Mesa County, Colorado: Realigning Affluent Suburb county. In 2024, voted R+24%. Democratic peak: D+64 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
- Population
- 158,6012024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,6582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1980MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montrose County, CO · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Mesa CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Mesa County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | −3.5% |
| 1888 | −5.8% |
| 1892 | −42.8% |
| 1896 | +64.2% |
| 1900 | +18.4% |
| 1904 | −25.8% |
| 1908 | −3.3% |
| 1912 | +22.5% |
| 1916 | +29.4% |
| 1920 | −6.6% |
| 1924 | −18.7% |
| 1928 | −32.9% |
| 1932 | +19.4% |
| 1936 | +33.6% |
| 1940 | +4.3% |
| 1944 | +1.6% |
| 1948 | +12.0% |
| 1952 | −26.5% |
| 1956 | −25.9% |
| 1960 | −17.8% |
| 1964 | +20.9% |
| 1968 | −9.1% |
| 1972 | −40.5% |
| 1976 | −33.3% |
| 1980 | −46.0% |
| 1984 | −40.5% |
| 1988 | −20.9% |
| 1992 | −6.8% |
| 1996 | −16.4% |
| 2000 | −33.2% |
| 2004 | −35.5% |
| 2008 | −29.5% |
| 2012 | −32.4% |
| 2016 | −36.1% |
| 2020 | −28.0% |
| 2024 | −24.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 33,573 | 55,839 | 91,620 | ||
| R | 31,533 | 56,888 | 90,613 | ||
| R | 21,729 | 49,779 | 77,654 | ||
| R | 23,846 | 47,472 | 72,947 | ||
| R | 24,008 | 44,578 | 69,631 | ||
| R | 19,564 | 41,539 | 61,885 | ||
| R | 15,465 | 32,396 | 51,054 | ||
| R | 17,114 | 24,761 | 46,612 | ||
| R | 15,162 | 18,169 | 44,067 | ||
| R | 14,372 | 22,150 | 37,155 | ||
| R | 9,938 | 23,736 | 34,074 | ||
| R | 7,549 | 22,686 | 32,916 | ||
| R | 8,807 | 17,924 | 27,390 | ||
| R | 6,358 | 15,527 | 22,613 | ||
| R | 8,775 | 10,745 | 21,671 | ||
| D | 12,716 | 8,317 | 21,082 | ||
| R | 9,072 | 13,015 | 22,132 | ||
| R | 7,567 | 12,869 | 20,496 | ||
| R | 6,883 | 11,883 | 18,845 | ||
| D | 8,401 | 6,586 | 15,185 | ||
| D | 6,870 | 6,653 | 13,598 | ||
| D | 7,694 | 7,049 | 14,912 | ||
| D | 7,824 | 3,654 | 12,399 | ||
| D | 6,682 | 4,388 | 11,807 | ||
| R | 3,223 | 6,446 | 9,802 | ||
| R | 2,388 | 4,053 | 8,902 | ||
| R | 3,138 | 3,621 | 7,271 | ||
| D | 4,394 | 2,223 | 7,395 | ||
| O | 2,733 | 976 | 7,824 | ||
| R | 2,824 | 3,049 | 6,795 | ||
| R | 1,555 | 2,783 | 4,761 | ||
| D | 1,968 | 1,317 | 3,534 | ||
| D | 2,374 | 469 | 2,966 | ||
| O | 0 | 529 | 1,237 | ||
| R | 388 | 440 | 889 | ||
| R | 329 | 353 | 687 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.5%
English
15.2%
Irish
12.5%
Italian
5.1%
American
3.8%
Scottish
3.2%
French
2.6%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$73,658
Mesa County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Mesa County$73,658
Colorado$95,470
United States$80,734
Mesa County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.1%
Working age (18–64)10.4%
Seniors (65+)12.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.4%
speak English only
Spanish5.1%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Mesa County, centered on Grand Junction, has voted Republican in every presidential race for decades, with its energy-sector economy and rural geography reinforcing margins that routinely exceed 20 points.
Once reliably Republican — a margin of forty-six points in 1980 at its widest — Mesa County has trended Democratic. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-four points.
A median household income of $73,658 — among the higher at this geographic scale — and a population of 158,601 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montrose County and Delta County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mesa County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Mesa County, Colorado vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mesa County, Colorado voted Republican by 24.3 points (R+24), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 91,620 votes cast, 33,573 went Democratic and 55,839 went Republican.
What is Mesa County, Colorado's political typology?
Akashic places Mesa County, Colorado in the "Realigning Affluent Suburb" typology — College-educated, affluent suburbs — the one bloc moving toward the Democratic Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 25 times, and other 2 times.
When did Mesa County, Colorado last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mesa County, Colorado voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Mesa County, Colorado?
Mesa County, Colorado has a population of 158,601 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mesa County, Colorado?
Median household income in Mesa County, Colorado is $73,658 — below the national median of $80,734. The Colorado state median is $95,470.
What is the political history of Mesa County, Colorado?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mesa County, Colorado from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The county's typology — "Realigning Affluent Suburb" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.