Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLake CarolineVirginiaUnited States
English9.6%12.0%9.5%
Irish8.7%9.1%9.4%
German8.3%10.1%12.5%
Italian4.9%3.9%4.8%
American4.7%8.4%5.3%
French2.3%1.3%1.6%
Scottish1.9%1.9%1.3%
Czech1.0%——
African American†16.1%15.6%9.9%
African0.2%0.9%0.5%
Honduran6.2%0.7%0.3%
Spanish4.8%——
Mexican4.0%2.4%11.3%
Guatemalan3.3%0.7%0.5%
Puerto Rican2.2%1.4%1.8%
Salvadoran2.2%2.1%0.7%
Cuban0.7%—0.7%
Dominican0.7%—0.7%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Lake Caroline
Virginia
United States
Median age
32
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
2.2%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.5%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Lake Caroline
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$73,000
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
23.1%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.9%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Lake Caroline
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
29.1%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
27.2%
7.9%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.9%
2.6%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Lake Caroline
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Lake Caroline, Virginia
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−5.7%
2008
+6.7%
2012
+0.2%
2016
−19.4%
2020
−8.5%
2024
−6.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.2%Harris811
52.3%Trump919
1.5%
R+6.1
D+2.3
R+4.7
1,757
R
44.8%Biden634
53.3%Trump754
1.9%
R+8.5
D+10.9
R+12.9
1,415
R
37.2%Clinton406
56.6%Trump617
6.1%
R+19.4
R+19.6
R+21.4
1,090
D
49.3%Obama417
49.1%Romney415
1.7%
D+0.2
R+6.5
R+3.6
846
D
52.7%Obama463
46.0%McCain404
1.3%
D+6.7
D+12.4
R+0.6
878
R
47.1%Kerry313
52.9%Bush351
0.0%
R+5.7
—
R+3.3
664
Lake Caroline sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 6.7 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 19.4 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.1 points.
A population of 2,862, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,000 describe the city.
In 2024, Lake Caroline, Virginia voted Republican by 6.1 points (R+6.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,757 votes cast, 811 went Democratic and 919 went Republican.
When did Lake Caroline, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lake Caroline, Virginia voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Lake Caroline, Virginia?
Lake Caroline, Virginia has a population of 2,862 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lake Caroline, Virginia?
Median household income in Lake Caroline, Virginia is $73,000 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Lake Caroline, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Lake Caroline, Virginia from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.