Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −65.1% |
| 2008 | −57.8% |
| 2012 | −65.5% |
| 2016 | −54.7% |
| 2020 | −44.3% |
| 2024 | −47.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26.1%Harris1,855 | 73.1%Trump5,199 | 0.9% | R+47.0 | R+2.7 | R+45.5 | 7,116 | |
| R | 27.4%Biden1,760 | 71.7%Trump4,612 | 0.9% | R+44.3 | D+10.3 | R+48.8 | 6,433 | |
| R | 20.3%Clinton972 | 75.0%Trump3,589 | 4.7% | R+54.7 | D+10.8 | R+56.7 | 4,788 | |
| R | 16.5%Obama719 | 82.0%Romney3,571 | 1.5% | R+65.5 | R+7.7 | R+69.3 | 4,357 | |
| R | 21.0%Obama898 | 78.8%McCain3,371 | 0.3% | R+57.8 | D+7.3 | R+65.1 | 4,280 | |
| R | 17.1%Kerry680 | 82.2%Bush3,262 | 0.6% | R+65.1 | — | R+62.6 | 3,967 |
Fair Oaks Ranch straddles two counties — Bexar and Kendall — giving it split administrative jurisdiction unusual for a city its size, while rapid residential growth in the Hill Country fringe has made it one of the region's most closely watched suburban bellwethers.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 65.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.0 points.
A population of 10,728, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $174,327 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Heath and San Diego Country Estates.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4825168/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.