Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic48.2%258TrumpRepublican50.5%270OtherAll other candidates1.3%7
R+2.2
Lead
12
Total
535
vs nation
R+0.8
BidenDemocratic51.0%323TrumpRepublican47.6%301OtherAll other candidates1.4%9
D+3.5
Lead
22
Total
633
vs nation
R+1.0
ClintonDemocratic50.7%296TrumpRepublican44.5%260OtherAll other candidates4.8%28
D+6.2
Lead
36
Total
584
vs nation
D+4.1
ObamaDemocratic56.8%347RomneyRepublican41.9%256OtherAll other candidates1.3%8
D+14.9
Lead
91
Total
611
vs nation
D+11.0
ObamaDemocratic43.0%212McCainRepublican55.0%271OtherAll other candidates2.0%10
R+12.0
Lead
59
Total
493
vs nation
R+19.2
KerryDemocratic39.3%176BushRepublican58.7%263OtherAll other candidates2.0%9
R+19.4
Lead
87
Total
448
vs nation
R+17.0
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+2.2MIT Election Lab
Population
3,4262024 5-year
Population density
1,713 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$55,2182024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
24.9%2024 5-year
Black
24.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
42.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+14.9 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+19.4 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
29.0%538 participants ÷ 1,852 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+15.1 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-6.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
12.0%–14.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
29.0%
29.9%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
538
1,852 ± 446
29.0%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
416
1,393 ± 417
29.9%
Audited
E/D
633
1,409 ± 457
44.9%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
471
1,626 ± 513
29.0%
Audited
E/D
588
1,226 ± 348
48.0%
Audited
E/D
611
1,147
53.3%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Arcadia, SC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
56.8%
347 votes · D+14.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 51.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
58.7%
263 votes · R+19.4
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 55.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
347votes
56.8% of the vote · D+14.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 323 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
301votes
47.6% of the vote · D+3.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 271 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+11.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.9 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +4.1 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+19.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.0 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +17.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Arcadia · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Spartanburg County, South Carolina, the county containing Arcadia — Arcadia’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Arcadia, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Arcadia sits in the Deep South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.9 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 19.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.2 points.
A population of 3,426, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,218 describe the city.
In 2024, Arcadia, South Carolina voted Republican by 2.2 points (R+2.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 535 votes cast, 258 went Democratic and 270 went Republican.
When did Arcadia, South Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arcadia, South Carolina voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Arcadia, South Carolina?
Arcadia, South Carolina has a population of 3,426 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arcadia, South Carolina?
Median household income in Arcadia, South Carolina is $55,218 — below the national median of $80,734. The South Carolina state median is $69,324.
What is the political history of Arcadia, South Carolina?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arcadia, South Carolina from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
