Clay County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 3,310 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -SUTTON 1STSUTTON 1ST | 62 | 356 | 4 | 422 | 14.7% | 84.4% | R+69.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CLAY CENTER CITYCLAY CENTER CITY | 81 | 336 | 4 | 421 | 19.2% | 79.8% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -HARVARD CONSHARVARD CONS | 104 | 292 | 15 | 411 | 25.3% | 71.0% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -SUTTON 2NDSUTTON 2ND | 66 | 285 | 4 | 355 | 18.6% | 80.3% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -EDGAR CONSEDGAR CONS | 59 | 273 | 11 | 343 | 17.2% | 79.6% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -SUTTON TWPSSUTTON TWPS | 28 | 255 | 4 | 287 | 9.8% | 88.9% | R+79.1 |
| Precinct -LEICESTER-INLANDLEICESTER-INLAND | 51 | 185 | 3 | 239 | 21.3% | 77.4% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -LLLMLLLM | 41 | 184 | 4 | 229 | 17.9% | 80.3% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -FAIRFIELD 2ND-SPRINGRANCH CONSFAIRFIELD 2ND-SPRINGRANCH CONS | 21 | 186 | 3 | 210 | 10.0% | 88.6% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -FAIRFIELD 1STFAIRFIELD 1ST | 33 | 165 | 2 | 200 | 16.5% | 82.5% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -GLENVILGLENVIL | 31 | 160 | 2 | 193 | 16.1% | 82.9% | R+66.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −41.3% |
| 1896 | +0.3% |
| 1900 | −2.8% |
| 1904 | −39.8% |
| 1908 | +1.2% |
| 1912 | +31.1% |
| 1916 | +6.2% |
| 1920 | −38.5% |
| 1924 | −19.0% |
| 1928 | −39.5% |
| 1932 | +24.4% |
| 1936 | +1.3% |
| 1940 | −34.0% |
| 1944 | −37.6% |
| 1948 | −22.5% |
| 1952 | −52.3% |
| 1956 | −42.8% |
| 1960 | −38.6% |
| 1964 | +3.1% |
| 1968 | −39.2% |
| 1972 | −49.4% |
| 1976 | −23.9% |
| 1980 | −49.7% |
| 1984 | −56.2% |
| 1988 | −36.2% |
| 1992 | −28.5% |
| 1996 | −33.3% |
| 2000 | −48.3% |
| 2004 | −53.9% |
| 2008 | −46.1% |
| 2012 | −53.1% |
| 2016 | −63.5% |
| 2020 | −62.1% |
| 2024 | −63.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.3 points more Democratic.
4,127 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+33 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −407 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,721 in average income, against $89,616 for residents who stayed — 50% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+41.5 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Clay County, NE itself (R+63.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Adams County, NE51R+41.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Adams County, NE54
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −77 |
| 2012 | −71 |
| 2013 | −32 |
| 2014 | −53 |
| 2015 | −36 |
| 2016 | −169 |
| 2017 | +38 |
| 2018 | −6 |
| 2019 | −8 |
| 2021 | −32 |
| 2022 | −9 |
| 2023 | +70 |
| 2024 | −55 |
| 2025 | +33 |
Clay County's population has contracted steadily for decades as agricultural consolidation hollowed out small towns, leaving an older, rural electorate that has voted Republican by widening margins in each of the last four presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 63.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.3 points.
A population of 6,095, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,986 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Perkins County and Stanton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clay County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.