HarrisDemocratic16.4%1,802TrumpRepublican82.5%9,063OtherAll other candidates1.1%126
R+66.1- Lead
- 7,261
- Total
- 10,991
- vs nation
- R+64.6
- Turnout
- 59.0%
Akashiccounty
Garvin County, OK
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President30 · 1908–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1908–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.0% of 18,656 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic17.1%1,865TrumpRepublican81.3%8,878JorgensenLibertarian1.1%115
R+64.2- Lead
- 7,013
- Total
- 10,922
- vs nation
- R+68.7
- Turnout
- 54.0%
ClintonDemocratic17.6%1,855TrumpRepublican78.3%8,253JohnsonLibertarian4.2%438
R+60.7- Lead
- 6,398
- Total
- 10,546
- vs nation
- R+62.8
- Turnout
- 52.8%
ObamaDemocratic27.0%2,559RomneyRepublican73.0%6,925OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+46.0- Lead
- 4,366
- Total
- 9,484
- vs nation
- R+49.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic28.2%3,028McCainRepublican71.8%7,710OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+43.6- Lead
- 4,682
- Total
- 10,738
- vs nation
- R+50.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic32.8%3,707BushRepublican67.2%7,610OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+34.5- Lead
- 3,903
- Total
- 11,317
- vs nation
- R+32.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic42.6%4,189BushRepublican56.2%5,536OtherAll other candidates1.2%118
R+13.7- Lead
- 1,347
- Total
- 9,843
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.5%4,639DoleRepublican38.3%3,745PerotReform13.8%1,345
D+9.2- Lead
- 894
- Total
- 9,767
- vs nation
- D+0.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+66.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,8602024 5-year
- Population density
- 32 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 802 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,5562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cotton County, OK · twin score 93.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 59.0%11,016 participants ÷ 18,656 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.3 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 47.7%–49.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11,016 | 18,656 ± 169 | 59.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 8,383 | 18,764 ± 187 | 44.7% | Audited | C/A |
| 10,937 | 20,261 ± 168 | 54.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 7,975 | 20,207 ± 136 | 39.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,644 | 20,147 ± 137 | 52.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 9,484 | 20,303 | 46.7% | Derived | — | |
| 10,738 | 20,027 | 53.6% | Derived | — | |
| 11,317 | 19,751 extrapolated | 57.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Garvin County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Garvin County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ARYA0—
CONNIE JOHNSON0—
CYNDI MUNSON0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 39 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
39 precincts · 10,991 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -250020250020 | 224 | 815 | 13 | 1,052 | 21.3% | 77.5% | R+56.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -250001250001 | 149 | 863 | 9 | 1,021 | 14.6% | 84.5% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -250009250009 | 119 | 854 | 15 | 988 | 12.0% | 86.4% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -250018250018 | 201 | 734 | 9 | 944 | 21.3% | 77.8% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -250005250005 | 82 | 835 | 5 | 922 | 8.9% | 90.6% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -250024250024 | 132 | 659 | 15 | 806 | 16.4% | 81.8% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -250003250003 | 69 | 722 | 2 | 793 | 8.7% | 91.0% | R+82.3 |
| Precinct -250025250025 | 83 | 667 | 10 | 760 | 10.9% | 87.8% | R+76.8 |
| Precinct -250017250017 | 156 | 509 | 13 | 678 | 23.0% | 75.1% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -250008250008 | 116 | 506 | 10 | 632 | 18.4% | 80.1% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -250013250013 | 93 | 425 | 5 | 523 | 17.8% | 81.3% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -250016250016 | 72 | 410 | 1 | 483 | 14.9% | 84.9% | R+70.0 |
| Precinct -250007250007 | 94 | 372 | 5 | 471 | 20.0% | 79.0% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -250015250015 | 131 | 319 | 10 | 460 | 28.5% | 69.3% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -250006250006 | 74 | 330 | 4 | 408 | 18.1% | 80.9% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -250028250028 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 32 | 18.8% | 81.3% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -250027250027 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 18 | 5.6% | 94.4% | R+88.9 |
| Voting District 140_400491 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4004910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4004911 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4004912 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1340_4004913 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4004914 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4004915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4004916 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4004917 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1840_4004918 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4004919 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_400492 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4004920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4004924 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4004925 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_400493 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_400494 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_400495 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_400496 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400497 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_400498 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_400499 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Garvin County, OK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
88.3%
7,834 votes · D+76.7
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 80.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
82.5%
9,063 votes · R+66.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
7,834votes
88.3% of the vote · D+76.7
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 7,013 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,063votes
82.5% of the vote · R+66.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,878 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+66.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +58.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+68.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +64.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMarkwayne MullinU.S. Senate
RJonathan WingardState Senate · 13
RCindy RoeState House · 42
RTammy TownleyState House · 48
Seats representing Garvin County, OK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 16.3%1,816 | 83.7%9,356 | 11,172 |
| 2020 | R | 16.1%1,701 | 83.9%8,881 | 10,582 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+43.1
Presidential vote · 2024R+66.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 23 points more Republican than the rolls.
16,417 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+39 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +726 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,202 in average income, against $66,570 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+43.0 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Garvin County, OK itself (R+66.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- McClain County, OK81R+60.6
- Cleveland County, OK77R+14.9
- Murray County, OK54R+61.3
- Oklahoma County, OK52R+1.7
- Pontotoc County, OK50R+46.6
- Carter County, OK35R+54.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cleveland County, OK99
- McClain County, OK84
- Pontotoc County, OK64
- Oklahoma County, OK46
- Murray County, OK43
- Grady County, OK27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −34 |
| 2012 | −121 |
| 2013 | +53 |
| 2014 | +144 |
| 2015 | +184 |
| 2016 | −57 |
| 2017 | −116 |
| 2018 | −104 |
| 2019 | −39 |
| 2021 | +242 |
| 2022 | +126 |
| 2023 | +165 |
| 2024 | +244 |
| 2025 | +39 |
Garvin County, anchored by the small city of Pauls Valley, recorded a 66-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the broader rural realignment that has reshaped formerly competitive southern Oklahoma counties over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 66.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.1 points.
A population of 25,860, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,556 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cotton County and Greer County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cotton County
Oklahoma
93.3twin score
% Evangelical2008–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ population scale
Greer County
Oklahoma
93.3twin score
% Evangelical2008–2020 trajectoryelasticity≠ population scale
McMinn County
Tennessee
92.8twin score
% Evangelical2016–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Garvin County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Garvin County
Oklahoma at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Garvin County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Garvin County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 66.1 points (R+66.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,991 votes cast, 1,802 went Democratic and 9,063 went Republican.
When did Garvin County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Garvin County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Garvin County, Oklahoma?
Garvin County, Oklahoma has a population of 25,860 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Garvin County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Garvin County, Oklahoma is $58,556 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Garvin County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Garvin County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.