Baldwin County, Alabama
Precinct data
Results by precinct
59 precincts · 122,249 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -FAIRHOPE 3 CIRCLE CHFAIRHOPE 3 CIRCLE CH | 1,156 | 4,846 | 91 | 6,093 | 19.0% | 79.5% | R+60.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -GULF SHORES CULTURALGULF SHORES CULTURAL | 963 | 4,253 | 66 | 5,282 | 18.2% | 80.5% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -ORANGE BEACH EVENT CTRORANGE BEACH EVENT CTR | 660 | 4,402 | 37 | 5,099 | 12.9% | 86.3% | R+73.4 |
| Precinct -DAPHNE CIVIC CTRDAPHNE CIVIC CTR | 1,664 | 2,722 | 75 | 4,461 | 37.3% | 61.0% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -EASTERN SHORE BAPTEASTERN SHORE BAPT | 1,337 | 2,864 | 58 | 4,259 | 31.4% | 67.2% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -CH OF HIS PRESENCECH OF HIS PRESENCE | 691 | 2,935 | 56 | 3,682 | 18.8% | 79.7% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -BAY MINETTE CITY HALL/CIVICBAY MINETTE CITY HALL/CIVIC | 755 | 2,894 | 24 | 3,673 | 20.6% | 78.8% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -LILLIAN COMM_ CLUBLILLIAN COMM_ CLUB | 600 | 2,998 | 22 | 3,620 | 16.6% | 82.8% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -ST_ MARGARET PARISHST_ MARGARET PARISH | 752 | 2,791 | 36 | 3,579 | 21.0% | 78.0% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -PROVIDENCE UMCPROVIDENCE UMC | 735 | 2,666 | 49 | 3,450 | 21.3% | 77.3% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRHOPE CIVIC CTRFAIRHOPE CIVIC CTR | 888 | 2,366 | 66 | 3,320 | 26.7% | 71.3% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -FOLEY CIVIC CTRFOLEY CIVIC CTR | 823 | 2,462 | 35 | 3,320 | 24.8% | 74.2% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -ST_ PAUL'S EPISCOPALST_ PAUL'S EPISCOPAL | 989 | 2,136 | 55 | 3,180 | 31.1% | 67.2% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -ROBERTSDALE PZK HALLROBERTSDALE PZK HALL | 495 | 2,562 | 43 | 3,100 | 16.0% | 82.6% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -SPANISH FORT COMM_ CTRSPANISH FORT COMM_ CTR | 650 | 2,376 | 68 | 3,094 | 21.0% | 76.8% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -PT_CLEAR FAMILY MINISTRIESPT_CLEAR FAMILY MINISTRIES | 738 | 2,310 | 28 | 3,076 | 24.0% | 75.1% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -SILVERHILL COMM_ CTRSILVERHILL COMM_ CTR | 481 | 2,515 | 23 | 3,019 | 15.9% | 83.3% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -GULF SHORES CIVIC CTRGULF SHORES CIVIC CTR | 619 | 2,238 | 34 | 2,891 | 21.4% | 77.4% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -GRAHAM CREEK CTRGRAHAM CREEK CTR | 439 | 2,360 | 26 | 2,825 | 15.5% | 83.5% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRHOPE FIRST BAPTFAIRHOPE FIRST BAPT | 1,049 | 1,527 | 40 | 2,616 | 40.1% | 58.4% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct -MARLOW/FISH RIVER VFDMARLOW/FISH RIVER VFD | 446 | 2,040 | 30 | 2,516 | 17.7% | 81.1% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -SPANISH TRAIL BAPT CHSPANISH TRAIL BAPT CH | 618 | 1,809 | 38 | 2,465 | 25.1% | 73.4% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -ELBERTA CIVIC CTRELBERTA CIVIC CTR | 281 | 1,896 | 17 | 2,194 | 12.8% | 86.4% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct -SUMMERDALE COMM_ CTRSUMMERDALE COMM_ CTR | 307 | 1,850 | 24 | 2,181 | 14.1% | 84.8% | R+70.7 |
| Precinct -BON SECOUR FISHERMAN BAPTBON SECOUR FISHERMAN BAPT | 362 | 1,717 | 30 | 2,109 | 17.2% | 81.4% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -MAG SPGS REDEMPTION CHMAG SPGS REDEMPTION CH | 488 | 1,598 | 23 | 2,109 | 23.1% | 75.8% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -BELFOREST CHRISTIAN CHBELFOREST CHRISTIAN CH | 341 | 1,724 | 31 | 2,096 | 16.3% | 82.3% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -BROMLEY EAST POINTE BAPTBROMLEY EAST POINTE BAPT | 421 | 1,609 | 36 | 2,066 | 20.4% | 77.9% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -HOMESTEAD VILLAGEHOMESTEAD VILLAGE | 582 | 1,431 | 41 | 2,054 | 28.3% | 69.7% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -FAIRHOPE MARS HILL CHFAIRHOPE MARS HILL CH | 273 | 1,686 | 33 | 1,992 | 13.7% | 84.6% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -ROSINTON COMMUNITY CHROSINTON COMMUNITY CH | 183 | 1,781 | 16 | 1,980 | 9.2% | 89.9% | R+80.7 |
| Precinct -FOLEY UNITED METHODISTFOLEY UNITED METHODIST | 475 | 1,423 | 35 | 1,933 | 24.6% | 73.6% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -FOLEY CALVARY CHAPELFOLEY CALVARY CHAPEL | 378 | 1,507 | 19 | 1,904 | 19.9% | 79.1% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -BARNWELL VFDBARNWELL VFD | 252 | 1,536 | 31 | 1,819 | 13.9% | 84.4% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -STAPLETON VFDSTAPLETON VFD | 132 | 1,401 | 17 | 1,550 | 8.5% | 90.4% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct -ST_ ANDREW BY THE SEAST_ ANDREW BY THE SEA | 318 | 1,073 | 15 | 1,406 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -LOXLEY CIVIC CTRLOXLEY CIVIC CTR | 187 | 1,172 | 12 | 1,371 | 13.6% | 85.5% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -TIMBERCREEK COMM_ CTRTIMBERCREEK COMM_ CTR | 209 | 1,043 | 31 | 1,283 | 16.3% | 81.3% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -ELSANOR BETHAL BAPTELSANOR BETHAL BAPT | 125 | 1,097 | 6 | 1,228 | 10.2% | 89.3% | R+79.2 |
| Precinct -PINEGROVE VFD #1PINEGROVE VFD #1 | 163 | 919 | 8 | 1,090 | 15.0% | 84.3% | R+69.4 |
| Precinct -WHITE HOUSE FORK VFDWHITE HOUSE FORK VFD | 134 | 905 | 7 | 1,046 | 12.8% | 86.5% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -STOCKTON CIVIC BLDGSTOCKTON CIVIC BLDG | 172 | 733 | 6 | 911 | 18.9% | 80.5% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -HARRIETT COCKRELL CTRHARRIETT COCKRELL CTR | 103 | 762 | 11 | 876 | 11.8% | 87.0% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -PERDIDO VFD #1PERDIDO VFD #1 | 56 | 773 | 4 | 833 | 6.7% | 92.8% | R+86.1 |
| Precinct -SPANISH FORT CH CHRISTSPANISH FORT CH CHRIST | 211 | 555 | 15 | 781 | 27.0% | 71.1% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -SEMINOLE FIRE HOUSESEMINOLE FIRE HOUSE | 69 | 693 | 8 | 770 | 9.0% | 90.0% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -PERDIDO BEACH VFDPERDIDO BEACH VFD | 98 | 648 | 10 | 756 | 13.0% | 85.7% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct -RABUN FIRE HOUSERABUN FIRE HOUSE | 41 | 681 | 1 | 723 | 5.7% | 94.2% | R+88.5 |
| Precinct -ELLISVILLE COMM_ CTRELLISVILLE COMM_ CTR | 164 | 469 | 4 | 637 | 25.7% | 73.6% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -JOSEPHINE FIRE DEPTJOSEPHINE FIRE DEPT | 75 | 543 | 5 | 623 | 12.0% | 87.2% | R+75.1 |
| Precinct -THE VINES MINISTRIESTHE VINES MINISTRIES | 40 | 558 | 1 | 599 | 6.7% | 93.2% | R+86.5 |
| Precinct -CROSSROADS VFDCROSSROADS VFD | 130 | 463 | 5 | 598 | 21.7% | 77.4% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -FT MORGAN VFD #1FT MORGAN VFD #1 | 109 | 382 | 3 | 494 | 22.1% | 77.3% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -GATESWOOD FIRE STATIONGATESWOOD FIRE STATION | 24 | 397 | 4 | 425 | 5.6% | 93.4% | R+87.8 |
| Precinct -DOUGLASVILLE BOYKINDOUGLASVILLE BOYKIN | 337 | 65 | 1 | 403 | 83.6% | 16.1% | D+67.5 |
| Precinct -LOTTIE FIRE DEPTLOTTIE FIRE DEPT | 19 | 248 | 4 | 271 | 7.0% | 91.5% | R+84.5 |
| Precinct -CLR SPRNGS FELLOWSHIPCLR SPRNGS FELLOWSHIP | 6 | 194 | 3 | 203 | 3.0% | 95.6% | R+92.6 |
| Precinct -LITTLE RIVER SAIL CTRLITTLE RIVER SAIL CTR | 35 | 154 | 0 | 189 | 18.5% | 81.5% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -TENSAW VFDTENSAW VFD | 86 | 40 | 0 | 126 | 68.3% | 31.7% | D+36.5 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +8.8% |
| 1880 | +7.2% |
| 1884 | +5.0% |
| 1888 | +13.9% |
| 1892 | +38.4% |
| 1896 | +27.3% |
| 1900 | +5.2% |
| 1904 | +53.4% |
| 1908 | +51.6% |
| 1912 | +63.3% |
| 1916 | +48.2% |
| 1920 | +34.8% |
| 1924 | +24.0% |
| 1928 | −2.6% |
| 1932 | +55.9% |
| 1936 | +64.2% |
| 1940 | +59.0% |
| 1944 | +47.9% |
| 1948 | −22.3% |
| 1952 | +3.1% |
| 1956 | −4.9% |
| 1960 | +7.9% |
| 1964 | −81.1% |
| 1968 | −1.8% |
| 1972 | −66.3% |
| 1976 | −17.7% |
| 1980 | −36.0% |
| 1984 | −53.5% |
| 1988 | −46.8% |
| 1992 | −30.3% |
| 1996 | −35.5% |
| 2000 | −47.6% |
| 2004 | −53.9% |
| 2008 | −51.4% |
| 2012 | −55.8% |
| 2016 | −58.0% |
| 2020 | −53.8% |
| 2024 | −58.0% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 15.7%11,478 | 81.4%59,501 | 73,071 |
| 2020 | R | 26.5%28,925 | 73.5%80,200 | 109,125 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 155,127 |
| 2020 | 176,668 |
| 2022 | 189,028 |
| 2024 | 207,668 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+6,012 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +69,664 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $84,825 in average income, against $95,129 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.5 on average — 44 points more Democratic-leaning than Baldwin County, AL itself (R+58.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mobile County, AL1,002R+16.4
- Escambia County, FL438R+19.5
- Jefferson County, AL202D+10.4
- Shelby County, AL117R+40.6
- Escambia County, AL99R+46.3
- Santa Rosa County, FL90R+50.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mobile County, AL842
- Escambia County, FL370
- Jefferson County, AL147
- Madison County, AL108
- Escambia County, AL91
- Shelby County, AL82
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2,899 |
| 2012 | +3,055 |
| 2013 | +4,176 |
| 2014 | +3,864 |
| 2015 | +3,433 |
| 2016 | +4,188 |
| 2017 | +4,619 |
| 2018 | +5,224 |
| 2019 | +5,297 |
| 2021 | +7,039 |
| 2022 | +6,880 |
| 2023 | +6,581 |
| 2024 | +6,397 |
| 2025 | +6,012 |
Baldwin County's Gulf Coast growth has drawn retirees and transplants without softening its Republican lean — the 2024 presidential margin of R+58 ranks among the widest in Alabama.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 81.1 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.0 points.
A population of 246,989, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,775 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nassau County and Hood County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Baldwin County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.