Caroline County, Maryland: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted R+38%. Democratic peak: D+61 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 33,6692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,4572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clinton County, OH · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Caroline CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Caroline County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +3.7% |
| 1896 | −1.0% |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +60.7% |
| 1916 | +8.1% |
| 1920 | +1.4% |
| 1924 | +5.8% |
| 1928 | −23.3% |
| 1932 | +29.1% |
| 1936 | +15.6% |
| 1940 | +3.1% |
| 1944 | −19.7% |
| 1948 | −6.1% |
| 1952 | −20.6% |
| 1956 | −21.8% |
| 1960 | −4.5% |
| 1964 | +15.8% |
| 1968 | −22.8% |
| 1972 | −46.4% |
| 1976 | −1.6% |
| 1980 | −11.1% |
| 1984 | −37.7% |
| 1988 | −31.2% |
| 1992 | −12.2% |
| 1996 | −7.6% |
| 2000 | −21.3% |
| 2004 | −31.6% |
| 2008 | −23.0% |
| 2012 | −23.4% |
| 2016 | −38.4% |
| 2020 | −32.9% |
| 2024 | −37.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,860 | 11,053 | 16,330 | ||
| R | 5,095 | 10,286 | 15,797 | ||
| R | 4,009 | 9,368 | 13,951 | ||
| R | 4,970 | 8,098 | 13,357 | ||
| R | 4,971 | 8,015 | 13,218 | ||
| R | 3,810 | 7,396 | 11,356 | ||
| R | 3,396 | 5,300 | 8,952 | ||
| R | 3,251 | 3,874 | 8,177 | ||
| R | 2,822 | 3,856 | 8,459 | ||
| R | 2,440 | 4,661 | 7,123 | ||
| R | 2,198 | 4,876 | 7,099 | ||
| R | 2,833 | 3,582 | 6,765 | ||
| R | 3,017 | 3,114 | 6,131 | ||
| R | 1,567 | 4,325 | 5,948 | ||
| R | 1,697 | 3,120 | 6,231 | ||
| D | 3,710 | 2,696 | 6,406 | ||
| R | 3,381 | 3,698 | 7,079 | ||
| R | 2,702 | 4,208 | 6,910 | ||
| R | 2,733 | 4,155 | 6,899 | ||
| R | 2,430 | 2,746 | 5,208 | ||
| R | 2,060 | 3,073 | 5,133 | ||
| D | 3,284 | 3,087 | 6,401 | ||
| D | 3,579 | 2,611 | 6,206 | ||
| D | 3,651 | 1,998 | 5,671 | ||
| R | 2,030 | 3,270 | 5,322 | ||
| D | 2,493 | 2,210 | 4,888 | ||
| D | 3,012 | 2,929 | 5,990 | ||
| D | 1,965 | 1,666 | 3,712 | ||
| D | 3,659 | 1,445 | 3,645 | ||
| — | 3,370 | 1,945 | 130 | ||
| — | 3,721 | 1,452 | 109 | ||
| — | 1,774 | 1,796 | 12 | ||
| R | 1,651 | 1,686 | 3,480 | ||
| D | 1,453 | 1,344 | 2,946 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
15.4%
English
12.9%
Irish
10.9%
American
8.4%
Italian
5.5%
Scottish
2.7%
French
2.3%
African American
10.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$68,457
Caroline County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Caroline County$68,457
Maryland$103,678
United States$80,734
Caroline County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.2%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.7%
Working age (18–64)10.6%
Seniors (65+)8.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.5%
speak English only
Spanish7.0%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Other languages0.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Tucked into Maryland's Eastern Shore, Caroline County delivers presidential margins rarely seen in a state that trends heavily Democratic statewide — the 2024 gap exceeded 37 points, reflecting a rural, working-class electorate sharply out of step with the Baltimore-Washington corridor.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached sixty-one points in 1912; the Republican margin reached forty-six points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-eight points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $68,457, and a 12% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clinton County and Miami County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Caroline County, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/24011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Maryland
More industrial catholic metro counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Caroline County, Maryland vote in 2024?
In 2024, Caroline County, Maryland voted Republican by 37.9 points (R+38), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,330 votes cast, 4,860 went Democratic and 11,053 went Republican.
What is Caroline County, Maryland's political typology?
Akashic places Caroline County, Maryland in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology — Mid-size industrial metros with Catholic ethnic roots — among the most competitive, swing-prone ground in the country. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Caroline County, Maryland last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Caroline County, Maryland voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Caroline County, Maryland?
Caroline County, Maryland has a population of 33,669 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Caroline County, Maryland?
Median household income in Caroline County, Maryland is $68,457 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maryland state median is $103,678.
What is the political history of Caroline County, Maryland?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Caroline County, Maryland from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The county's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.