Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHayes CountyNebraskaUnited States
German33.0%31.0%12.5%
English16.3%9.4%9.5%
Irish8.1%11.7%9.4%
American6.2%3.5%5.3%
Swedish2.1%3.1%—
Czech1.9%3.4%—
Italian1.7%2.1%4.8%
Dutch1.7%——
Mexican3.3%8.7%11.3%
Uruguayan0.7%——
Guatemalan0.6%1.0%0.5%
Spanish0.2%0.2%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Hayes County
Nebraska
United States
Median age
47.3
37.3
39.1
Age 18–24
2.3%
9.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
25.5%
16.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Hayes County
Nebraska
United States
Median household income
$69,250
$76,475
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.7%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
19.8%
34.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Hayes County
Nebraska
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.9%
12.8%
22.3%
Spanish
5.6%
8.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Hayes County
Nebraska
United States
Catholic
—
19.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
20.3%
14.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
61.1%
50.8%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
18.6%
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Hayes County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
3 precincts · 494 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Hayes County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -22
2
167
0
169
1.2%
98.8%
R+97.6
Precinct -33
9
154
2
165
5.5%
93.3%
R+87.9
Precinct -11
8
151
1
160
5.0%
94.4%
R+89.4
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−34.9%
1896
−3.0%
1900
−3.8%
1904
−42.3%
1908
−11.9%
1912
+14.0%
1916
+24.8%
1920
−39.6%
1924
−16.8%
1928
−34.2%
1932
+30.2%
1936
+11.1%
1940
−11.9%
1944
−33.8%
1948
−11.7%
1952
−61.8%
1956
−40.0%
1960
−42.7%
1964
−16.3%
1968
−53.0%
1972
−59.6%
1976
−20.7%
1980
−73.3%
1984
−70.9%
1988
−51.6%
1992
−42.4%
1996
−61.8%
2000
−73.6%
2004
−76.6%
2008
−68.0%
2012
−78.8%
2016
−86.0%
2020
−85.8%
2024
−91.7%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
3.8%Harris19
95.5%Trump472
0.4%Stein2 +1
R+91.7
R+5.9
R+90.2
494
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican95.5%472
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic3.8%19
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.4%2
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.2%1
R
6.3%Biden34
92.2%Trump494
1.1%Jorgensen6
R+85.8
D+0.2
R+90.3
536
R
5.8%Clinton30
91.8%Trump472
1.6%Johnson8
R+86.0
R+7.1
R+88.1
514
R
9.5%Obama51
88.3%Romney476
2.0%Gray11
R+78.8
R+10.9
R+82.7
539
R
15.4%Obama85
83.4%McCain461
1.3%
R+68.0
D+8.6
R+75.3
553
R
11.0%Kerry66
87.6%Bush524
1.3%
R+76.6
R+3.0
R+74.1
598
R
11.6%Gore66
85.1%Bush486
1.4%Nader8
R+73.6
R+11.8
R+74.1
571
R
15.3%Clinton87
77.0%Dole439
6.8%Perot39
R+61.8
R+19.4
R+70.3
570
R
13.0%Clinton85
55.4%Bush362
31.7%Perot207
R+42.4
D+9.3
R+47.9
654
R
23.5%Dukakis160
75.1%Bush512
1.5%
R+51.6
D+19.3
R+43.9
682
R
14.6%Mondale101
85.4%Reagan593
0.0%
R+70.9
D+2.4
R+52.7
694
R
11.2%Carter82
84.5%Reagan617
4.2%
R+73.3
R+52.6
R+63.6
730
R
38.4%Carter267
59.1%Ford411
2.4%
R+20.7
D+38.9
R+22.8
695
R
20.2%McGovern123
79.8%Nixon486
0.0%
R+59.6
R+6.6
R+36.5
609
R
18.2%Humphrey127
71.3%Nixon496
10.5%
R+53.0
R+36.7
R+52.3
696
R
41.8%Johnson362
58.2%Goldwater503
0.0%
R+16.3
D+26.4
R+38.9
865
R
28.7%Kennedy281
71.3%Nixon699
0.0%
R+42.7
R+2.6
R+42.8
980
R
30.0%Stevenson311
70.0%Eisenhower726
0.0%
R+40.0
D+21.8
R+24.6
1,037
R
19.1%Stevenson220
80.9%Eisenhower932
0.0%
R+61.8
R+50.1
R+51.0
1,152
R
44.1%Truman418
55.9%Dewey529
0.0%
R+11.7
D+22.1
R+16.2
947
R
33.1%Roosevelt387
66.9%Dewey782
0.0%
R+33.8
R+21.9
R+41.3
1,169
R
44.1%Roosevelt598
55.9%Willkie759
0.0%
R+11.9
R+22.9
R+21.8
1,357
D
55.2%Roosevelt818
44.1%Landon654
0.7%
D+11.1
R+19.2
R+13.2
1,482
D
63.8%Roosevelt962
33.6%Hoover506
2.7%
D+30.2
D+64.5
D+12.4
1,508
R
31.6%Smith440
65.8%Hoover917
2.6%
R+34.2
R+17.5
R+16.8
1,393
R
25.8%Davis288
42.6%Coolidge475
31.1%La Follette347
R+16.8
D+22.8
D+8.4
1,115
R
26.8%Cox207
66.4%Harding512
6.7%
R+39.6
R+64.4
R+13.4
771
D
58.1%Wilson382
33.3%Hughes219
8.5%
D+24.8
D+10.8
D+21.7
657
O
32.0%Wilson189
17.9%Taft106
50.1%
Roosevelt +18.1
D+25.9
R+5.5
591
R
40.2%Bryan277
52.1%Taft359
7.7%
R+11.9
D+30.4
R+2.3
689
R
20.7%Parker110
63.0%Roosevelt335
16.4%
R+42.3
R+38.5
R+22.6
532
R
45.4%Bryan284
49.2%McKinley308
5.4%
R+3.8
R+0.9
D+3.7
626
R
46.8%Bryan284
49.8%McKinley302
3.5%
R+3.0
D+31.9
D+3.1
607
R
10.4%Cleveland79
45.2%Harrison345
44.4%
R+34.9
—
R+36.5
763
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
7.9%78
92.1%906
984
2020
R
5.9%30
89.6%457
510
2018
R
8.2%32
89.3%350
392
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+82.4
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+91.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.3 points more Democratic.
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−22 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −187 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $34,800 in average income, against $58,116 for residents who stayed — 40% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Hayes County, NE in Hayes County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−10
2012
−37
2013
+14
2014
−43
2015
−3
2016
−36
2017
−9
2018
+7
2019
−12
2021
−14
2022
+8
2023
−29
2024
−1
2025
−22
Hayes County's 2024 presidential margin of R+91.7 places it among the most heavily one-sided counties in the country — a reflection of the sparsely populated Nebraska Panhandle's ranching economy and deep rural roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 91.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 91.7 points.
A population of 843, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,250 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Perkins County and Washington County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Hayes County, Nebraska voted Republican by 91.7 points (R+91.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 494 votes cast, 19 went Democratic and 472 went Republican.
When did Hayes County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hayes County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Hayes County, Nebraska?
Hayes County, Nebraska has a population of 843 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hayes County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Hayes County, Nebraska is $69,250 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Hayes County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hayes County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.
