Lubbock, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −49.2% |
| 2008 | −33.3% |
| 2012 | −36.6% |
| 2016 | −32.3% |
| 2020 | −25.1% |
| 2024 | −33.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 32.9%Harris32,749 | 65.9%Trump65,556 | 1.2% | R+33.0 | R+7.9 | R+31.5 | 99,453 | |
| R | 36.8%Biden35,736 | 61.8%Trump60,098 | 1.4% | R+25.1 | D+7.3 | R+29.5 | 97,193 | |
| R | 30.9%Clinton24,983 | 63.3%Trump51,082 | 5.8% | R+32.3 | D+4.3 | R+34.4 | 80,744 | |
| R | 30.9%Obama23,034 | 67.5%Romney50,281 | 1.6% | R+36.6 | R+3.2 | R+40.4 | 74,495 | |
| R | 33.0%Obama26,784 | 66.4%McCain53,808 | 0.6% | R+33.3 | D+15.9 | R+40.6 | 81,071 | |
| R | 25.2%Kerry19,746 | 74.4%Bush58,302 | 0.4% | R+49.2 | — | R+46.7 | 78,362 |
Lubbock has voted Republican at the presidential level by wide margins for decades, yet the Texas Tech student and faculty population introduces a younger demographic layer that shapes local races more than statewide ones.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 49.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.0 points.
A population of 264,814, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,895 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Abilene and Wichita Falls.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Lubbock, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4845000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.