Caroline County, Maryland
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 16,330 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -22 | 988 | 2,555 | 78 | 3,621 | 27.3% | 70.6% | R+43.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -44 | 910 | 1,931 | 84 | 2,925 | 31.1% | 66.0% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -77 | 886 | 1,783 | 58 | 2,727 | 32.5% | 65.4% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -55 | 954 | 1,498 | 72 | 2,524 | 37.8% | 59.4% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -66 | 442 | 1,112 | 44 | 1,598 | 27.7% | 69.6% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -88 | 398 | 1,129 | 33 | 1,560 | 25.5% | 72.4% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -11 | 282 | 1,046 | 47 | 1,375 | 20.5% | 76.1% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +3.7% |
| 1896 | −1.0% |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +60.7% |
| 1916 | +8.1% |
| 1920 | +1.4% |
| 1924 | +5.8% |
| 1928 | −23.3% |
| 1932 | +29.1% |
| 1936 | +15.6% |
| 1940 | +3.1% |
| 1944 | −19.7% |
| 1948 | −6.1% |
| 1952 | −20.6% |
| 1956 | −21.8% |
| 1960 | −4.5% |
| 1964 | +15.8% |
| 1968 | −22.8% |
| 1972 | −46.4% |
| 1976 | −1.6% |
| 1980 | −11.1% |
| 1984 | −37.7% |
| 1988 | −31.2% |
| 1992 | −12.2% |
| 1996 | −7.6% |
| 2000 | −21.3% |
| 2004 | −31.6% |
| 2008 | −23.0% |
| 2012 | −23.4% |
| 2016 | −38.4% |
| 2020 | −32.9% |
| 2024 | −37.9% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Democratic.
23,022 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+3 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −391 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,456 in average income, against $67,846 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+6.2 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Caroline County, MD itself (R+37.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Queen Anne's County, MD121R+27.6
- Talbot County, MD112R+0.03
- Anne Arundel County, MD89D+13.8
- Dorchester County, MD88R+14.5
- Sussex County, DE58R+11.0
- Kent County, DE35D+2.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Talbot County, MD117
- Dorchester County, MD110
- Queen Anne's County, MD90
- Sussex County, DE79
- Kent County, DE60
- Wicomico County, MD38
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −320 |
| 2012 | −389 |
| 2013 | −95 |
| 2014 | −190 |
| 2015 | −74 |
| 2016 | +135 |
| 2017 | +177 |
| 2018 | +94 |
| 2019 | +9 |
| 2021 | +110 |
| 2022 | −52 |
| 2023 | +74 |
| 2024 | +127 |
| 2025 | +3 |
Tucked into Maryland's Eastern Shore, Caroline County delivers presidential margins rarely seen in a state that trends heavily Democratic statewide — the 2024 gap exceeded 37 points, reflecting a rural, working-class electorate sharply out of step with the Baltimore-Washington corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 60.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.9 points.
A population of 33,669, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,457 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lyon County and Berkeley County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Caroline County, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/24011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.