Minneapolis-St. Paul Media Market — Elections 1892–2024

Year	Democrat	Republican	Others	Total	CVAP	Turnout
2024	1,446,825	1,293,482	68,394	2,808,701	3,620,363	77.6%
2020	1,496,733	1,257,681	65,164	2,819,578	3,493,271	80.7%
2016	1,188,079	1,115,231	213,566	2,516,876	3,361,016	74.9%
2012	1,310,803	1,135,323	57,688	2,503,814	3,234,734	77.4%
2008	1,326,697	1,091,200	50,234	2,468,131	3,161,288	78.1%
2004	1,216,541	1,142,431	29,770	2,388,742	3,087,842^†	77.4%

Year

Democrat

Republican

Others

Total

CVAP

Turnout

2024

1,446,825

1,293,482

68,394

2,808,701

3,620,363

77.6%

2020

1,496,733

1,257,681

65,164

2,819,578

3,493,271

80.7%

2016

1,188,079

1,115,231

213,566

2,516,876

3,361,016

74.9%

2012

1,310,803

1,135,323

57,688

2,503,814

3,234,734

77.4%

2008

1,326,697

1,091,200

50,234

2,468,131

3,161,288

78.1%

2004

1,216,541

1,142,431

29,770

2,388,742

3,087,842^†

77.4%

Measure	Minneapolis-St. Paul	United States
Median age	38.9	39.1
Age 18–24	8.5%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.8%	17.2%

Measure

Minneapolis-St. Paul

United States

Median age

38.9

39.1

Age 18–24

8.5%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

16.8%

17.2%

Measure	Minneapolis-St. Paul	United States
Median household income	$93,929	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.9%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	40.5%	35.6%

Measure

Minneapolis-St. Paul

United States

Median household income

$93,929

$84,427

Poverty rate

8.9%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

40.5%

35.6%

Measure	Minneapolis-St. Paul	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	13.1%	22.3%
Spanish	4.3%	13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	2.6%	1.1%
Other languages	2.8%	0.8%

Measure

Minneapolis-St. Paul

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

13.1%

22.3%

Spanish

4.3%

13.6%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

2.6%

1.1%

Other languages

2.8%

0.8%

Measure	Minneapolis-St. Paul	United States
Catholic	19.8%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	11.4%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	51.5%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	12.4%	5.2%

Measure

Minneapolis-St. Paul

United States

Catholic

19.8%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

11.4%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

12.4%

5.2%

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−8.1%
1896	−19.1%
1900	−27.1%
1904	−55.6%
1908	−26.7%
1912	+11.6%
1916	+0.6%
1920	−52.0%
1924	−42.7%
1928	−16.0%
1932	+24.7%
1936	+27.2%
1940	−0.7%
1944	+2.1%
1948	+15.1%
1952	−12.4%
1956	−9.9%
1960	+0.3%
1964	+26.5%
1968	+11.6%
1972	−5.4%
1976	+13.2%
1980	+4.8%
1984	−0.7%
1988	+7.0%
1992	+12.0%
1996	+16.6%
2000	+2.5%
2004	+3.1%
2008	+9.5%
2012	+7.0%
2016	+2.9%
2020	+8.5%
2024	+5.5%

DemocraticRepublican

34 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	D	51.5%Harris1,446,825	46.1%Trump1,293,482	0.7%Kennedy20,087 +10	D+5.5	R+3.0	D+6.9	2,808,701
All 13 candidates in 2024 · 11 minor / independent Kamala D HarrisDemocratic51.5%1,446,825 Donald J TrumpRepublican46.1%1,293,482 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.7%20,087 Jill SteinIndependent0.5%15,137 Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%13,301 OtherAll other candidates0.4%11,160 Cornel WestIndependent0.1%2,946 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%2,765 Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%2,298 Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%372 Randall TerryIndependent0.0%281 Peter Sonski Lauren OnakNonpartisan0.0%46 Future Madam Potus Jessica KennedyNonpartisan0.0%1
2020	D	53.1%Biden1,496,733	44.6%Trump1,257,681	2.3%	D+8.5	D+5.6	D+4.0	2,819,578
2016	D	47.2%Clinton1,188,079	44.3%Trump1,115,231	8.5%	D+2.9	R+4.1	D+0.8	2,516,876
2012	D	52.4%Obama1,310,803	45.3%Romney1,135,323	2.3%	D+7.0	R+2.5	D+3.2	2,503,814
2008	D	53.8%Obama1,326,697	44.2%McCain1,091,200	2.0%	D+9.5	D+6.4	D+2.3	2,468,131
2004	D	50.9%Kerry1,216,541	47.8%Bush1,142,431	1.2%	D+3.1	D+0.6	D+5.6	2,388,742
2000	D	47.9%Gore976,985	45.4%Bush926,258	6.6%	D+2.5	R+14.1	D+2.0	2,038,087
1996	D	51.3%Clinton925,219	34.7%Dole625,371	14.0%	D+16.6	D+4.6	D+8.1	1,803,865
1992	D	43.5%Clinton840,506	31.5%Bush608,754	24.9%	D+12.0	D+5.0	D+6.4	1,931,056
1988	D	53.0%Dukakis903,467	46.0%Bush784,830	1.0%	D+7.0	D+7.6	D+14.7	1,705,622
1984	R	49.3%Mondale823,616	50.0%Reagan834,801	0.7%	R+0.7	R+5.4	D+17.6	1,669,868
1980	D	46.7%Carter759,651	41.9%Reagan682,244	11.3%	D+4.8	R+8.4	D+14.5	1,626,424
1976	D	55.0%Carter839,878	41.9%Ford638,903	3.1%	D+13.2	D+18.6	D+11.1	1,526,354
1972	R	46.0%McGovern620,242	51.4%Nixon693,123	2.5%	R+5.4	R+17.0	D+17.7	1,347,275
1968	D	53.4%Humphrey647,184	41.8%Nixon506,877	4.7%	D+11.6	R+14.9	D+12.3	1,211,451
1964	D	63.1%Johnson739,954	36.6%Goldwater429,334	0.2%	D+26.5	D+26.2	D+3.9	1,172,104
1960	D	50.0%Kennedy574,433	49.7%Nixon571,074	0.2%	D+0.3	D+10.2	D+0.1	1,148,376
1956	R	45.0%Stevenson446,386	54.8%Eisenhower544,254	0.2%	R+9.9	D+2.5	D+5.5	992,716
1952	R	43.6%Stevenson444,472	56.0%Eisenhower571,064	0.5%	R+12.4	R+27.6	R+1.6	1,020,562
1948	D	56.3%Truman495,976	41.1%Dewey362,402	2.6%	D+15.1	D+13.1	D+10.7	881,710
1944	D	50.7%Roosevelt417,952	48.6%Dewey400,709	0.8%	D+2.1	D+2.7	R+5.4	824,858
1940	R	49.2%Roosevelt445,096	49.9%Willkie451,033	0.9%	R+0.7	R+27.9	R+10.6	904,051
1936	D	59.1%Roosevelt483,839	31.9%Landon261,093	9.0%	D+27.2	D+2.5	D+2.9	818,977
1932	D	60.9%Roosevelt445,298	36.1%Hoover264,360	3.0%	D+24.7	D+40.7	D+7.0	731,337
1928	R	41.5%Smith298,501	57.5%Hoover413,278	1.0%	R+16.0	D+26.8	D+1.5	719,297
1924	R	7.1%Davis42,307	49.8%Coolidge296,494	43.1%	R+42.7	D+9.3	R+17.5	594,928
1920	R	18.9%Cox100,069	70.9%Harding375,136	10.1%	R+52.0	R+52.6	R+25.8	528,878
1916	D	47.0%Wilson133,431	46.4%Hughes131,785	6.6%	D+0.6	R+11.0	R+2.6	284,030
1912	O	32.7%Wilson78,375	21.2%Taft50,641	46.1%	Roosevelt +13.4	D+38.2	R+8.0	239,408
1908	R	33.4%Bryan80,535	60.0%Taft144,900	6.6%	R+26.7	D+28.9	R+17.1	241,482
1904	R	18.8%Parker41,521	74.4%Roosevelt164,087	6.7%	R+55.6	R+28.5	R+35.9	220,455
1900	R	34.5%Bryan80,915	61.7%McKinley144,467	3.8%	R+27.1	R+8.0	R+19.6	234,272
1896	R	39.1%Bryan98,345	58.3%McKinley146,417	2.6%	R+19.1	R+11.1	R+13.1	251,281
1892	R	38.7%Cleveland78,247	46.7%Harrison94,556	14.6%	R+8.1	—	R+9.7	202,421

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

+8,585 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −31,066 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in Minneapolis-St. Paul in Minneapolis-St. Paul: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−4,407
2012	−7,577
2013	−203
2014	−4,002
2015	−9,399
2016	−1,266
2017	+9,828
2018	+8,864
2019	+3,784
2021	−13,479
2022	−14,465
2023	−8,063
2024	+734
2025	+8,585

The Minneapolis–St. Paul designated market area spans the metro's mix of high-density urban precincts and fast-growing exurban counties, producing notable ticket-splitting patterns in statewide races that routinely tip on single-digit margins.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 55.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.5 points.

A population of 4,908,264, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,929 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Milwaukee and Madison.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Milwaukee

Wisconsin

80.2twin score

2008–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ median income

Madison

Wisconsin

79.7twin score

college share2020–2024 trajectoryNorwegian ancestry≠ 2008 margin

Seattle-Tacoma

Washington

77.0twin score

population scalecollege share2004 margin≠ 2024 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota voted Democratic by 5.5 points (D+5.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,808,701 votes cast, 1,446,825 went Democratic and 1,293,482 went Republican.

When did Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota voted Republican was 1984.

How many people live in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?

Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota has a population of 4,908,264 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?

Median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota is $93,929 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.

What is the political history of Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.

Year	Democrat	Republican	Others	Total	CVAP	Turnout
2024	1,446,825	1,293,482	68,394	2,808,701	3,620,363	77.6%
2020	1,496,733	1,257,681	65,164	2,819,578	3,493,271	80.7%
2016	1,188,079	1,115,231	213,566	2,516,876	3,361,016	74.9%
2012	1,310,803	1,135,323	57,688	2,503,814	3,234,734	77.4%
2008	1,326,697	1,091,200	50,234	2,468,131	3,161,288	78.1%
2004	1,216,541	1,142,431	29,770	2,388,742	3,087,842^†	77.4%

Year

Democrat

Republican

Others

Total

CVAP

Turnout

2024

1,446,825

1,293,482

68,394

2,808,701

3,620,363

77.6%

2020

1,496,733

1,257,681

65,164

2,819,578

3,493,271

80.7%

2016

1,188,079

1,115,231

213,566

2,516,876

3,361,016

74.9%

2012

1,310,803

1,135,323

57,688

2,503,814

3,234,734

77.4%

2008

1,326,697

1,091,200

50,234

2,468,131

3,161,288

78.1%

2004

1,216,541

1,142,431

29,770

2,388,742

3,087,842^†

77.4%

Measure	Minneapolis-St. Paul	United States
Median age	38.9	39.1
Age 18–24	8.5%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.8%	17.2%

Measure

Minneapolis-St. Paul

United States

Median age

38.9

39.1

Age 18–24

8.5%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

16.8%

17.2%

Measure	Minneapolis-St. Paul	United States
Median household income	$93,929	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.9%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	40.5%	35.6%

Measure

Minneapolis-St. Paul

United States

Median household income

$93,929

$84,427

Poverty rate

8.9%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

40.5%

35.6%

Measure	Minneapolis-St. Paul	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	13.1%	22.3%
Spanish	4.3%	13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	2.6%	1.1%
Other languages	2.8%	0.8%

Measure

Minneapolis-St. Paul

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

13.1%

22.3%

Spanish

4.3%

13.6%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

2.6%

1.1%

Other languages

2.8%

0.8%

Measure	Minneapolis-St. Paul	United States
Catholic	19.8%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	11.4%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	51.5%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	12.4%	5.2%

Measure

Minneapolis-St. Paul

United States

Catholic

19.8%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

11.4%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

12.4%

5.2%

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−8.1%
1896	−19.1%
1900	−27.1%
1904	−55.6%
1908	−26.7%
1912	+11.6%
1916	+0.6%
1920	−52.0%
1924	−42.7%
1928	−16.0%
1932	+24.7%
1936	+27.2%
1940	−0.7%
1944	+2.1%
1948	+15.1%
1952	−12.4%
1956	−9.9%
1960	+0.3%
1964	+26.5%
1968	+11.6%
1972	−5.4%
1976	+13.2%
1980	+4.8%
1984	−0.7%
1988	+7.0%
1992	+12.0%
1996	+16.6%
2000	+2.5%
2004	+3.1%
2008	+9.5%
2012	+7.0%
2016	+2.9%
2020	+8.5%
2024	+5.5%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

51.5%Harris1,446,825

46.1%Trump1,293,482

0.7%Kennedy20,087 +10

D+5.5

R+3.0

D+6.9

2,808,701

All 13 candidates in 2024 · 11 minor / independent

Kamala D HarrisDemocratic51.5%1,446,825
Donald J TrumpRepublican46.1%1,293,482
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.7%20,087
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%15,137
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%13,301
OtherAll other candidates0.4%11,160
Cornel WestIndependent0.1%2,946
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%2,765
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%2,298
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%372
Randall TerryIndependent0.0%281
Peter Sonski Lauren OnakNonpartisan0.0%46
Future Madam Potus Jessica KennedyNonpartisan0.0%1

2020

53.1%Biden1,496,733

44.6%Trump1,257,681

2.3%

D+8.5

D+5.6

D+4.0

2,819,578

2016

47.2%Clinton1,188,079

44.3%Trump1,115,231

8.5%

D+2.9

R+4.1

D+0.8

2,516,876

2012

52.4%Obama1,310,803

45.3%Romney1,135,323

2.3%

D+7.0

R+2.5

D+3.2

2,503,814

2008

53.8%Obama1,326,697

44.2%McCain1,091,200

2.0%

D+9.5

D+6.4

D+2.3

2,468,131

2004

50.9%Kerry1,216,541

47.8%Bush1,142,431

1.2%

D+3.1

D+0.6

D+5.6

2,388,742

2000

47.9%Gore976,985

45.4%Bush926,258

6.6%

D+2.5

R+14.1

D+2.0

2,038,087

1996

51.3%Clinton925,219

34.7%Dole625,371

14.0%

D+16.6

D+4.6

D+8.1

1,803,865

1992

43.5%Clinton840,506

31.5%Bush608,754

24.9%

D+12.0

D+5.0

D+6.4

1,931,056

1988

53.0%Dukakis903,467

46.0%Bush784,830

1.0%

D+7.0

D+7.6

D+14.7

1,705,622

1984

49.3%Mondale823,616

50.0%Reagan834,801

0.7%

R+0.7

R+5.4

D+17.6

1,669,868

1980

46.7%Carter759,651

41.9%Reagan682,244

11.3%

D+4.8

R+8.4

D+14.5

1,626,424

1976

55.0%Carter839,878

41.9%Ford638,903

3.1%

D+13.2

D+18.6

D+11.1

1,526,354

1972

46.0%McGovern620,242

51.4%Nixon693,123

2.5%

R+5.4

R+17.0

D+17.7

1,347,275

1968

53.4%Humphrey647,184

41.8%Nixon506,877

4.7%

D+11.6

R+14.9

D+12.3

1,211,451

1964

63.1%Johnson739,954

36.6%Goldwater429,334

0.2%

D+26.5

D+26.2

D+3.9

1,172,104

1960

50.0%Kennedy574,433

49.7%Nixon571,074

0.2%

D+0.3

D+10.2

D+0.1

1,148,376

1956

45.0%Stevenson446,386

54.8%Eisenhower544,254

0.2%

R+9.9

D+2.5

D+5.5

992,716

1952

43.6%Stevenson444,472

56.0%Eisenhower571,064

0.5%

R+12.4

R+27.6

R+1.6

1,020,562

1948

56.3%Truman495,976

41.1%Dewey362,402

2.6%

D+15.1

D+13.1

D+10.7

881,710

1944

50.7%Roosevelt417,952

48.6%Dewey400,709

0.8%

D+2.1

D+2.7

R+5.4

824,858

1940

49.2%Roosevelt445,096

49.9%Willkie451,033

0.9%

R+0.7

R+27.9

R+10.6

904,051

1936

59.1%Roosevelt483,839

31.9%Landon261,093

9.0%

D+27.2

D+2.5

D+2.9

818,977

1932

60.9%Roosevelt445,298

36.1%Hoover264,360

3.0%

D+24.7

D+40.7

D+7.0

731,337

1928

41.5%Smith298,501

57.5%Hoover413,278

1.0%

R+16.0

D+26.8

D+1.5

719,297

1924

7.1%Davis42,307

49.8%Coolidge296,494

43.1%

R+42.7

D+9.3

R+17.5

594,928

1920

18.9%Cox100,069

70.9%Harding375,136

10.1%

R+52.0

R+52.6

R+25.8

528,878

1916

47.0%Wilson133,431

46.4%Hughes131,785

6.6%

D+0.6

R+11.0

R+2.6

284,030

1912

32.7%Wilson78,375

21.2%Taft50,641

46.1%

Roosevelt +13.4

D+38.2

R+8.0

239,408

1908

33.4%Bryan80,535

60.0%Taft144,900

6.6%

R+26.7

D+28.9

R+17.1

241,482

1904

18.8%Parker41,521

74.4%Roosevelt164,087

6.7%

R+55.6

R+28.5

R+35.9

220,455

1900

34.5%Bryan80,915

61.7%McKinley144,467

3.8%

R+27.1

R+8.0

R+19.6

234,272

1896

39.1%Bryan98,345

58.3%McKinley146,417

2.6%

R+19.1

R+11.1

R+13.1

251,281

1892

38.7%Cleveland78,247

46.7%Harrison94,556

14.6%

R+8.1

—

R+9.7

202,421

Frequently asked questions

How did Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota vote in 2024?

When did Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota voted Republican was 1984.

How many people live in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?

Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota has a population of 4,908,264 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?

Median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota is $93,929 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.

What is the political history of Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.

presidential margin

presidential returns

Who lives here

Communities and origins

Age and life stage

Household economy

Languages at home

Religious landscape

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Who moves in and out

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Minneapolis-St. Paul

Frequently asked questions

presidential margin

presidential returns

Who lives here

Communities and origins

Age and life stage

Household economy

Languages at home

Religious landscape

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Who moves in and out

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Minneapolis-St. Paul

Frequently asked questions