Carroll County, Maryland
Precinct data
Results by precinct
49 precincts · 102,651 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -13-00113-001 | 2,506 | 3,681 | 254 | 6,441 | 38.9% | 57.1% | R+18.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -05-00305-003 | 2,637 | 2,874 | 252 | 5,763 | 45.8% | 49.9% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -07-00907-009 | 2,265 | 2,625 | 175 | 5,065 | 44.7% | 51.8% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -14-00514-005 | 1,638 | 2,983 | 146 | 4,767 | 34.4% | 62.6% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -08-00108-001 | 1,527 | 3,064 | 173 | 4,764 | 32.1% | 64.3% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -09-00109-001 | 1,474 | 3,098 | 142 | 4,714 | 31.3% | 65.7% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -07-00507-005 | 1,990 | 2,435 | 156 | 4,581 | 43.4% | 53.2% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct -05-00605-006 | 2,049 | 2,310 | 195 | 4,554 | 45.0% | 50.7% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -04-00204-002 | 1,586 | 2,701 | 149 | 4,436 | 35.8% | 60.9% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -05-00405-004 | 1,916 | 2,300 | 182 | 4,398 | 43.6% | 52.3% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -06-00206-002 | 1,174 | 2,820 | 133 | 4,127 | 28.4% | 68.3% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -05-00505-005 | 1,454 | 1,653 | 129 | 3,236 | 44.9% | 51.1% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct -01-00101-001 | 866 | 2,062 | 68 | 2,996 | 28.9% | 68.8% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -03-00103-001 | 734 | 2,149 | 83 | 2,966 | 24.7% | 72.5% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -06-00306-003 | 688 | 2,154 | 77 | 2,919 | 23.6% | 73.8% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -08-00208-002 | 804 | 1,910 | 107 | 2,821 | 28.5% | 67.7% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct -07-00307-003 | 914 | 1,740 | 114 | 2,768 | 33.0% | 62.9% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -01-00201-002 | 991 | 1,699 | 77 | 2,767 | 35.8% | 61.4% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -07-00707-007 | 1,162 | 1,473 | 85 | 2,720 | 42.7% | 54.2% | R+11.4 |
| Precinct -02-00102-001 | 750 | 1,801 | 62 | 2,613 | 28.7% | 68.9% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -11-00111-001 | 772 | 1,588 | 75 | 2,435 | 31.7% | 65.2% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -04-00304-003 | 772 | 1,388 | 77 | 2,237 | 34.5% | 62.0% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -04-00604-006 | 655 | 1,291 | 54 | 2,000 | 32.8% | 64.5% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct -14-00214-002 | 738 | 1,088 | 75 | 1,901 | 38.8% | 57.2% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -07-01007-010 | 766 | 817 | 61 | 1,644 | 46.6% | 49.7% | R+3.1 |
| Precinct -07-00207-002 | 434 | 936 | 39 | 1,409 | 30.8% | 66.4% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -07-00407-004 | 538 | 808 | 55 | 1,401 | 38.4% | 57.7% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct -04-00104-001 | 363 | 719 | 34 | 1,116 | 32.5% | 64.4% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -04-00704-007 | 352 | 724 | 38 | 1,114 | 31.6% | 65.0% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -08-00308-003 | 294 | 760 | 43 | 1,097 | 26.8% | 69.3% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -14-00314-003 | 398 | 558 | 32 | 988 | 40.3% | 56.5% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct -06-00406-004 | 256 | 638 | 25 | 919 | 27.9% | 69.4% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -07-00607-006 | 255 | 540 | 24 | 819 | 31.1% | 65.9% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -10-00110-001 | 168 | 617 | 19 | 804 | 20.9% | 76.7% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -12-00112-001 | 222 | 538 | 15 | 775 | 28.6% | 69.4% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -06-00106-001 | 145 | 536 | 15 | 696 | 20.8% | 77.0% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -03-00203-002 | 114 | 262 | 18 | 394 | 28.9% | 66.5% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -04-00404-004 | 163 | 210 | 13 | 386 | 42.2% | 54.4% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct -14-00114-001 | 113 | 250 | 20 | 383 | 29.5% | 65.3% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -06-00506-005 | 48 | 87 | 0 | 135 | 35.6% | 64.4% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct -05-00105-001 | 48 | 56 | 6 | 110 | 43.6% | 50.9% | R+7.3 |
| Precinct -05-00205-002 | 30 | 70 | 6 | 106 | 28.3% | 66.0% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -04-00504-005 | 31 | 62 | 4 | 97 | 32.0% | 63.9% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -09-00209-002 | 14 | 73 | 1 | 88 | 15.9% | 83.0% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -11-00211-002 | 23 | 64 | 0 | 87 | 26.4% | 73.6% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -07-00107-001 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 31 | 35.5% | 61.3% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -14-00414-004 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 28 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -07-00807-008 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 24 | 45.8% | 50.0% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct -09-00309-003 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +5.4% |
| 1896 | −2.5% |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +64.7% |
| 1916 | +5.3% |
| 1920 | −14.9% |
| 1924 | −6.7% |
| 1928 | −39.6% |
| 1932 | +6.1% |
| 1936 | −6.4% |
| 1940 | −17.4% |
| 1944 | −33.5% |
| 1948 | −30.6% |
| 1952 | −40.1% |
| 1956 | −45.3% |
| 1960 | −33.0% |
| 1964 | +0.7% |
| 1968 | −36.8% |
| 1972 | −57.0% |
| 1976 | −22.3% |
| 1980 | −28.7% |
| 1984 | −50.6% |
| 1988 | −43.1% |
| 1992 | −23.6% |
| 1996 | −24.9% |
| 2000 | −33.7% |
| 2004 | −40.7% |
| 2008 | −31.2% |
| 2012 | −32.9% |
| 2016 | −35.1% |
| 2020 | −23.7% |
| 2024 | −24.7% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.9 points.
131,769 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−104 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,211 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $81,390 in average income, against $109,535 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+25.0 on average — 50 points more Democratic-leaning than Carroll County, MD itself (R+24.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Baltimore County, MD842D+24.3
- Howard County, MD461D+41.3
- Frederick County, MD363D+8.7
- Anne Arundel County, MD278D+13.8
- Montgomery County, MD231D+52.8
- Baltimore city, MD199D+72.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Baltimore County, MD593
- Frederick County, MD352
- York County, PA313
- Howard County, MD247
- Adams County, PA171
- Baltimore city, MD166
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −343 |
| 2012 | −318 |
| 2013 | +31 |
| 2014 | +5 |
| 2015 | −369 |
| 2016 | −276 |
| 2017 | +401 |
| 2018 | +672 |
| 2019 | +120 |
| 2021 | +1,187 |
| 2022 | +1,257 |
| 2023 | +920 |
| 2024 | +28 |
| 2025 | −104 |
Carroll sits in north-central Maryland where exurban growth has reinforced rather than diluted a longstanding conservative lean, delivering Republican presidential candidates roughly 60 percent or better for more than two decades despite the state's Democratic tilt.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.7 points.
A population of 175,321, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,211 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oldham County and St. Johns County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Carroll County, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/24013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.