Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic39.2%1,022TrumpRepublican58.2%1,517OtherAll other candidates2.6%69
R+19.0
Lead
495
Total
2,608
vs nation
R+17.5
BidenDemocratic40.3%1,080TrumpRepublican57.7%1,545OtherAll other candidates2.0%54
R+17.4
Lead
465
Total
2,679
vs nation
R+21.8
ClintonDemocratic32.5%793TrumpRepublican58.6%1,428OtherAll other candidates8.9%216
R+26.1
Lead
635
Total
2,437
vs nation
R+28.1
ObamaDemocratic33.6%839RomneyRepublican64.1%1,600OtherAll other candidates2.4%59
R+30.5
Lead
761
Total
2,498
vs nation
R+34.3
ObamaDemocratic35.0%813McCainRepublican62.9%1,463OtherAll other candidates2.1%49
R+28.0
Lead
650
Total
2,325
vs nation
R+35.2
KerryDemocratic31.1%747BushRepublican67.2%1,612OtherAll other candidates1.7%41
R+36.0
Lead
865
Total
2,400
vs nation
R+33.6
ClintonDemocratic38.5%621DoleRepublican48.4%780OtherAll other candidates13.1%212
R+9.9
Lead
159
Total
1,613
vs nation
R+18.4
ClintonDemocratic27.6%469BushRepublican41.5%704OtherAll other candidates30.9%525
R+13.8
Lead
179
Total
1,698
vs nation
R+19.4
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+19.0MIT Election Lab
Population
3,6942024 5-year
Population density
114 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
32.4 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$186,5972024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.1%2024 5-year
Black
1.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.2%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+36.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20224 cycles · 3 audited
2022 turnout
77.8%2,048 participants ÷ 2,633 CVAP
2016→2018 drop-off
+6.4 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
Drop-off vs state
-3.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
83.0%
77.8%
2012201620182022
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2022Mid
2,048
2,633 ± 173
77.8%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
2,272
2,736 ± 163
83.0%
Audited
E/A
2,465
2,755 ± 136
89.5%
Audited
E/A
2,498
2,604
95.9%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2022) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Independence, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
40.3%
1,080 votes · R+17.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 39.2%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
67.2%
1,612 votes · R+36.0
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 64.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,080votes
40.3% of the vote · R+17.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,022 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
1,612votes
67.2% of the vote · R+36.0
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 1,600 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−17.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+19.0 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −18.4 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+35.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.0 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +34.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Independence · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Hennepin County, Minnesota, the county containing Independence — Independence’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Independence, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Independence sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 36.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.0 points.
A population of 3,694, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $186,597 describe the city.
In 2024, Independence, Minnesota voted Republican by 19.0 points (R+19.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,608 votes cast, 1,022 went Democratic and 1,517 went Republican.
How many people live in Independence, Minnesota?
Independence, Minnesota has a population of 3,694 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Independence, Minnesota?
Median household income in Independence, Minnesota is $186,597 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Independence, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Independence, Minnesota from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.
