Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupCarrolltonVirginiaUnited States
English16.3%12.0%9.5%
German8.8%10.1%12.5%
Irish7.5%9.1%9.4%
American5.2%8.4%5.3%
Italian2.4%3.9%4.8%
Scottish2.4%1.9%1.3%
Polish1.4%1.6%2.2%
French1.4%1.3%1.6%
African American†16.1%15.6%9.9%
African2.6%0.9%0.5%
Jamaican0.3%0.3%0.4%
Mexican5.6%2.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.5%1.4%1.8%
Cuban1.2%—0.7%
Colombian0.9%0.3%0.4%
Spanish0.9%——
Venezuelan0.6%——
Filipino1.0%0.9%0.9%
Vietnamese0.8%0.7%0.6%
Korean0.5%0.8%0.4%
Laotian0.5%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Carrollton
Virginia
United States
Median age
36.8
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.4%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
11.7%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Carrollton
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$110,956
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
6.8%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
39.9%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Carrollton
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
8.3%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
6.8%
7.9%
13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.0%
1.2%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Carrollton
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Carrollton, Virginia
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−36.9%
2008
−25.8%
2012
−24.1%
2016
−27.4%
2020
−18.3%
2024
−12.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
43.0%Harris1,997
55.5%Trump2,577
1.5%
R+12.5
D+5.8
R+11.0
4,644
R
40.0%Biden1,716
58.3%Trump2,500
1.7%
R+18.3
D+9.2
R+22.7
4,290
R
33.2%Clinton1,265
60.6%Trump2,311
6.2%
R+27.4
R+3.3
R+29.5
3,814
R
37.3%Obama1,337
61.4%Romney2,202
1.3%
R+24.1
D+1.7
R+28.0
3,584
R
36.7%Obama1,227
62.5%McCain2,090
0.8%
R+25.8
D+11.1
R+33.1
3,344
R
31.3%Kerry844
68.2%Bush1,840
0.4%
R+36.9
—
R+34.5
2,696
Carrollton sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 36.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.5 points.
A population of 8,436, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $110,956 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hyde Park and Perry.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Carrollton, Virginia voted Republican by 12.5 points (R+12.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,644 votes cast, 1,997 went Democratic and 2,577 went Republican.
How many people live in Carrollton, Virginia?
Carrollton, Virginia has a population of 8,436 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carrollton, Virginia?
Median household income in Carrollton, Virginia is $110,956 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Carrollton, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Carrollton, Virginia from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
