Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNuckolls CountyNebraskaUnited States
German38.8%31.0%12.5%
English8.4%9.4%9.5%
Irish8.3%11.7%9.4%
Danish5.1%——
Czech5.1%3.4%—
American4.6%3.5%5.3%
Polish1.8%2.7%2.2%
Swedish1.5%3.1%—
Mexican3.3%8.7%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.3%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Nuckolls County
Nebraska
United States
Median age
50.6
37.3
39.1
Age 18–24
5.4%
9.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
29.4%
16.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Nuckolls County
Nebraska
United States
Median household income
$73,976
$76,475
$84,427
Poverty rate
5.7%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
23.1%
34.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Nuckolls County
Nebraska
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
1.6%
12.8%
22.3%
Spanish
1.1%
8.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Nuckolls County
Nebraska
United States
Catholic
16.8%
19.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
21.8%
14.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
40.7%
50.8%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
20.6%
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Nuckolls County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
4 precincts · 2,258 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Nuckolls County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -SUPERIORSUPERIOR
202
830
7
1,039
19.4%
79.9%
R+60.4
Precinct -NELSONNELSON
94
396
7
497
18.9%
79.7%
R+60.8
Precinct -EAST NUCKOLLSEAST NUCKOLLS
69
343
3
415
16.6%
82.7%
R+66.0
Precinct -VICTORVICTOR
34
267
6
307
11.1%
87.0%
R+75.9
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−33.5%
1896
+8.5%
1900
+0.3%
1904
−38.9%
1908
+0.1%
1912
+19.0%
1916
+9.9%
1920
−31.6%
1924
−20.8%
1928
−32.1%
1932
+30.2%
1936
+8.9%
1940
−23.4%
1944
−25.1%
1948
−5.4%
1952
−40.7%
1956
−28.6%
1960
−21.7%
1964
+17.0%
1968
−24.0%
1972
−35.3%
1976
−10.2%
1980
−39.0%
1984
−38.3%
1988
−22.0%
1992
−15.0%
1996
−25.4%
2000
−43.3%
2004
−54.4%
2008
−37.9%
2012
−45.9%
2016
−62.3%
2020
−62.8%
2024
−63.5%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
17.6%Harris399
81.2%Trump1,836
0.9%Oliver20 +2
R+63.5
R+0.7
R+62.1
2,262
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican81.2%1,836
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.6%399
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.9%20
OtherAll other candidates0.2%4
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.1%3
R
17.7%Biden409
80.6%Trump1,857
1.6%Jorgensen37
R+62.8
R+0.6
R+67.3
2,305
R
16.0%Clinton353
78.3%Trump1,726
4.0%Johnson88
R+62.3
R+16.4
R+64.4
2,205
R
25.9%Obama568
71.8%Romney1,574
1.6%Gray34
R+45.9
R+8.0
R+49.8
2,191
R
29.6%Obama657
67.4%McCain1,498
3.0%
R+37.9
D+16.5
R+45.1
2,221
R
21.9%Kerry541
76.2%Bush1,884
1.9%
R+54.4
R+11.1
R+51.9
2,471
R
26.4%Gore644
69.6%Bush1,701
2.7%Nader66
R+43.3
R+17.9
R+43.8
2,443
R
30.7%Clinton757
56.0%Dole1,383
12.4%Perot306
R+25.4
R+10.4
R+33.9
2,469
R
28.2%Clinton834
43.2%Bush1,277
28.0%Perot828
R+15.0
D+7.0
R+20.5
2,959
R
38.5%Dukakis1,114
60.5%Bush1,750
0.9%
R+22.0
D+16.3
R+14.3
2,891
R
30.6%Mondale947
68.8%Reagan2,132
0.6%
R+38.3
D+0.8
R+20.0
3,098
R
27.4%Carter899
66.4%Reagan2,180
6.2%
R+39.0
R+28.8
R+29.3
3,282
R
44.2%Carter1,424
54.4%Ford1,753
1.5%
R+10.2
D+25.1
R+12.3
3,224
R
32.4%McGovern999
67.6%Nixon2,089
0.0%
R+35.3
R+11.3
R+12.1
3,088
R
35.3%Humphrey1,127
59.3%Nixon1,894
5.4%
R+24.0
R+41.1
R+23.3
3,193
D
58.5%Johnson2,181
41.5%Goldwater1,546
0.0%
D+17.0
D+38.8
R+5.5
3,727
R
39.1%Kennedy1,570
60.9%Nixon2,441
0.0%
R+21.7
D+6.8
R+21.9
4,011
R
35.7%Stevenson1,485
64.3%Eisenhower2,672
0.0%
R+28.6
D+12.1
R+13.2
4,157
R
29.7%Stevenson1,371
70.3%Eisenhower3,251
0.0%
R+40.7
R+35.3
R+29.9
4,622
R
47.3%Truman1,827
52.7%Dewey2,036
0.0%
R+5.4
D+19.7
R+9.9
3,863
R
37.4%Roosevelt1,607
62.6%Dewey2,685
0.0%
R+25.1
R+1.7
R+32.6
4,292
R
38.3%Roosevelt1,873
61.7%Willkie3,017
0.0%
R+23.4
R+32.3
R+33.3
4,890
D
53.7%Roosevelt2,778
44.8%Landon2,317
1.5%
D+8.9
R+21.2
R+15.3
5,171
D
64.1%Roosevelt3,420
34.0%Hoover1,812
1.9%
D+30.2
D+62.3
D+12.4
5,333
R
33.5%Smith1,684
65.6%Hoover3,299
0.9%
R+32.1
R+11.3
R+14.7
5,027
R
33.2%Davis1,596
54.0%Coolidge2,595
12.5%La Follette600
R+20.8
D+10.8
D+4.4
4,804
R
32.5%Cox1,337
64.1%Harding2,637
3.4%
R+31.6
R+41.5
R+5.4
4,116
D
53.4%Wilson1,732
43.5%Hughes1,411
3.1%
D+9.9
R+9.1
D+6.8
3,243
D
43.5%Wilson1,312
24.5%Taft738
32.1%
D+19.0
D+18.9
R+0.5
3,017
D
49.3%Bryan1,523
49.2%Taft1,519
1.5%
D+0.1
D+39.0
D+9.7
3,088
R
22.1%Parker585
61.0%Roosevelt1,615
16.9%
R+38.9
R+39.2
R+19.2
2,648
D
49.4%Bryan1,480
49.1%McKinley1,471
1.5%
D+0.3
R+8.2
D+7.8
2,997
D
53.0%Bryan1,355
44.5%McKinley1,137
2.5%
D+8.5
D+42.0
D+14.6
2,557
O
6.4%Cleveland159
39.9%Harrison990
53.7%
Weaver +13.8
—
R+35.1
2,482
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
22.1%979
77.9%3,460
4,439
2020
R
11.5%255
83.7%1,856
2,218
2018
R
20.8%365
75.4%1,321
1,752
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+54.6
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+63.5
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.0 points more Democratic.
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+10 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −137 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,762 in average income, against $71,052 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Nuckolls County, NE in Nuckolls County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−42
2012
+8
2013
−14
2014
−23
2015
−31
2016
−40
2017
+11
2018
−46
2019
−46
2021
+10
2022
+20
2023
+39
2024
+7
2025
+10
Nuckolls County, anchored by the small city of Nelson, sits in south-central Nebraska's agricultural plains and has delivered Republican presidential margins above 60 points in recent cycles, reflecting the heavily Republican alignment common to the state's sparsely populated farming counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.5 points.
A population of 4,087, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,976 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fillmore County and Franklin County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Nuckolls County, Nebraska voted Republican by 63.5 points (R+63.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,262 votes cast, 399 went Democratic and 1,836 went Republican.
When did Nuckolls County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nuckolls County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Nuckolls County, Nebraska?
Nuckolls County, Nebraska has a population of 4,087 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nuckolls County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Nuckolls County, Nebraska is $73,976 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Nuckolls County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Nuckolls County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.
