HarrisDemocratic16.3%3,543TrumpRepublican82.7%18,026OtherAll other candidates1.0%223
R+66.5- Lead
- 14,483
- Total
- 21,792
- vs nation
- R+65.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Nebraska 38th State Senate District
Contests in this Place (47 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic16.3%3,725TrumpRepublican81.7%18,662OtherAll other candidates2.0%466
R+65.4- Lead
- 14,937
- Total
- 22,853
- vs nation
- R+69.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic14.2%2,974TrumpRepublican80.5%16,853OtherAll other candidates5.3%1,116
R+66.3- Lead
- 13,879
- Total
- 20,943
- vs nation
- R+68.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic22.1%4,458RomneyRepublican75.8%15,317OtherAll other candidates2.1%434
R+53.7- Lead
- 10,859
- Total
- 20,209
- vs nation
- R+57.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic25.9%5,319McCainRepublican72.0%14,812OtherAll other candidates2.1%441
R+46.1- Lead
- 9,493
- Total
- 20,572
- vs nation
- R+53.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic21.7%4,819BushRepublican76.8%17,024OtherAll other candidates1.5%334
R+55.0- Lead
- 12,205
- Total
- 22,177
- vs nation
- R+52.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic24.4%5,275BushRepublican72.3%15,607OtherAll other candidates3.2%701
R+47.9- Lead
- 10,332
- Total
- 21,583
- vs nation
- R+48.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic27.7%6,006DoleRepublican60.1%13,019OtherAll other candidates12.1%2,623
R+32.4- Lead
- 7,013
- Total
- 21,648
- vs nation
- R+40.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+66.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,1412024 5-year
- Population density
- 9.4 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,379 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,9752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 43, NE · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
Nebraska 38th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
62.1%
23,647 votes · D+26.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 54.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
82.7%
18,026 votes · R+66.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
23,647votes
62.1% of the vote · D+26.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 20,293 votes
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
24,890votes
68.5% of the vote · R+38.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 24,497 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+14.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +11.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+69.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+65.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +68.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
ODave MurmanState Senate · 38
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+66.5, this sparsely populated district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep rural conservative alignment common to Nebraska's western and central plains communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 66.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.5 points.
A population of 41,141, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,975 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 43 and State Senate District 47.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 43
Nebraska
98.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State Senate District 47
Nebraska
96.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
State Senate District 33
Nebraska
96.6twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nebraska 38th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/31038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Nebraska at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Nebraska 38th State Senate District
Frequently asked questions
How did Nebraska 38th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nebraska 38th State Senate District voted Republican by 66.5 points (R+66.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,792 votes cast, 3,543 went Democratic and 18,026 went Republican.
When did Nebraska 38th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nebraska 38th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Nebraska 38th State Senate District?
Nebraska 38th State Senate District has a population of 41,141 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nebraska 38th State Senate District?
Median household income in Nebraska 38th State Senate District is $65,975 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Nebraska 38th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Nebraska 38th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.