Saguache County, Colorado: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted D+4%. Democratic peak: D+73 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 6,5802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $50,0822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 36.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sussex County, VA · similarity 0.97
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Saguache CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Saguache County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | −15.5% |
| 1884 | −8.9% |
| 1888 | −16.0% |
| 1892 | −36.5% |
| 1896 | +73.3% |
| 1900 | +19.3% |
| 1904 | −13.7% |
| 1908 | +0.4% |
| 1912 | +6.4% |
| 1916 | +28.8% |
| 1920 | −24.1% |
| 1924 | −29.7% |
| 1928 | −26.8% |
| 1932 | +20.2% |
| 1936 | +10.2% |
| 1940 | −12.2% |
| 1944 | −24.5% |
| 1948 | +4.9% |
| 1952 | −30.5% |
| 1956 | −16.5% |
| 1960 | +1.4% |
| 1964 | +27.7% |
| 1968 | −11.2% |
| 1972 | −28.8% |
| 1976 | −1.6% |
| 1980 | −10.8% |
| 1984 | −16.0% |
| 1988 | +4.4% |
| 1992 | +15.5% |
| 1996 | +13.2% |
| 2000 | +2.6% |
| 2004 | +15.4% |
| 2008 | +28.3% |
| 2012 | +30.7% |
| 2016 | +9.5% |
| 2020 | +13.9% |
| 2024 | +3.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1,704 | 1,577 | 3,401 | ||
| D | 1,884 | 1,413 | 3,389 | ||
| D | 1,417 | 1,147 | 2,835 | ||
| D | 1,865 | 964 | 2,932 | ||
| D | 1,730 | 953 | 2,747 | ||
| D | 1,594 | 1,163 | 2,803 | ||
| D | 1,145 | 1,078 | 2,529 | ||
| D | 969 | 712 | 1,952 | ||
| D | 1,011 | 675 | 2,174 | ||
| D | 1,033 | 945 | 2,013 | ||
| R | 867 | 1,201 | 2,084 | ||
| R | 893 | 1,124 | 2,135 | ||
| R | 1,059 | 1,094 | 2,210 | ||
| R | 578 | 1,062 | 1,681 | ||
| R | 648 | 824 | 1,571 | ||
| D | 1,099 | 622 | 1,725 | ||
| D | 984 | 956 | 1,949 | ||
| R | 823 | 1,149 | 1,980 | ||
| R | 714 | 1,344 | 2,065 | ||
| D | 1,009 | 914 | 1,937 | ||
| R | 729 | 1,204 | 1,938 | ||
| R | 1,142 | 1,462 | 2,631 | ||
| D | 1,321 | 1,071 | 2,446 | ||
| D | 1,427 | 931 | 2,458 | ||
| R | 854 | 1,491 | 2,381 | ||
| R | 591 | 1,205 | 2,066 | ||
| R | 717 | 1,195 | 1,981 | ||
| D | 1,254 | 681 | 1,990 | ||
| D | 859 | 730 | 2,007 | ||
| D | 817 | 811 | 1,653 | ||
| R | 697 | 922 | 1,641 | ||
| D | 1,085 | 731 | 1,835 | ||
| D | 1,155 | 176 | 1,336 | ||
| O | 0 | 326 | 893 | ||
| R | 428 | 592 | 1,025 | ||
| R | 454 | 543 | 1,004 | ||
| R | 371 | 509 | 890 | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.3%
Irish
10.4%
English
9.7%
American
3.4%
Italian
3.1%
Scottish
3.0%
Polish
1.9%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 49.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$50,082
Saguache County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Saguache County$50,082
Colorado$95,470
United States$80,734
Saguache County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.5%
Working age (18–64)17.6%
Seniors (65+)21.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.2%
speak English only
Spanish20.4%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 27.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Saguache County stretches across the San Luis Valley floor at over 7,000 feet elevation, with fewer than 6,000 residents spread across nearly 3,170 square miles. Its 2024 presidential margin of D+3.7 reflects a competitive mix of Hispanic farming communities and rural ranching households.
The Democratic margin here once reached seventy-three points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved ten points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was four points.
A population of 6,580, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,082 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sussex County and Athens County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Saguache County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Saguache County, Colorado vote in 2024?
In 2024, Saguache County, Colorado voted Democratic by 3.7 points (D+4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,401 votes cast, 1,704 went Democratic and 1,577 went Republican.
What is Saguache County, Colorado's political typology?
Akashic places Saguache County, Colorado in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did Saguache County, Colorado last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Saguache County, Colorado voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Saguache County, Colorado?
Saguache County, Colorado has a population of 6,580 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saguache County, Colorado?
Median household income in Saguache County, Colorado is $50,082 — below the national median of $80,734. The Colorado state median is $95,470.
What is the political history of Saguache County, Colorado?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Saguache County, Colorado from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.