Akashic

county

Dawson County, NE

Contests in this Place (88 available)

President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German25.0%31.0%12.5%

Irish7.5%11.7%9.4%

English6.8%9.4%9.5%

Swedish3.6%3.1%—

American2.6%3.5%5.3%

Scottish1.7%—1.3%

French1.5%—1.6%

Danish1.3%——

Mexican19.4%8.7%11.3%

Guatemalan9.1%1.0%0.5%

Salvadoran2.8%0.6%0.7%

Honduran2.3%0.2%0.3%

Cuban0.9%0.4%0.7%

Argentinean0.3%——

Colombian0.2%—0.4%

Spaniard0.2%——

African American†4.7%3.7%9.9%

Somali0.9%——

African0.7%0.3%0.5%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Median age	35.6	37.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.3%	9.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.5%	16.8%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Median household income	$69,880	$76,475	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.8%	10.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.6%	34.7%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Owner-occupied homes	66.4%	66.5%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	33.6%	33.5%	34.8%
Median home value	$166,200	$238,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$925	$1,072	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	32.0%	45.1%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	8.2%	7.6%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Mean commute	17.5 min	19.2 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	5.3%	3.6%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	78.8%	76.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.5%	3.2%
Works from home	2.4%	11.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	37.2%	12.8%	22.3%
Spanish	31.3%	8.5%	13.6%
Other languages	4.8%	0.6%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Catholic	21.9%	19.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	11.7%	14.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	45.4%	50.8%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	18.6%	12.1%	5.2%

Origins and service

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Foreign-born residents	22.7%	8.0%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	12.0%	3.4%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	10.7%	4.6%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	5.0%	6.9%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.436	0.456	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

2024 turnout 57.4% of 15,264 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic24.7%2,101TrumpRepublican74.1%6,312OliverNonpartisan0.5%40

R+49.4

Lead: 4,211
Total: 8,522
vs nation: R+47.9
Turnout: 57.4%

BidenDemocratic27.2%2,497TrumpRepublican71.0%6,524JorgensenLibertarian1.7%157

R+43.8

Lead: 4,027
Total: 9,191
vs nation: R+48.3
Turnout: 63.4%

ClintonDemocratic24.7%2,136TrumpRepublican69.3%5,984JohnsonLibertarian4.4%381

R+44.6

Lead: 3,848
Total: 8,635
vs nation: R+46.7
Turnout: 58.2%

ObamaDemocratic28.0%2,199RomneyRepublican69.5%5,460GrayLibertarian1.4%113

R+41.5

Lead: 3,261
Total: 7,859
vs nation: R+45.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic30.0%2,399McCainRepublican68.4%5,460OtherAll other candidates1.6%127

R+38.3

Lead: 3,061
Total: 7,986
vs nation: R+45.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic21.7%1,728BushRepublican77.3%6,149OtherAll other candidates1.0%79

R+55.6

Lead: 4,421
Total: 7,956
vs nation: R+53.1
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic23.2%1,740BushRepublican73.4%5,511NaderGreen1.9%143

R+50.2

Lead: 3,771
Total: 7,507
vs nation: R+50.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic27.0%2,180DoleRepublican59.4%4,794PerotReform12.9%1,044

R+32.4

Lead: 2,614
Total: 8,065
vs nation: R+40.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+49.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 24,2022024 5-year
Population density: 24 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,014 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $69,8802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 52.8%2024 5-year
Black: 6.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 37.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+34.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+64.2 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Grant County, KS · twin score 86.3

Participation

Turnout and midterm durability

Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.

2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited

2024 turnout: 57.4%8,754 participants ÷ 15,264 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +25.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state: +4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026: 31.6%–36.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Participation by cycle

Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016

42.9%

37.6%

Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.

Cycle	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Series	Quality
	8,754	15,264 ± 472	57.4%	Audited	A/A
2022Mid	5,779	15,353 ± 435	37.6%	Audited	A/A
	9,334	14,721 ± 431	63.4%	Audited	A/A
2018Mid	6,384	14,898 ± 333	42.9%	Audited	A/A
	8,861	15,220 ± 343	58.2%	Audited	A/A
	7,859	14,551	54.0%	Derived	—
	7,986	14,545	54.9%	Derived	—
	7,956	14,539 extrapolated	54.7%	Derived	—

Sources and methods

Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.

2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.

Interactive election map

One map. Every available contest.

The map and local result cover Dawson County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.

YearOfficeParty / contestMap detailShowing

Dawson County result

0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes

Larry Marvin0—

Lynne Walz0—

Governor contest result

Loading the complete contest result…

Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 20 precincts

Precinct data

Results by precinct

20 precincts · 8,491 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Dawson County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -GOTH EAST 008GOTH EAST 008	224	811	11	1,046	21.4%	77.5%	R+56.1
Precinct -COZAD EAST 002COZAD EAST 002	174	679	3	856	20.3%	79.3%	R+59.0
Precinct -GOTH WEST 009GOTH WEST 009	179	662	9	850	21.1%	77.9%	R+56.8
Precinct -COZAD WEST 003COZAD WEST 003	157	620	12	789	19.9%	78.6%	R+58.7
Precinct -LEX 3RD 014LEX 3RD 014	267	511	4	782	34.1%	65.3%	R+31.2
Precinct -LEX 2ND 013LEX 2ND 013	240	433	5	678	35.4%	63.9%	R+28.5
Precinct -OVERTON 017OVERTON 017	87	445	6	538	16.2%	82.7%	R+66.5
Precinct -LEX 5TH 016LEX 5TH 016	221	280	8	509	43.4%	55.0%	R+11.6
Precinct -LEX 1ST 012LEX 1ST 012	149	235	3	387	38.5%	60.7%	R+22.2
Precinct -PLATTE 018PLATTE 018	74	264	2	340	21.8%	77.6%	R+55.9
Precinct -GRANT 010GRANT 010	39	195	2	236	16.5%	82.6%	R+66.1
Precinct -WOODRIVER 020WOODRIVER 020	23	210	1	234	9.8%	89.7%	R+79.9
Precinct -GILLAN 007GILLAN 007	35	181	3	219	16.0%	82.6%	R+66.7
Precinct -LEX 4TH 015LEX 4TH 015	89	106	2	197	45.2%	53.8%	R+8.6
Precinct -RINGGOLD 019RINGGOLD 019	40	151	2	193	20.7%	78.2%	R+57.5
Precinct -GERMAN 006GERMAN 006	13	135	1	149	8.7%	90.6%	R+81.9
Precinct -FAIRVIEW 004FAIRVIEW 004	28	115	2	145	19.3%	79.3%	R+60.0
Precinct -COYOTE 001COYOTE 001	30	102	1	133	22.6%	76.7%	R+54.1
Precinct -FARNAM 005FARNAM 005	19	108	0	127	15.0%	85.0%	R+70.1
Precinct -KENNEBEC 011KENNEBEC 011	13	69	1	83	15.7%	83.1%	R+67.5

presidential history

Party record book

Dawson County, NE · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

60.1%

4,513 votes · D+22.0

Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 56.1%

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

81.9%

6,887 votes · R+64.2

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 81.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

4,513votes

60.1% of the vote · D+22.0

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 4,021 votes

Republican

Dwight D. Eisenhower1952

7,130votes

79.7% of the vote · R+59.3

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 6,887 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

+15.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+9.0 · U.S. R+6.1

Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · +14.7 pts

Republican

George W. Bush2004

+53.1pts R vs U.S.

Place R+55.6 · U.S. R+2.5

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · +51.0 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RDeb FischerU.S. Senate+0.46

RPete RickettsU.S. Senate+0.45

RAdrian SmithU.S. House · NE-03+0.51

OTeresa IbachState Senate · 44

Seats representing Dawson County, NE. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 0 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	21.3%1,781	78.7%6,570	8,351
2020	R	22.3%1,946	77.7%6,783	8,729
2018	R	24.1%1,506	75.9%4,753	6,259

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+37.8

Presidential vote · 2024R+49.4

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Republican than the rolls.

12,827 registered voters · 2026

Democratic21.4%Republican59.2%Unaffiliated17.6%Other1.8%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−406 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −5,124 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $54,094 in average income, against $69,156 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+29.1 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Dawson County, NE itself (R+49.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Buffalo County, NE55R+44.7
Lincoln County, NE37R+55.0
Lancaster County, NE36D+4.3
Harris County, TX23D+5.5
Hall County, NE21R+37.6

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Buffalo County, NE96
Lancaster County, NE46
Lincoln County, NE41
Douglas County, NE37
Hall County, NE34

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Dawson County, NE in Dawson County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−275
2012	−476
2013	−164
2014	−336
2015	−420
2016	−508
2017	−471
2018	−262
2019	−474
2021	−317
2022	−335
2023	−199
2024	−481
2025	−406

Dawson County, anchored by Lexington along the Platte River, recorded an R+49.4 presidential margin in 2024. Its meatpacking economy draws a sizable Latino workforce, yet countywide results remain among the state's most Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 64.2 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.4 points.

A population of 24,202, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,880 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Elko County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Grant County

Kansas

86.3twin score

2000–2008 trajectorymedian age≠ % unaffiliated

Elko County

Nevada

86.1twin score

2000–2008 trajectoryelasticity≠ Swedish ancestry

Malheur County

Oregon

85.8twin score

2000–2008 trajectory% Latino≠ German ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Dawson County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Dawson County

Nebraska at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Dawson County, Nebraska vote in 2024?

In 2024, Dawson County, Nebraska voted Republican by 49.4 points (R+49.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,522 votes cast, 2,101 went Democratic and 6,312 went Republican.

When did Dawson County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Dawson County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Dawson County, Nebraska?

Dawson County, Nebraska has a population of 24,202 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Dawson County, Nebraska?

Median household income in Dawson County, Nebraska is $69,880 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.

What is the political history of Dawson County, Nebraska?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dawson County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.

Akashic

county

Dawson County, NE

Contests in this Place (88 available)

President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German25.0%31.0%12.5%

Irish7.5%11.7%9.4%

English6.8%9.4%9.5%

Swedish3.6%3.1%—

American2.6%3.5%5.3%

Scottish1.7%—1.3%

French1.5%—1.6%

Danish1.3%——

Mexican19.4%8.7%11.3%

Guatemalan9.1%1.0%0.5%

Salvadoran2.8%0.6%0.7%

Honduran2.3%0.2%0.3%

Cuban0.9%0.4%0.7%

Argentinean0.3%——

Colombian0.2%—0.4%

Spaniard0.2%——

African American†4.7%3.7%9.9%

Somali0.9%——

African0.7%0.3%0.5%

Age and life stage

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Median age	35.6	37.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.3%	9.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.5%	16.8%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Median household income	$69,880	$76,475	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.8%	10.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.6%	34.7%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Owner-occupied homes	66.4%	66.5%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	33.6%	33.5%	34.8%
Median home value	$166,200	$238,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$925	$1,072	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	32.0%	45.1%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	8.2%	7.6%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Mean commute	17.5 min	19.2 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	5.3%	3.6%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	78.8%	76.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.5%	3.2%
Works from home	2.4%	11.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	37.2%	12.8%	22.3%
Spanish	31.3%	8.5%	13.6%
Other languages	4.8%	0.6%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Catholic	21.9%	19.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	11.7%	14.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	45.4%	50.8%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	18.6%	12.1%	5.2%

Origins and service

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Foreign-born residents	22.7%	8.0%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	12.0%	3.4%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	10.7%	4.6%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	5.0%	6.9%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.436	0.456	0.483

President results by year

2024 turnout 57.4% of 15,264 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic24.7%2,101TrumpRepublican74.1%6,312OliverNonpartisan0.5%40

R+49.4

Lead: 4,211
Total: 8,522
vs nation: R+47.9
Turnout: 57.4%

BidenDemocratic27.2%2,497TrumpRepublican71.0%6,524JorgensenLibertarian1.7%157

R+43.8

Lead: 4,027
Total: 9,191
vs nation: R+48.3
Turnout: 63.4%

ClintonDemocratic24.7%2,136TrumpRepublican69.3%5,984JohnsonLibertarian4.4%381

R+44.6

Lead: 3,848
Total: 8,635
vs nation: R+46.7
Turnout: 58.2%

ObamaDemocratic28.0%2,199RomneyRepublican69.5%5,460GrayLibertarian1.4%113

R+41.5

Lead: 3,261
Total: 7,859
vs nation: R+45.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic30.0%2,399McCainRepublican68.4%5,460OtherAll other candidates1.6%127

R+38.3

Lead: 3,061
Total: 7,986
vs nation: R+45.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic21.7%1,728BushRepublican77.3%6,149OtherAll other candidates1.0%79

R+55.6

Lead: 4,421
Total: 7,956
vs nation: R+53.1
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic23.2%1,740BushRepublican73.4%5,511NaderGreen1.9%143

R+50.2

Lead: 3,771
Total: 7,507
vs nation: R+50.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic27.0%2,180DoleRepublican59.4%4,794PerotReform12.9%1,044

R+32.4

Lead: 2,614
Total: 8,065
vs nation: R+40.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+49.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 24,2022024 5-year
Population density: 24 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,014 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $69,8802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 52.8%2024 5-year
Black: 6.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 37.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+34.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+64.2 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Grant County, KS · twin score 86.3

Participation

Turnout and midterm durability

2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited

2024 turnout: 57.4%8,754 participants ÷ 15,264 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +25.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state: +4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026: 31.6%–36.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Participation by cycle

Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016

42.9%

37.6%

Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.

Cycle	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Series	Quality
	8,754	15,264 ± 472	57.4%	Audited	A/A
2022Mid	5,779	15,353 ± 435	37.6%	Audited	A/A
	9,334	14,721 ± 431	63.4%	Audited	A/A
2018Mid	6,384	14,898 ± 333	42.9%	Audited	A/A
	8,861	15,220 ± 343	58.2%	Audited	A/A
	7,859	14,551	54.0%	Derived	—
	7,986	14,545	54.9%	Derived	—
	7,956	14,539 extrapolated	54.7%	Derived	—

Sources and methods

2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.

Interactive election map

One map. Every available contest.

The map and local result cover Dawson County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.

YearOfficeParty / contestMap detailShowing

Dawson County result

0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes

Larry Marvin0—

Lynne Walz0—

Governor contest result

Loading the complete contest result…

Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 20 precincts

Precinct data

Results by precinct

20 precincts · 8,491 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Dawson County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -GOTH EAST 008GOTH EAST 008	224	811	11	1,046	21.4%	77.5%	R+56.1
Precinct -COZAD EAST 002COZAD EAST 002	174	679	3	856	20.3%	79.3%	R+59.0
Precinct -GOTH WEST 009GOTH WEST 009	179	662	9	850	21.1%	77.9%	R+56.8
Precinct -COZAD WEST 003COZAD WEST 003	157	620	12	789	19.9%	78.6%	R+58.7
Precinct -LEX 3RD 014LEX 3RD 014	267	511	4	782	34.1%	65.3%	R+31.2
Precinct -LEX 2ND 013LEX 2ND 013	240	433	5	678	35.4%	63.9%	R+28.5
Precinct -OVERTON 017OVERTON 017	87	445	6	538	16.2%	82.7%	R+66.5
Precinct -LEX 5TH 016LEX 5TH 016	221	280	8	509	43.4%	55.0%	R+11.6
Precinct -LEX 1ST 012LEX 1ST 012	149	235	3	387	38.5%	60.7%	R+22.2
Precinct -PLATTE 018PLATTE 018	74	264	2	340	21.8%	77.6%	R+55.9
Precinct -GRANT 010GRANT 010	39	195	2	236	16.5%	82.6%	R+66.1
Precinct -WOODRIVER 020WOODRIVER 020	23	210	1	234	9.8%	89.7%	R+79.9
Precinct -GILLAN 007GILLAN 007	35	181	3	219	16.0%	82.6%	R+66.7
Precinct -LEX 4TH 015LEX 4TH 015	89	106	2	197	45.2%	53.8%	R+8.6
Precinct -RINGGOLD 019RINGGOLD 019	40	151	2	193	20.7%	78.2%	R+57.5
Precinct -GERMAN 006GERMAN 006	13	135	1	149	8.7%	90.6%	R+81.9
Precinct -FAIRVIEW 004FAIRVIEW 004	28	115	2	145	19.3%	79.3%	R+60.0
Precinct -COYOTE 001COYOTE 001	30	102	1	133	22.6%	76.7%	R+54.1
Precinct -FARNAM 005FARNAM 005	19	108	0	127	15.0%	85.0%	R+70.1
Precinct -KENNEBEC 011KENNEBEC 011	13	69	1	83	15.7%	83.1%	R+67.5

presidential history

Party record book

Dawson County, NE · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

60.1%

4,513 votes · D+22.0

Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 56.1%

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

81.9%

6,887 votes · R+64.2

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 81.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

4,513votes

60.1% of the vote · D+22.0

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 4,021 votes

Republican

Dwight D. Eisenhower1952

7,130votes

79.7% of the vote · R+59.3

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 6,887 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

+15.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+9.0 · U.S. R+6.1

Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · +14.7 pts

Republican

George W. Bush2004

+53.1pts R vs U.S.

Place R+55.6 · U.S. R+2.5

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · +51.0 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RDeb FischerU.S. Senate+0.46

RPete RickettsU.S. Senate+0.45

RAdrian SmithU.S. House · NE-03+0.51

OTeresa IbachState Senate · 44

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	21.3%1,781	78.7%6,570	8,351
2020	R	22.3%1,946	77.7%6,783	8,729
2018	R	24.1%1,506	75.9%4,753	6,259

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+37.8

Presidential vote · 2024R+49.4

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Republican than the rolls.

12,827 registered voters · 2026

Democratic21.4%Republican59.2%Unaffiliated17.6%Other1.8%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−406 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −5,124 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $54,094 in average income, against $69,156 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+29.1 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Dawson County, NE itself (R+49.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Buffalo County, NE55R+44.7
Lincoln County, NE37R+55.0
Lancaster County, NE36D+4.3
Harris County, TX23D+5.5
Hall County, NE21R+37.6

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Buffalo County, NE96
Lancaster County, NE46
Lincoln County, NE41
Douglas County, NE37
Hall County, NE34

Domestic migration in Dawson County, NE in Dawson County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−275
2012	−476
2013	−164
2014	−336
2015	−420
2016	−508
2017	−471
2018	−262
2019	−474
2021	−317
2022	−335
2023	−199
2024	−481
2025	−406

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Grant County

Kansas

86.3twin score

2000–2008 trajectorymedian age≠ % unaffiliated

Elko County

Nevada

86.1twin score

2000–2008 trajectoryelasticity≠ Swedish ancestry

Malheur County

Oregon

85.8twin score

2000–2008 trajectory% Latino≠ German ancestry

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

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Cities & towns in Dawson County

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Frequently asked questions

How did Dawson County, Nebraska vote in 2024?

In 2024, Dawson County, Nebraska voted Republican by 49.4 points (R+49.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,522 votes cast, 2,101 went Democratic and 6,312 went Republican.

When did Dawson County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Dawson County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Dawson County, Nebraska?

Dawson County, Nebraska has a population of 24,202 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Dawson County, Nebraska?

Median household income in Dawson County, Nebraska is $69,880 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.

What is the political history of Dawson County, Nebraska?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dawson County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Dawson County result

Governor contest result

Results by precinct

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Dawson County result

Governor contest result

Results by precinct

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions