- Lead
- 1,658
- Total
- 2,571
- vs nation
- R+63.0
- Turnout
- 58.0%
Lincoln County, CO
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.0% of 4,475 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,665
- Total
- 2,651
- vs nation
- R+67.3
- Turnout
- 62.0%
- Lead
- 1,483
- Total
- 2,436
- vs nation
- R+63.0
- Turnout
- 58.6%
- Lead
- 1,135
- Total
- 2,287
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,171
- Total
- 2,304
- vs nation
- R+58.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,316
- Total
- 2,337
- vs nation
- R+53.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,120
- Total
- 2,199
- vs nation
- R+51.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 543
- Total
- 2,203
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,5502024 5-year
- Population density
- 2.2 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,578 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,8612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.6 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cheyenne County, CO · twin score 94.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 58.0%2,597 participants ÷ 4,475 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -6.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 44.5%–47.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,597 | 4,475 ± 145 | 58.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 2,187 | 4,516 ± 121 | 48.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 2,678 | 4,320 ± 259 | 62.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 2,140 | 4,239 ± 184 | 50.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 2,493 | 4,255 ± 256 | 58.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2,287 | 4,180 | 54.7% | Derived | — | |
| 2,304 | 4,095 | 56.3% | Derived | — | |
| 2,337 | 4,010 extrapolated | 58.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Lincoln County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Lincoln County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 26 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 2,571 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -43556370074355637007 | 81 | 269 | 8 | 358 | 22.6% | 75.1% | R+52.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -43556370024355637002 | 50 | 260 | 8 | 318 | 15.7% | 81.8% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -43556370134355637013 | 62 | 237 | 8 | 307 | 20.2% | 77.2% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -43556370054355637005 | 48 | 210 | 4 | 262 | 18.3% | 80.2% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -43556370034355637003 | 35 | 217 | 5 | 257 | 13.6% | 84.4% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -43556370014355637001 | 39 | 197 | 5 | 241 | 16.2% | 81.7% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -43556370064355637006 | 32 | 184 | 7 | 223 | 14.3% | 82.5% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -43556370044355637004 | 25 | 164 | 0 | 189 | 13.2% | 86.8% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -43556370104355637010 | 15 | 133 | 2 | 150 | 10.0% | 88.7% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -43556370094355637009 | 25 | 103 | 1 | 129 | 19.4% | 79.8% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -43556370084355637008 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 49 | 10.2% | 89.8% | R+79.6 |
| Precinct -43556370114355637011 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 49 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -43556370124355637012 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 39 | 20.5% | 76.9% | R+56.4 |
| Lincoln 108_0807337001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 1008_0807337010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 1108_0807337011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 1208_0807337012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 1308_0807337013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 208_0807337002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 308_0807337003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 408_0807337004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 508_0807337005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 608_0807337006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 708_0807337007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 808_0807337008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 908_0807337009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Lincoln County, CO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
62.7%
210 votes · D+26.0
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 57.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
81.3%
2,090 votes · R+64.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 80.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
1,979votes
56.0% of the vote · D+14.9
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 1,702 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
2,135votes
80.5% of the vote · R+62.8
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 2,110 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+32.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.0 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +16.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+67.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.8 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +66.2 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Lincoln County, CO. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Republican than the rolls.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,195 | 471 | 1,882 | 802 | 40 |
| 2018 | 3,283 | 453 | 1,900 | 888 | 42 |
| 2020 | 3,491 | 397 | 1,973 | 1,066 | 55 |
| 2022 | 3,624 | 369 | 1,921 | 1,274 | 60 |
| 2024 | 3,765 | 344 | 1,929 | 1,419 | 73 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+46 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +150 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,426 in average income, against $65,861 for residents who stayed — 37% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.8 on average — 55 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, CO itself (R+64.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- El Paso County, CO22R+9.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- El Paso County, CO27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −72 |
| 2012 | +23 |
| 2013 | −36 |
| 2014 | +61 |
| 2015 | +31 |
| 2016 | +11 |
| 2017 | −28 |
| 2018 | +65 |
| 2019 | +73 |
| 2021 | −164 |
| 2022 | +52 |
| 2023 | −18 |
| 2024 | +106 |
| 2025 | +46 |
This high-plains ranching county of roughly 6,000 residents delivered a 64-point Republican margin in 2024, making it a consistent outlier even within Colorado's rural eastern corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.0 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 64.6 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.5 points.
A population of 5,550, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,861 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cheyenne County and Hodgeman County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lincoln County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.