Pauls Valley, Oklahoma
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −30.0% |
| 2008 | −35.1% |
| 2012 | −36.0% |
| 2016 | −48.2% |
| 2020 | −48.1% |
| 2024 | −53.1% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 22.7%Harris480 | 75.8%Trump1,603 | 1.5% | R+53.1 | R+5.0 | R+51.6 | 2,115 | |
| R | 25.0%Biden548 | 73.1%Trump1,600 | 1.9% | R+48.1 | D+0.1 | R+52.5 | 2,189 | |
| R | 23.6%Clinton498 | 71.7%Trump1,516 | 4.7% | R+48.2 | R+12.2 | R+50.3 | 2,113 | |
| R | 32.0%Obama627 | 68.0%Romney1,333 | — | R+36.0 | R+0.9 | R+39.9 | 1,960 | |
| R | 31.6%Obama639 | 66.7%McCain1,349 | 1.6% | R+35.1 | R+5.1 | R+42.4 | 2,021 | |
| R | 35.0%Kerry766 | 65.0%Bush1,424 | 0.0% | R+30.0 | — | R+27.6 | 2,190 |
Pauls Valley anchors Garvin County with a small-city core that has trended heavily Republican in statewide races, consistent with rural southern Oklahoma's broad partisan shift over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 53.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.1 points.
A population of 6,062, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,357 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Payette and Fruitland.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Pauls Valley, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4057550/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.