Hayes County, Nebraska: Evangelical Deep South county. In 2024, voted R+92%. Republican peak: R+92 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+92MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
- Population
- 8432024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,2502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+92 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Dundy County, NE · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Hayes CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Hayes County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +34.9% |
| 1896 | −3.0% |
| 1900 | −3.8% |
| 1904 | −42.3% |
| 1908 | −11.9% |
| 1912 | +14.0% |
| 1916 | +24.8% |
| 1920 | −39.6% |
| 1924 | −16.8% |
| 1928 | −34.2% |
| 1932 | +30.2% |
| 1936 | +11.1% |
| 1940 | −11.9% |
| 1944 | −33.8% |
| 1948 | −11.7% |
| 1952 | −61.8% |
| 1956 | −40.0% |
| 1960 | −42.7% |
| 1964 | −16.3% |
| 1968 | −53.0% |
| 1972 | −59.6% |
| 1976 | −20.7% |
| 1980 | −73.3% |
| 1984 | −70.9% |
| 1988 | −51.6% |
| 1992 | −42.4% |
| 1996 | −61.8% |
| 2000 | −73.6% |
| 2004 | −76.6% |
| 2008 | −68.0% |
| 2012 | −78.8% |
| 2016 | −86.0% |
| 2020 | −85.8% |
| 2024 | −91.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 19 | 472 | 494 | ||
| R | 34 | 494 | 536 | ||
| R | 30 | 472 | 514 | ||
| R | 51 | 476 | 539 | ||
| R | 85 | 461 | 553 | ||
| R | 66 | 524 | 598 | ||
| R | 66 | 486 | 571 | ||
| R | 87 | 439 | 570 | ||
| R | 85 | 362 | 654 | ||
| R | 160 | 512 | 682 | ||
| R | 101 | 593 | 694 | ||
| R | 82 | 617 | 730 | ||
| R | 267 | 411 | 695 | ||
| R | 123 | 486 | 609 | ||
| R | 127 | 496 | 696 | ||
| R | 362 | 503 | 865 | ||
| R | 281 | 699 | 980 | ||
| R | 311 | 726 | 1,037 | ||
| R | 220 | 932 | 1,152 | ||
| R | 418 | 529 | 947 | ||
| R | 387 | 782 | 1,169 | ||
| R | 598 | 759 | 1,357 | ||
| D | 818 | 654 | 1,482 | ||
| D | 962 | 506 | 1,508 | ||
| R | 440 | 917 | 1,393 | ||
| R | 288 | 475 | 1,115 | ||
| R | 207 | 512 | 771 | ||
| D | 382 | 219 | 657 | ||
| O | 189 | 106 | 591 | ||
| R | 277 | 359 | 689 | ||
| R | 110 | 335 | 532 | ||
| R | 284 | 308 | 626 | ||
| R | 284 | 302 | 607 | ||
| D | 345 | 79 | 763 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
33.0%
English
16.3%
Irish
8.1%
American
6.2%
Italian
1.7%
Polish
1.2%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 47.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,250
Hayes County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Hayes County$69,250
Nebraska$76,475
United States$80,734
Hayes County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.7%
Working age (18–64)13.7%
Seniors (65+)7.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.1%
speak English only
Spanish5.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Hayes County's 2024 presidential margin of R+91.7 places it among the most heavily one-sided counties in the country — a reflection of the sparsely populated Nebraska Panhandle's ranching economy and deep rural roots.
The Republican margin here reached its widest at ninety-two points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was ninety-two points.
A median household income of $69,250, a 13% poverty rate, and a 94% non-Hispanic-white share describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dundy County and Kiowa County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hayes County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31085/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Hayes County, Nebraska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hayes County, Nebraska voted Republican by 91.7 points (R+92), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 494 votes cast, 19 went Democratic and 472 went Republican.
What is Hayes County, Nebraska's political typology?
Akashic places Hayes County, Nebraska in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology — Deeply Republican, heavily Baptist counties of the Deep South. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 29 times, and other 1 times.
When did Hayes County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hayes County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Hayes County, Nebraska?
Hayes County, Nebraska has a population of 843 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hayes County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Hayes County, Nebraska is $69,250 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Hayes County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hayes County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The county's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.