Page County, Iowa
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 7,297 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Clarinda 2Clarinda 2 | 403 | 881 | 15 | 1,299 | 31.0% | 67.8% | R+36.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Shenandoah 3Shenandoah 3 | 339 | 558 | 4 | 901 | 37.6% | 61.9% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -Courthouse 2Courthouse 2 | 190 | 695 | 10 | 895 | 21.2% | 77.7% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -Clarinda 1Clarinda 1 | 234 | 574 | 12 | 820 | 28.5% | 70.0% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -Shenandoah 2Shenandoah 2 | 292 | 501 | 10 | 803 | 36.4% | 62.4% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct -Shen FireShen Fire | 181 | 549 | 8 | 738 | 24.5% | 74.4% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -Courthouse 1Courthouse 1 | 93 | 546 | 6 | 645 | 14.4% | 84.7% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -Essex City HallEssex City Hall | 133 | 455 | 12 | 600 | 22.2% | 75.8% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -Shenandoah 1Shenandoah 1 | 195 | 394 | 7 | 596 | 32.7% | 66.1% | R+33.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −23.7% |
| 1896 | −14.4% |
| 1900 | −27.2% |
| 1904 | −51.8% |
| 1908 | −27.4% |
| 1912 | +9.7% |
| 1916 | −25.3% |
| 1920 | −55.0% |
| 1924 | −47.7% |
| 1928 | −48.0% |
| 1932 | +3.7% |
| 1936 | −17.5% |
| 1940 | −28.6% |
| 1944 | −31.0% |
| 1948 | −22.1% |
| 1952 | −53.4% |
| 1956 | −42.1% |
| 1960 | −39.5% |
| 1964 | −4.1% |
| 1968 | −43.5% |
| 1972 | −54.4% |
| 1976 | −29.7% |
| 1980 | −49.2% |
| 1984 | −50.6% |
| 1988 | −35.2% |
| 1992 | −23.5% |
| 1996 | −25.7% |
| 2000 | −32.5% |
| 2004 | −40.4% |
| 2008 | −19.7% |
| 2012 | −24.5% |
| 2016 | −43.3% |
| 2020 | −42.9% |
| 2024 | −42.2% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 27.2%1,385 | 72.8%3,707 | 5,092 |
| 2020 | R | 27.8%2,067 | 69.3%5,152 | 7,435 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.8 points.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 10,862 | 2,018 | 4,875 | 3,965 | 4 |
| 2010 | 10,836 | 1,926 | 4,788 | 4,114 | 8 |
| 2012 | 10,967 | 1,900 | 4,775 | 4,280 | 12 |
| 2014 | 10,451 | 1,760 | 4,584 | 4,091 | 16 |
| 2016 | 10,515 | 1,662 | 5,476 | 3,337 | 40 |
| 2018 | 10,178 | 1,672 | 5,172 | 3,270 | 64 |
| 2020 | 10,471 | 1,924 | 5,555 | 2,918 | 74 |
| 2022 | 10,459 | 1,719 | 5,774 | 2,888 | 78 |
| 2024 | 10,563 | 1,552 | 6,103 | 2,819 | 89 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−70 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −459 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,945 in average income, against $73,525 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.9 on average — 2.6 points more Republican-leaning than Page County, IA itself (R+42.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fremont County, IA32R+44.5
- Montgomery County, IA32R+39.0
- Taylor County, IA21R+55.7
- Nodaway County, MO21R+43.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Montgomery County, IA27
- Fremont County, IA21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +7 |
| 2012 | −164 |
| 2013 | −175 |
| 2014 | −36 |
| 2015 | +17 |
| 2016 | −110 |
| 2017 | −56 |
| 2018 | +57 |
| 2019 | −68 |
| 2021 | +90 |
| 2022 | +43 |
| 2023 | −90 |
| 2024 | +96 |
| 2025 | −70 |
Page County, anchored by the small city of Clarinda, sits in Iowa's southwestern corner and has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, reflecting the deep rural conservative shift that has reshaped the state's electoral map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 55.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.2 points.
A population of 15,131, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,953 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montgomery County and Burt County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Page County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19145/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.