cast one in four Kansas votes.
- Statewide margin, 2024
- R+16.1 — Republican every cycle since 1968; R+14.7 in 2020 · MIT Election Lab
- Johnson County flipped
- R+2.6 (2016) → D+8.3 (2020) → D+8.5 (2024); about 1 in 4 of all Kansas votes · MIT Election Lab
- Bluest county
- Douglas County (Lawrence / KU) D+38.0 — 1 of only 5 of 105 counties to vote Democratic · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The urban swing
- Sedgwick County (Wichita) R+13.8, about 1 in 6 Kansas votes; Wyandotte (KC, KS) D+23.9 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Reddest county
- Wallace County R+84.8 — the widest margin in the state, on the Colorado line · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Open governor in 2026
- Kelly (D) term-limited; Masterson, Schmidt, and Schwab (R) head an Aug 4 primary; Sen. Marshall (R) seeks a 2nd term · Akashic 2026 forecast
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/KS/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.