Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic69.6%1,639TrumpRepublican28.3%666OtherAll other candidates2.1%50
D+41.3
Lead
973
Total
2,355
vs nation
D+42.8
BidenDemocratic67.0%1,613TrumpRepublican32.0%771OtherAll other candidates1.0%23
D+35.0
Lead
842
Total
2,407
vs nation
D+30.5
ClintonDemocratic62.2%1,337TrumpRepublican35.4%761OtherAll other candidates2.5%53
D+26.8
Lead
576
Total
2,151
vs nation
D+24.7
ObamaDemocratic56.2%1,232RomneyRepublican42.3%927OtherAll other candidates1.5%32
D+13.9
Lead
305
Total
2,191
vs nation
D+10.1
ObamaDemocratic55.9%1,276McCainRepublican43.1%983OtherAll other candidates1.0%22
D+12.8
Lead
293
Total
2,281
vs nation
D+5.6
KerryDemocratic56.2%1,260BushRepublican43.8%983OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+12.3
Lead
277
Total
2,243
vs nation
D+14.8
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+41.3MIT Election Lab
Population
3,0872024 5-year
Population density
1,403 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.2 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$106,9642024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
76.5%2024 5-year
Black
11.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+41.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20247 cycles · 4 audited
2024 turnout
96.0%2,351 participants ÷ 2,448 CVAP
2016→2018 drop-off
+10.8 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-1.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
76.0%
79.4%
2004200820122016201820222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,351
2,448 ± 196
96.0%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,917
2,415 ± 178
79.4%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,804
2,374 ± 143
76.0%
Audited
E/A
2,178
2,509 ± 111
86.8%
Audited
E/A
2,191
2,448
89.5%
Derived
—
2,281
2,743
83.2%
Derived
—
2,243
3,038 extrapolated
73.8%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Churchill, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
69.6%
1,639 votes · D+41.3
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 67.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
43.8%
983 votes · D+12.3
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 43.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
1,639votes
69.6% of the vote · D+41.3
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,613 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
983votes
43.1% of the vote · D+12.8
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 983 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+42.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.3 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +30.5 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
−5.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+12.8 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · −10.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Churchill · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, the county containing Churchill — Churchill’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Churchill, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Churchill is a small residential borough tucked within the Pittsburgh metro, where its compact size and stable homeowner base have historically produced above-average participation rates relative to its population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.3 points.
A population of 3,087, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,964 describe the city.
In 2024, Churchill, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 41.3 points (D+41.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,355 votes cast, 1,639 went Democratic and 666 went Republican.
How many people live in Churchill, Pennsylvania?
Churchill, Pennsylvania has a population of 3,087 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Churchill, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Churchill, Pennsylvania is $106,964 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Churchill, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Churchill, Pennsylvania from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
