- Lead
- 28,881
- Total
- 40,388
- vs nation
- R+70.0
- Turnout
- 58.3%
Marshall County, AL
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.3% of 69,423 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 27,248
- Total
- 39,655
- vs nation
- R+73.2
- Turnout
- 59.2%
- Lead
- 24,316
- Total
- 34,828
- vs nation
- R+71.9
- Turnout
- 53.9%
- Lead
- 19,568
- Total
- 32,566
- vs nation
- R+63.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 18,689
- Total
- 33,166
- vs nation
- R+63.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 14,331
- Total
- 31,491
- vs nation
- R+43.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,703
- Total
- 27,989
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,601
- Total
- 23,300
- vs nation
- R+24.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+71.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 99,7482024 5-year
- Population density
- 176 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 566 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,5712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.1 in 1884MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- DeKalb County, AL · twin score 95.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 58.3%40,499 participants ÷ 69,423 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 35.2%–40.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40,499 | 69,423 ± 552 | 58.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 24,782 | 68,673 ± 510 | 36.1% | Audited | C/A |
| 39,751 | 67,130 ± 466 | 59.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 27,421 | 66,719 ± 470 | 41.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 35,515 | 65,923 ± 414 | 53.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 32,566 | 63,973 | 50.9% | Derived | — | |
| 33,166 | 60,628 | 54.7% | Derived | — | |
| 31,491 | 57,283 extrapolated | 55.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Marshall County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Marshall County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 29 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 40,388 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ARAB SENIOR CTRARAB SENIOR CTR | 712 | 4,521 | 50 | 5,283 | 13.5% | 85.6% | R+72.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MT_ CALVARY BAPTISTMT_ CALVARY BAPTIST | 704 | 4,260 | 47 | 5,011 | 14.0% | 85.0% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -GUNTERSVILLE REC_ CTRGUNTERSVILLE REC_ CTR | 949 | 3,732 | 64 | 4,745 | 20.0% | 78.7% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -BOAZ PARK & RECBOAZ PARK & REC | 440 | 3,206 | 19 | 3,665 | 12.0% | 87.5% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -ALBERTVILLE 1ST BAPT CHALBERTVILLE 1ST BAPT CH | 452 | 2,179 | 32 | 2,663 | 17.0% | 81.8% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -NEW BRASHIERS CHAPELNEW BRASHIERS CHAPEL | 187 | 1,268 | 18 | 1,473 | 12.7% | 86.1% | R+73.4 |
| Precinct -CHEROKEE RIDGECHEROKEE RIDGE | 223 | 1,118 | 25 | 1,366 | 16.3% | 81.8% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -SANCTUARY ON THE MTNSANCTUARY ON THE MTN | 106 | 1,123 | 6 | 1,235 | 8.6% | 90.9% | R+82.3 |
| Precinct -LIBERTY HILLLIBERTY HILL | 112 | 1,016 | 7 | 1,135 | 9.9% | 89.5% | R+79.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF UNION GROVETOWN OF UNION GROVE | 118 | 962 | 10 | 1,090 | 10.8% | 88.3% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -CRANFORD VFDCRANFORD VFD | 96 | 875 | 12 | 983 | 9.8% | 89.0% | R+79.2 |
| Precinct -ALDER SPGS_ COMM_ CTRALDER SPGS_ COMM_ CTR | 109 | 766 | 9 | 884 | 12.3% | 86.7% | R+74.3 |
| Precinct -SWEARENGIN COMM_ CTRSWEARENGIN COMM_ CTR | 116 | 755 | 10 | 881 | 13.2% | 85.7% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -ASBURY FIREASBURY FIRE | 73 | 796 | 8 | 877 | 8.3% | 90.8% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -JAYBIRD/DIST 4 CO_ SHOPJAYBIRD/DIST 4 CO_ SHOP | 77 | 701 | 5 | 783 | 9.8% | 89.5% | R+79.7 |
| Precinct -HENRYVILLE METHODISTHENRYVILLE METHODIST | 115 | 646 | 9 | 770 | 14.9% | 83.9% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -PROSPECT CEMETERYPROSPECT CEMETERY | 117 | 643 | 8 | 768 | 15.2% | 83.7% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -FRIENDSHIP/PINE GROVE COMM CTRFRIENDSHIP/PINE GROVE COMM CTR | 92 | 665 | 7 | 764 | 12.0% | 87.0% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT GROVE VFDPLEASANT GROVE VFD | 69 | 681 | 7 | 757 | 9.1% | 90.0% | R+80.8 |
| Precinct -GEORGIA MTN REC_ CTRGEORGIA MTN REC_ CTR | 81 | 661 | 4 | 746 | 10.9% | 88.6% | R+77.7 |
| Precinct -LATTIWOOD COMM_ CTRLATTIWOOD COMM_ CTR | 90 | 622 | 8 | 720 | 12.5% | 86.4% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS CITY HALLDOUGLAS CITY HALL | 64 | 638 | 4 | 706 | 9.1% | 90.4% | R+81.3 |
| Precinct -BUCKSNORT COMM_ CTRBUCKSNORT COMM_ CTR | 101 | 445 | 7 | 553 | 18.3% | 80.5% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -MT_ HEBRON FIREMT_ HEBRON FIRE | 55 | 489 | 6 | 550 | 10.0% | 88.9% | R+78.9 |
| Precinct -GRANT CITY HALLGRANT CITY HALL | 70 | 439 | 5 | 514 | 13.6% | 85.4% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -HONEYCOMB BAPTISTHONEYCOMB BAPTIST | 105 | 357 | 3 | 465 | 22.6% | 76.8% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -WAKEFIELD VFDWAKEFIELD VFD | 44 | 384 | 8 | 436 | 10.1% | 88.1% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -HEBRON COMM_ CTRHEBRON COMM_ CTR | 48 | 309 | 1 | 358 | 13.4% | 86.3% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -MACK TRANSPORTMACK TRANSPORT | 28 | 177 | 2 | 207 | 13.5% | 85.5% | R+72.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
Marshall County, AL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1884
92.9%
987 votes · D+86.1
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 86.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
85.3%
34,434 votes · R+71.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 83.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
13,696votes
68.1% of the vote · D+38.3
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · 10,854 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
34,434votes
85.3% of the vote · R+71.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 33,191 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+62.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+56.2 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · +59.4 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+78.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.3 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +73.2 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Marshall County, AL. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 59,395 |
| 2020 | 64,249 |
| 2022 | 65,032 |
| 2024 | 67,816 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+223 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,773 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,866 in average income, against $70,464 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.4 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Marshall County, AL itself (R+71.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Madison County, AL329R+8.9
- Etowah County, AL227R+55.5
- DeKalb County, AL216R+73.8
- Blount County, AL114R+80.9
- Cullman County, AL106R+80.3
- Morgan County, AL93R+52.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Madison County, AL301
- Etowah County, AL268
- DeKalb County, AL235
- Cullman County, AL127
- Jackson County, AL96
- Morgan County, AL83
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +319 |
| 2012 | −2 |
| 2013 | −104 |
| 2014 | −305 |
| 2015 | +19 |
| 2016 | +205 |
| 2017 | +229 |
| 2018 | +229 |
| 2019 | +303 |
| 2021 | +499 |
| 2022 | +914 |
| 2023 | +843 |
| 2024 | +401 |
| 2025 | +223 |
Marshall County delivered a 71.7-point Republican margin in the 2024 presidential race, a figure that places it among the most one-sided counties in the state and reflects the broader realignment of rural Appalachian Alabama over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.1 points in 1884 and a Republican high of 71.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 71.5 points.
A population of 99,748, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,571 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of DeKalb County and Cullman County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marshall County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.