Grand Prairie, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −12.6% |
| 2008 | +10.2% |
| 2012 | +14.2% |
| 2016 | +23.4% |
| 2020 | +29.3% |
| 2024 | +21.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 59.7%Harris36,876 | 38.7%Trump23,915 | 1.6% | D+21.0 | R+8.3 | D+22.5 | 61,756 | |
| D | 64.2%Biden41,103 | 34.9%Trump22,371 | 0.8% | D+29.3 | D+5.8 | D+24.8 | 64,017 | |
| D | 59.8%Clinton30,322 | 36.4%Trump18,457 | 3.7% | D+23.4 | D+9.2 | D+21.3 | 50,672 | |
| D | 56.4%Obama25,792 | 42.2%Romney19,284 | 1.4% | D+14.2 | D+4.0 | D+10.4 | 45,737 | |
| D | 54.8%Obama25,808 | 44.6%McCain21,010 | 0.5% | D+10.2 | D+22.8 | D+2.9 | 47,060 | |
| R | 43.2%Kerry16,701 | 55.8%Bush21,588 | 1.1% | R+12.6 | — | R+10.2 | 38,699 |
Straddling the line between Dallas and Tarrant counties, Grand Prairie has shifted from reliably red to consistently competitive as its Latino population now exceeds 40% of residents, compressing margins in down-ballot races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 12.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.0 points.
A population of 201,883, a 20% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,619 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Houston and Mesquite.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grand Prairie, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4830464/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.