Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupDeuel CountyNebraskaUnited States
German39.8%31.0%12.5%
Irish12.5%11.7%9.4%
English11.2%9.4%9.5%
Italian4.2%2.1%4.8%
American3.6%3.5%5.3%
Swedish2.7%3.1%—
Polish2.4%2.7%2.2%
Danish2.2%——
Mexican9.0%8.7%11.3%
Salvadoran0.2%0.6%0.7%
Spanish0.2%0.2%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Deuel County
Nebraska
United States
Median age
50.8
37.3
39.1
Age 18–24
6.9%
9.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
28.2%
16.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Deuel County
Nebraska
United States
Median household income
$70,096
$76,475
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.4%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.2%
34.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Deuel County
Nebraska
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.4%
12.8%
22.3%
Spanish
4.6%
8.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Deuel County
Nebraska
United States
Catholic
12.0%
19.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
14.7%
14.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
51.2%
50.8%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
22.1%
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Deuel County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
3 precincts · 1,012 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Deuel County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -CHAPPELLCHAPPELL
58
286
6
350
16.6%
81.7%
R+65.1
Precinct -SWANSWAN
43
287
6
336
12.8%
85.4%
R+72.6
Precinct -BIG SPRINGSBIG SPRINGS
50
270
6
326
15.3%
82.8%
R+67.5
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−26.0%
1896
−3.2%
1900
−24.7%
1904
−52.4%
1908
−14.3%
1912
+18.6%
1916
+29.2%
1920
−34.4%
1924
−34.5%
1928
−49.3%
1932
+26.2%
1936
+15.1%
1940
−34.3%
1944
−47.0%
1948
−43.4%
1952
−70.1%
1956
−59.7%
1960
−52.4%
1964
−29.2%
1968
−56.4%
1972
−63.4%
1976
−31.7%
1980
−61.8%
1984
−65.5%
1988
−43.2%
1992
−29.1%
1996
−38.7%
2000
−55.2%
2004
−56.8%
2008
−49.2%
2012
−53.9%
2016
−70.0%
2020
−70.6%
2024
−68.2%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
14.9%Harris151
83.1%Trump843
1.4%Oliver14 +3
R+68.2
D+2.4
R+66.8
1,014
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican83.1%843
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic14.9%151
Chase OliverNonpartisan1.4%14
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.3%3
OtherAll other candidates0.2%2
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.1%1
R
13.6%Biden141
84.2%Trump871
1.9%Jorgensen20
R+70.6
R+0.6
R+75.1
1,034
R
12.2%Clinton120
82.2%Trump809
4.8%Johnson47
R+70.0
R+16.1
R+72.1
984
R
21.1%Obama215
75.0%Romney763
2.5%Gray25
R+53.9
R+4.6
R+57.7
1,017
R
24.5%Obama243
73.7%McCain732
1.8%
R+49.2
D+7.5
R+56.5
993
R
21.1%Kerry222
77.9%Bush820
1.0%
R+56.8
R+1.6
R+54.3
1,053
R
20.6%Gore213
75.8%Bush783
2.6%Nader27
R+55.2
R+16.4
R+55.7
1,033
R
24.7%Clinton245
63.5%Dole629
11.2%Perot111
R+38.7
R+9.6
R+47.3
991
R
20.7%Clinton232
49.8%Bush558
29.2%Perot327
R+29.1
D+14.1
R+34.7
1,120
R
28.0%Dukakis302
71.2%Bush769
0.8%
R+43.2
D+22.2
R+35.5
1,080
R
17.0%Mondale198
82.4%Reagan962
0.6%
R+65.5
R+3.7
R+47.2
1,167
R
15.7%Carter192
77.5%Reagan946
6.7%
R+61.8
R+30.1
R+52.1
1,220
R
33.4%Carter398
65.2%Ford776
1.4%
R+31.7
D+31.7
R+33.8
1,191
R
18.3%McGovern224
81.7%Nixon1,001
0.0%
R+63.4
R+7.1
R+40.3
1,225
R
18.9%Humphrey250
75.2%Nixon997
5.9%
R+56.4
R+27.2
R+55.7
1,325
R
35.4%Johnson533
64.6%Goldwater972
0.0%
R+29.2
D+23.3
R+51.8
1,505
R
23.8%Kennedy398
76.2%Nixon1,276
0.0%
R+52.4
D+7.2
R+52.6
1,674
R
20.2%Stevenson294
79.8%Eisenhower1,165
0.0%
R+59.7
D+10.4
R+44.3
1,459
R
14.9%Stevenson241
85.1%Eisenhower1,372
0.0%
R+70.1
R+26.8
R+59.4
1,613
R
28.3%Truman412
71.7%Dewey1,043
0.0%
R+43.4
D+3.6
R+47.9
1,455
R
26.5%Roosevelt406
73.5%Dewey1,125
0.0%
R+47.0
R+12.6
R+54.5
1,531
R
32.8%Roosevelt565
67.2%Willkie1,156
0.0%
R+34.3
R+49.4
R+44.3
1,721
D
56.4%Roosevelt1,020
41.3%Landon747
2.3%
D+15.1
R+11.1
R+9.2
1,808
D
61.9%Roosevelt1,093
35.7%Hoover630
2.4%
D+26.2
D+75.6
D+8.4
1,765
R
25.0%Smith403
74.4%Hoover1,197
0.6%
R+49.3
R+14.9
R+31.9
1,609
R
23.7%Davis316
58.2%Coolidge775
17.7%La Follette236
R+34.5
R+0.1
R+9.3
1,331
R
30.4%Cox321
64.8%Harding684
4.7%
R+34.4
R+63.6
R+8.2
1,055
D
62.5%Wilson340
33.3%Hughes181
4.2%
D+29.2
D+10.6
D+26.1
544
O
35.3%Wilson135
16.8%Taft64
47.9%
Roosevelt +12.6
D+32.9
R+1.0
382
R
41.8%Bryan392
56.1%Taft526
2.1%
R+14.3
D+38.2
R+4.7
938
R
19.7%Parker109
72.2%Roosevelt399
8.1%
R+52.4
R+27.8
R+32.8
553
R
36.7%Bryan241
61.3%McKinley403
2.0%
R+24.7
R+21.5
R+17.1
657
R
47.6%Bryan282
50.8%McKinley301
1.7%
R+3.2
D+22.8
D+2.9
593
R
17.6%Cleveland101
43.6%Harrison250
38.9%
R+26.0
—
R+27.6
574
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
21.0%419
79.0%1,575
1,994
2020
R
10.4%104
83.4%837
1,003
2018
R
15.2%109
80.6%578
717
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+65.3
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+68.2
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 3.0 points.
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+9 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −10 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,593 in average income, against $64,863 for residents who stayed — 37% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Deuel County, NE in Deuel County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+44
2012
+8
2013
−35
2014
+6
2015
−10
2016
−42
2017
+9
2018
−37
2019
−26
2021
+33
2022
+48
2023
−27
2024
+10
2025
+9
Deuel County, anchored by the small ranching community of Chappell, cast roughly five votes for the Republican presidential candidate for every one cast for the Democrat in 2024, reflecting the deep Republican lean typical of Nebraska's sparsely populated Panhandle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.2 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 70.6 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.2 points.
A population of 1,847, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,096 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Niobrara County and Dundy County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Deuel County, Nebraska voted Republican by 68.2 points (R+68.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,014 votes cast, 151 went Democratic and 843 went Republican.
When did Deuel County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Deuel County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Deuel County, Nebraska?
Deuel County, Nebraska has a population of 1,847 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Deuel County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Deuel County, Nebraska is $70,096 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Deuel County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Deuel County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.
