Winnebago County, Iowa
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 5,627 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Center PrecinctCenter Precinct | 473 | 802 | 23 | 1,298 | 36.4% | 61.8% | R+25.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Buffalo Grant Lincoln PrecinctBuffalo Grant Lincoln Precinct | 218 | 614 | 13 | 845 | 25.8% | 72.7% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -FC3 Forest S3 PrecinctFC3 Forest S3 Precinct | 240 | 392 | 15 | 647 | 37.1% | 60.6% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -Forest City Ward 1 PrecinctForest City Ward 1 Precinct | 189 | 300 | 1 | 490 | 38.6% | 61.2% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -Forest City Ward 2 PrecinctForest City Ward 2 Precinct | 208 | 238 | 6 | 452 | 46.0% | 52.7% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -Newton Forest S1 PrecinctNewton Forest S1 Precinct | 132 | 284 | 8 | 424 | 31.1% | 67.0% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -King Linden PrecinctKing Linden Precinct | 105 | 316 | 2 | 423 | 24.8% | 74.7% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -Forest City Ward 4 PrecinctForest City Ward 4 Precinct | 150 | 222 | 6 | 378 | 39.7% | 58.7% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -Eden Logan Norway PrecinctEden Logan Norway Precinct | 95 | 264 | 5 | 364 | 26.1% | 72.5% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -Mt. Valley PrecinctMt. Valley Precinct | 99 | 204 | 3 | 306 | 32.4% | 66.7% | R+34.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −45.9% |
| 1896 | −45.2% |
| 1900 | −61.2% |
| 1904 | −81.7% |
| 1908 | −54.3% |
| 1912 | −6.4% |
| 1916 | −48.1% |
| 1920 | −76.7% |
| 1924 | −42.9% |
| 1928 | −43.8% |
| 1932 | +23.1% |
| 1936 | +9.1% |
| 1940 | −4.0% |
| 1944 | −2.8% |
| 1948 | −0.2% |
| 1952 | −41.1% |
| 1956 | −21.8% |
| 1960 | −24.7% |
| 1964 | +22.4% |
| 1968 | −23.2% |
| 1972 | −29.6% |
| 1976 | −5.8% |
| 1980 | −24.7% |
| 1984 | −15.0% |
| 1988 | −1.0% |
| 1992 | −1.4% |
| 1996 | +8.5% |
| 2000 | +0.5% |
| 2004 | −7.9% |
| 2008 | +8.6% |
| 2012 | −0.1% |
| 2016 | −25.9% |
| 2020 | −26.3% |
| 2024 | −30.6% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 33.9%1,478 | 66.1%2,881 | 4,359 |
| 2020 | R | 39.9%2,361 | 56.3%3,336 | 5,922 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.4 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 7,995 | 2,048 | 2,864 | 3,082 | 1 |
| 2010 | 7,832 | 1,941 | 2,901 | 2,987 | 3 |
| 2012 | 7,824 | 1,718 | 3,167 | 2,935 | 4 |
| 2014 | 7,902 | 1,690 | 3,063 | 3,143 | 6 |
| 2016 | 7,890 | 1,696 | 3,021 | 3,155 | 18 |
| 2018 | 7,904 | 1,647 | 2,907 | 3,315 | 35 |
| 2020 | 8,037 | 1,899 | 3,130 | 2,957 | 51 |
| 2022 | 8,079 | 1,753 | 3,327 | 2,950 | 49 |
| 2024 | 7,945 | 1,583 | 3,268 | 3,047 | 47 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−35 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −583 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,112 in average income, against $76,396 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+29.0 on average — 1.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Winnebago County, IA itself (R+30.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cerro Gordo County, IA41R+11.6
- Hancock County, IA39R+47.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hancock County, IA40
- Cerro Gordo County, IA34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −125 |
| 2012 | −88 |
| 2013 | −134 |
| 2014 | +91 |
| 2015 | +58 |
| 2016 | +27 |
| 2017 | −21 |
| 2018 | −36 |
| 2019 | −162 |
| 2021 | +37 |
| 2022 | +21 |
| 2023 | −75 |
| 2024 | −141 |
| 2025 | −35 |
Winnebago County's roughly 11,700 residents are concentrated in Forest City, the county seat, and have shifted steadily rightward in presidential voting over the past decade, reaching a 30-point Republican margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 81.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.6 points.
A population of 10,583, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,642 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Norman County and Sargent County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Winnebago County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19189/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.