HarrisDemocratic64.8%8,797TrumpRepublican31.7%4,302SteinIndependent1.5%198
D+33.1- Lead
- 4,495
- Total
- 13,567
- vs nation
- D+34.6
- Turnout
- 86.8%
Akashiccounty
Fairfax city, VA
Contests in this Place (52 available)
President16 · 1964–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1964–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 86.8% of 15,812 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic68.0%9,174TrumpRepublican29.7%4,007JorgensenLibertarian1.5%201
D+38.3- Lead
- 5,167
- Total
- 13,483
- vs nation
- D+33.9
- Turnout
- 87.1%
ClintonDemocratic61.2%7,367TrumpRepublican30.8%3,702JohnsonLibertarian3.6%427
D+30.5- Lead
- 3,665
- Total
- 12,028
- vs nation
- D+28.4
- Turnout
- 77.0%
ObamaDemocratic57.2%6,651RomneyRepublican41.1%4,775OtherAll other candidates1.7%203
D+16.1- Lead
- 1,876
- Total
- 11,629
- vs nation
- D+12.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic57.7%6,575McCainRepublican41.2%4,691OtherAll other candidates1.2%132
D+16.5- Lead
- 1,884
- Total
- 11,398
- vs nation
- D+9.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic51.2%5,395BushRepublican47.8%5,045OtherAll other candidates1.0%106
D+3.3- Lead
- 350
- Total
- 10,546
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic45.6%4,361BushRepublican49.8%4,762NaderGreen3.7%352
R+4.2- Lead
- 401
- Total
- 9,556
- vs nation
- R+4.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.7%3,909DoleRepublican49.4%4,319PerotReform4.8%422
R+4.7- Lead
- 410
- Total
- 8,745
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+33.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,0262024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,036 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $132,3482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Falls Church city, VA · twin score 94.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 86.8%13,718 participants ÷ 15,812 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 63.6%–70.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13,718 | 15,812 ± 622 | 86.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 10,123 | 15,821 ± 597 | 64.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,633 | 15,649 ± 484 | 87.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 10,686 | 15,681 ± 386 | 68.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,128 | 15,751 ± 432 | 77.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 11,629 | 15,665 | 74.2% | Derived | — | |
| 11,398 | 15,763 | 72.3% | Derived | — | |
| 10,546 | 15,861 extrapolated | 66.5% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Fairfax city only. The complete district Class 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Fairfax city result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Bert Mizusawa0—
David E. Williams0—
Kim Farington0—
District Class 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 12 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Five51600000005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four51600000004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| One51600000001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -001 - 1001 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -002 - 2002 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -003 - 3003 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -004 - 4004 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -005 - 5005 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -006 - 6006 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Six51600000006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Three51600000003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Two51600000002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Fairfax city, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1964–2024 · 16 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
68.0%
9,174 votes · D+38.3
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 64.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
73.7%
12,463 votes · R+49.2
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 65.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
9,174votes
68.0% of the vote · D+38.3
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 8,797 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
12,463votes
73.7% of the vote · R+49.2
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 7,900 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+34.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.1 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +33.9 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+49.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.4 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +26.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DSaddam SalimState Senate · 37
DGretchen BulovaState House · 11
Seats representing Fairfax city, VA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 74.5%7,441 | 25.5%2,549 | 9,990 |
| 2018 | D | 68.7%7,089 | 31.3%3,229 | 10,318 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 15,994 |
| 2018 | 16,505 |
| 2020 | 17,372 |
| 2022 | 17,654 |
| 2024 | 18,897 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−157 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,096 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $93,976 in average income, against $137,963 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+38.6 on average — 5.4 points more Democratic-leaning than Fairfax city, VA itself (D+33.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fairfax County, VA843D+34.7
- Arlington County, VA91D+58.1
- Prince William County, VA80D+17.9
- Loudoun County, VA62D+16.2
- Alexandria city, VA60D+57.1
- Montgomery County, MD41D+52.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fairfax County, VA698
- Prince William County, VA103
- Loudoun County, VA73
- Arlington County, VA53
- Alexandria city, VA35
- District of Columbia, DC26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −327 |
| 2012 | +54 |
| 2013 | +34 |
| 2014 | −334 |
| 2015 | −371 |
| 2016 | −307 |
| 2017 | −390 |
| 2018 | −264 |
| 2019 | −315 |
| 2021 | −266 |
| 2022 | −300 |
| 2023 | −188 |
| 2024 | +35 |
| 2025 | −157 |
Fairfax City, one of Virginia's independent cities, recorded a 33-point Democratic margin in 2024, reflecting the broader leftward shift seen across the dense, education-heavy Washington suburbs over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 49.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.1 points.
A population of 25,026, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $132,348 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Falls Church city and Fairfax County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Falls Church city
Virginia
94.6twin score
12-yr trendcollege sharemedian income≠ 2004 margin
Fairfax County
Virginia
90.7twin score
% Asian2020–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ % unaffiliated
Howard County
Maryland
90.4twin score
% Asian12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fairfax city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51600/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Fairfax city
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Frequently asked questions
How did Fairfax city, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fairfax city, Virginia voted Democratic by 33.1 points (D+33.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 13,567 votes cast, 8,797 went Democratic and 4,302 went Republican.
When did Fairfax city, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Fairfax city, Virginia voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Fairfax city, Virginia?
Fairfax city, Virginia has a population of 25,026 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fairfax city, Virginia?
Median household income in Fairfax city, Virginia is $132,348 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Fairfax city, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fairfax city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.