Fairfax, Virginia
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +3.3% |
| 2008 | +16.6% |
| 2012 | +16.2% |
| 2016 | +30.5% |
| 2020 | +38.3% |
| 2024 | +33.1% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 64.9%Harris8,798 | 31.7%Trump4,303 | 3.4% | D+33.1 | R+5.2 | D+34.6 | 13,566 | |
| D | 68.0%Biden9,174 | 29.7%Trump4,007 | 2.2% | D+38.3 | D+7.9 | D+33.9 | 13,483 | |
| D | 61.2%Clinton7,367 | 30.8%Trump3,702 | 8.0% | D+30.5 | D+14.2 | D+28.4 | 12,028 | |
| D | 57.2%Obama6,655 | 41.0%Romney4,768 | 1.7% | D+16.2 | R+0.3 | D+12.4 | 11,626 | |
| D | 57.8%Obama6,575 | 41.2%McCain4,691 | 1.0% | D+16.6 | D+13.2 | D+9.3 | 11,378 | |
| D | 51.2%Kerry5,395 | 47.8%Bush5,045 | 1.0% | D+3.3 | — | D+5.8 | 10,546 |
Fairfax City is one of Virginia's 38 independent cities, meaning it operates outside county jurisdiction despite being geographically encircled by Fairfax County. Its heavily credentialed, government-adjacent workforce has pushed presidential margins decisively leftward since 2008.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.3 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.1 points.
A population of 25,026, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $132,348 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rose Hill and West Springfield.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Fairfax, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5126496/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.