Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic29.6%622TrumpRepublican68.9%1,447OtherAll other candidates1.5%31
R+39.3
Lead
825
Total
2,100
vs nation
R+37.8
BidenDemocratic30.3%557TrumpRepublican67.9%1,249OtherAll other candidates1.8%33
R+37.6
Lead
692
Total
1,839
vs nation
R+42.1
ClintonDemocratic25.8%369TrumpRepublican70.1%1,004OtherAll other candidates4.1%59
R+44.3
Lead
635
Total
1,432
vs nation
R+46.4
ObamaDemocratic33.4%480RomneyRepublican64.7%930OtherAll other candidates1.9%27
R+31.3
Lead
450
Total
1,437
vs nation
R+35.2
ObamaDemocratic38.2%440McCainRepublican60.6%699OtherAll other candidates1.2%14
R+22.5
Lead
259
Total
1,153
vs nation
R+29.7
KerryDemocratic28.1%314BushRepublican71.0%794OtherAll other candidates1.0%11
R+42.9
Lead
480
Total
1,119
vs nation
R+40.4
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+39.3MIT Election Lab
Population
3,1742024 5-year
Population density
661 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
4.8 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$110,2002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
94.0%2024 5-year
Black
1.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.2%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+44.3 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2018–20244 cycles · 4 audited
2024 turnout
83.2%2,129 participants ÷ 2,559 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+29.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+7.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
53.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
58.7%
54.1%
2018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,129
2,559 ± 186
83.2%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,293
2,389 ± 187
54.1%
Audited
E/A
1,855
2,218 ± 155
83.6%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,263
2,152 ± 132
58.7%
Audited
E/A
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
presidential history
Party record book
Valley, NE · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
38.2%
440 votes · R+22.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 33.4%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
71.0%
794 votes · R+42.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 70.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
622votes
29.6% of the vote · R+39.3
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 557 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,447votes
68.9% of the vote · R+39.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,249 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
−29.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+22.5 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −35.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+46.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.3 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +42.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Valley · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Douglas County, Nebraska, the county containing Valley — Valley’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Valley, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Valley sits in the Great Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 44.3 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.3 points.
A population of 3,174, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $110,200 describe the city.
In 2024, Valley, Nebraska voted Republican by 39.3 points (R+39.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,100 votes cast, 622 went Democratic and 1,447 went Republican.
How many people live in Valley, Nebraska?
Valley, Nebraska has a population of 3,174 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Valley, Nebraska?
Median household income in Valley, Nebraska is $110,200 — above the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Valley, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Valley, Nebraska from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
