HarrisDemocratic20.4%24,934TrumpRepublican78.4%95,798KennedyIndependent0.5%664
R+58.0- Lead
- 70,864
- Total
- 122,249
- vs nation
- R+56.5
- Turnout
- 64.4%
Akashiccounty
Baldwin County, AL
Contests in this Place (92 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1876–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.4% of 190,330 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic22.4%24,578TrumpRepublican76.2%83,544JorgensenLibertarian1.1%1,229
R+53.8- Lead
- 58,966
- Total
- 109,679
- vs nation
- R+58.2
- Turnout
- 65.6%
ClintonDemocratic19.7%18,458TrumpRepublican77.7%72,883JohnsonLibertarian2.6%2,464
R+58.0- Lead
- 54,425
- Total
- 93,805
- vs nation
- R+60.1
- Turnout
- 63.4%
ObamaDemocratic21.6%18,424RomneyRepublican77.4%66,016OtherAll other candidates1.1%898
R+55.8- Lead
- 47,592
- Total
- 85,338
- vs nation
- R+59.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic23.8%19,386McCainRepublican75.3%61,271OtherAll other candidates0.9%756
R+51.4- Lead
- 41,885
- Total
- 81,413
- vs nation
- R+58.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic22.5%15,599BushRepublican76.4%52,971OtherAll other candidates1.1%750
R+53.9- Lead
- 37,372
- Total
- 69,320
- vs nation
- R+51.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic24.8%13,997BushRepublican72.4%40,872NaderGreen1.8%1,033
R+47.6- Lead
- 26,875
- Total
- 56,480
- vs nation
- R+48.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic27.1%12,776DoleRepublican62.6%29,487PerotReform9.6%4,520
R+35.5- Lead
- 16,711
- Total
- 47,119
- vs nation
- R+44.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 246,9892024 5-year
- Population density
- 155 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,590 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,7752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nassau County, FL · twin score 91.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 64.4%122,542 participants ÷ 190,330 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 40.6%–45.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122,542 | 190,330 ± 1,160 | 64.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 75,415 | 180,460 ± 943 | 41.8% | Audited | C/A |
| 110,214 | 167,986 ± 944 | 65.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 78,264 | 159,193 ± 923 | 49.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 96,229 | 151,769 ± 768 | 63.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 85,338 | 136,946 | 62.3% | Derived | — | |
| 81,413 | 128,946 | 63.1% | Derived | — | |
| 69,320 | 120,946 extrapolated | 57.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Baldwin County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Baldwin County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Chad "Chig" Martin0—
Doug Jones0—
Jamel J. Brown0—
Nathan "Nate" Mathis0—
Will Boyd0—
Yolanda Rochelle Flowers0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 59 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
59 precincts · 122,249 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -FAIRHOPE 3 CIRCLE CHFAIRHOPE 3 CIRCLE CH | 1,156 | 4,846 | 91 | 6,093 | 19.0% | 79.5% | R+60.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -GULF SHORES CULTURALGULF SHORES CULTURAL | 963 | 4,253 | 66 | 5,282 | 18.2% | 80.5% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -ORANGE BEACH EVENT CTRORANGE BEACH EVENT CTR | 660 | 4,402 | 37 | 5,099 | 12.9% | 86.3% | R+73.4 |
| Precinct -DAPHNE CIVIC CTRDAPHNE CIVIC CTR | 1,664 | 2,722 | 75 | 4,461 | 37.3% | 61.0% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -EASTERN SHORE BAPTEASTERN SHORE BAPT | 1,337 | 2,864 | 58 | 4,259 | 31.4% | 67.2% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -CH OF HIS PRESENCECH OF HIS PRESENCE | 691 | 2,935 | 56 | 3,682 | 18.8% | 79.7% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -BAY MINETTE CITY HALL/CIVICBAY MINETTE CITY HALL/CIVIC | 755 | 2,894 | 24 | 3,673 | 20.6% | 78.8% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -LILLIAN COMM_ CLUBLILLIAN COMM_ CLUB | 600 | 2,998 | 22 | 3,620 | 16.6% | 82.8% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -ST_ MARGARET PARISHST_ MARGARET PARISH | 752 | 2,791 | 36 | 3,579 | 21.0% | 78.0% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -PROVIDENCE UMCPROVIDENCE UMC | 735 | 2,666 | 49 | 3,450 | 21.3% | 77.3% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRHOPE CIVIC CTRFAIRHOPE CIVIC CTR | 888 | 2,366 | 66 | 3,320 | 26.7% | 71.3% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -FOLEY CIVIC CTRFOLEY CIVIC CTR | 823 | 2,462 | 35 | 3,320 | 24.8% | 74.2% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -ST_ PAUL'S EPISCOPALST_ PAUL'S EPISCOPAL | 989 | 2,136 | 55 | 3,180 | 31.1% | 67.2% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -ROBERTSDALE PZK HALLROBERTSDALE PZK HALL | 495 | 2,562 | 43 | 3,100 | 16.0% | 82.6% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -SPANISH FORT COMM_ CTRSPANISH FORT COMM_ CTR | 650 | 2,376 | 68 | 3,094 | 21.0% | 76.8% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -PT_CLEAR FAMILY MINISTRIESPT_CLEAR FAMILY MINISTRIES | 738 | 2,310 | 28 | 3,076 | 24.0% | 75.1% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -SILVERHILL COMM_ CTRSILVERHILL COMM_ CTR | 481 | 2,515 | 23 | 3,019 | 15.9% | 83.3% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -GULF SHORES CIVIC CTRGULF SHORES CIVIC CTR | 619 | 2,238 | 34 | 2,891 | 21.4% | 77.4% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -GRAHAM CREEK CTRGRAHAM CREEK CTR | 439 | 2,360 | 26 | 2,825 | 15.5% | 83.5% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRHOPE FIRST BAPTFAIRHOPE FIRST BAPT | 1,049 | 1,527 | 40 | 2,616 | 40.1% | 58.4% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct -MARLOW/FISH RIVER VFDMARLOW/FISH RIVER VFD | 446 | 2,040 | 30 | 2,516 | 17.7% | 81.1% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -SPANISH TRAIL BAPT CHSPANISH TRAIL BAPT CH | 618 | 1,809 | 38 | 2,465 | 25.1% | 73.4% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -ELBERTA CIVIC CTRELBERTA CIVIC CTR | 281 | 1,896 | 17 | 2,194 | 12.8% | 86.4% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct -SUMMERDALE COMM_ CTRSUMMERDALE COMM_ CTR | 307 | 1,850 | 24 | 2,181 | 14.1% | 84.8% | R+70.7 |
| Precinct -BON SECOUR FISHERMAN BAPTBON SECOUR FISHERMAN BAPT | 362 | 1,717 | 30 | 2,109 | 17.2% | 81.4% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -MAG SPGS REDEMPTION CHMAG SPGS REDEMPTION CH | 488 | 1,598 | 23 | 2,109 | 23.1% | 75.8% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -BELFOREST CHRISTIAN CHBELFOREST CHRISTIAN CH | 341 | 1,724 | 31 | 2,096 | 16.3% | 82.3% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -BROMLEY EAST POINTE BAPTBROMLEY EAST POINTE BAPT | 421 | 1,609 | 36 | 2,066 | 20.4% | 77.9% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -HOMESTEAD VILLAGEHOMESTEAD VILLAGE | 582 | 1,431 | 41 | 2,054 | 28.3% | 69.7% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -FAIRHOPE MARS HILL CHFAIRHOPE MARS HILL CH | 273 | 1,686 | 33 | 1,992 | 13.7% | 84.6% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -ROSINTON COMMUNITY CHROSINTON COMMUNITY CH | 183 | 1,781 | 16 | 1,980 | 9.2% | 89.9% | R+80.7 |
| Precinct -FOLEY UNITED METHODISTFOLEY UNITED METHODIST | 475 | 1,423 | 35 | 1,933 | 24.6% | 73.6% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -FOLEY CALVARY CHAPELFOLEY CALVARY CHAPEL | 378 | 1,507 | 19 | 1,904 | 19.9% | 79.1% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -BARNWELL VFDBARNWELL VFD | 252 | 1,536 | 31 | 1,819 | 13.9% | 84.4% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -STAPLETON VFDSTAPLETON VFD | 132 | 1,401 | 17 | 1,550 | 8.5% | 90.4% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct -ST_ ANDREW BY THE SEAST_ ANDREW BY THE SEA | 318 | 1,073 | 15 | 1,406 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -LOXLEY CIVIC CTRLOXLEY CIVIC CTR | 187 | 1,172 | 12 | 1,371 | 13.6% | 85.5% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -TIMBERCREEK COMM_ CTRTIMBERCREEK COMM_ CTR | 209 | 1,043 | 31 | 1,283 | 16.3% | 81.3% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -ELSANOR BETHAL BAPTELSANOR BETHAL BAPT | 125 | 1,097 | 6 | 1,228 | 10.2% | 89.3% | R+79.2 |
| Precinct -PINEGROVE VFD #1PINEGROVE VFD #1 | 163 | 919 | 8 | 1,090 | 15.0% | 84.3% | R+69.4 |
| Precinct -WHITE HOUSE FORK VFDWHITE HOUSE FORK VFD | 134 | 905 | 7 | 1,046 | 12.8% | 86.5% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -STOCKTON CIVIC BLDGSTOCKTON CIVIC BLDG | 172 | 733 | 6 | 911 | 18.9% | 80.5% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -HARRIETT COCKRELL CTRHARRIETT COCKRELL CTR | 103 | 762 | 11 | 876 | 11.8% | 87.0% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -PERDIDO VFD #1PERDIDO VFD #1 | 56 | 773 | 4 | 833 | 6.7% | 92.8% | R+86.1 |
| Precinct -SPANISH FORT CH CHRISTSPANISH FORT CH CHRIST | 211 | 555 | 15 | 781 | 27.0% | 71.1% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -SEMINOLE FIRE HOUSESEMINOLE FIRE HOUSE | 69 | 693 | 8 | 770 | 9.0% | 90.0% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -PERDIDO BEACH VFDPERDIDO BEACH VFD | 98 | 648 | 10 | 756 | 13.0% | 85.7% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct -RABUN FIRE HOUSERABUN FIRE HOUSE | 41 | 681 | 1 | 723 | 5.7% | 94.2% | R+88.5 |
| Precinct -ELLISVILLE COMM_ CTRELLISVILLE COMM_ CTR | 164 | 469 | 4 | 637 | 25.7% | 73.6% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -JOSEPHINE FIRE DEPTJOSEPHINE FIRE DEPT | 75 | 543 | 5 | 623 | 12.0% | 87.2% | R+75.1 |
| Precinct -THE VINES MINISTRIESTHE VINES MINISTRIES | 40 | 558 | 1 | 599 | 6.7% | 93.2% | R+86.5 |
| Precinct -CROSSROADS VFDCROSSROADS VFD | 130 | 463 | 5 | 598 | 21.7% | 77.4% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -FT MORGAN VFD #1FT MORGAN VFD #1 | 109 | 382 | 3 | 494 | 22.1% | 77.3% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -GATESWOOD FIRE STATIONGATESWOOD FIRE STATION | 24 | 397 | 4 | 425 | 5.6% | 93.4% | R+87.8 |
| Precinct -DOUGLASVILLE BOYKINDOUGLASVILLE BOYKIN | 337 | 65 | 1 | 403 | 83.6% | 16.1% | D+67.5 |
| Precinct -LOTTIE FIRE DEPTLOTTIE FIRE DEPT | 19 | 248 | 4 | 271 | 7.0% | 91.5% | R+84.5 |
| Precinct -CLR SPRNGS FELLOWSHIPCLR SPRNGS FELLOWSHIP | 6 | 194 | 3 | 203 | 3.0% | 95.6% | R+92.6 |
| Precinct -LITTLE RIVER SAIL CTRLITTLE RIVER SAIL CTR | 35 | 154 | 0 | 189 | 18.5% | 81.5% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -TENSAW VFDTENSAW VFD | 86 | 40 | 0 | 126 | 68.3% | 31.7% | D+36.5 |
presidential history
Party record book
Baldwin County, AL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
78.8%
2,337 votes · D+64.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 76.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
82.2%
15,104 votes · R+66.3
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 81.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
24,934votes
20.4% of the vote · R+58.0
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 24,578 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
95,798votes
78.4% of the vote · R+58.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 83,544 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+73.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+53.4 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +61.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+103.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+81.1 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +60.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RGreg AlbrittonState Senate · 22
RChris ElliottState Senate · 32
DVivian FiguresState Senate · 33
RDonna GivensState House · 64
RBrett EasterbrookState House · 65
RAlan BakerState House · 66
RJennifer FidlerState House · 94
RFrances Holk-JonesState House · 95
RMatt SimpsonState House · 96
RShane StringerState House · 102
Seats representing Baldwin County, AL. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 3 state senate and 7 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 155,127 |
| 2020 | 176,668 |
| 2022 | 189,028 |
| 2024 | 207,668 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+6,012 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +69,664 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $84,825 in average income, against $95,129 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.5 on average — 44 points more Democratic-leaning than Baldwin County, AL itself (R+58.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mobile County, AL1,002R+16.4
- Escambia County, FL438R+19.5
- Jefferson County, AL202D+10.4
- Shelby County, AL117R+40.6
- Escambia County, AL99R+46.3
- Santa Rosa County, FL90R+50.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mobile County, AL842
- Escambia County, FL370
- Jefferson County, AL147
- Madison County, AL108
- Escambia County, AL91
- Shelby County, AL82
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2,899 |
| 2012 | +3,055 |
| 2013 | +4,176 |
| 2014 | +3,864 |
| 2015 | +3,433 |
| 2016 | +4,188 |
| 2017 | +4,619 |
| 2018 | +5,224 |
| 2019 | +5,297 |
| 2021 | +7,039 |
| 2022 | +6,880 |
| 2023 | +6,581 |
| 2024 | +6,397 |
| 2025 | +6,012 |
Baldwin County's Gulf Coast growth has drawn retirees and transplants without softening its Republican lean — the 2024 presidential margin of R+58 ranks among the widest in Alabama.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 81.1 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.0 points.
A population of 246,989, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,775 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nassau County and Hood County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Nassau County
Florida
91.3twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Hood County
Texas
90.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Dawson County
Georgia
89.0twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Baldwin County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Baldwin County, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Baldwin County, Alabama voted Republican by 58.0 points (R+58.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 122,249 votes cast, 24,934 went Democratic and 95,798 went Republican.
When did Baldwin County, Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Baldwin County, Alabama voted Democratic was 1960.
How many people live in Baldwin County, Alabama?
Baldwin County, Alabama has a population of 246,989 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Baldwin County, Alabama?
Median household income in Baldwin County, Alabama is $78,775 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Baldwin County, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baldwin County, Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.