Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupThayer CountyNebraskaUnited States
German48.6%31.0%12.5%
Irish10.9%11.7%9.4%
English9.5%9.4%9.5%
Czech3.9%3.4%—
American3.0%3.5%5.3%
French2.1%—1.6%
Danish2.1%——
Swedish1.8%3.1%—
Mexican2.7%8.7%11.3%
Spanish0.2%0.2%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Thayer County
Nebraska
United States
Median age
46
37.3
39.1
Age 18–24
6.4%
9.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
25.4%
16.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Thayer County
Nebraska
United States
Median household income
$66,213
$76,475
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.0%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
23.8%
34.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Thayer County
Nebraska
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.5%
12.8%
22.3%
Spanish
1.6%
8.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Thayer County
Nebraska
United States
Catholic
8.3%
19.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
37.3%
14.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
14.4%
50.8%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
40.0%
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Thayer County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
4 precincts · 2,852 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Thayer County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -HEBRONHEBRON
227
780
11
1,018
22.3%
76.6%
R+54.3
Precinct -THAYER COUNTY NORTHTHAYER COUNTY NORTH
131
702
10
843
15.5%
83.3%
R+67.7
Precinct -DESHLERDESHLER
117
374
6
497
23.5%
75.3%
R+51.7
Precinct -THAYER COUNTY SOUTHTHAYER COUNTY SOUTH
69
422
3
494
14.0%
85.4%
R+71.5
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−33.5%
1896
−8.2%
1900
−9.2%
1904
−36.2%
1908
−0.3%
1912
+23.9%
1916
−5.5%
1920
−49.6%
1924
−20.9%
1928
−24.0%
1932
+33.8%
1936
+12.9%
1940
−30.4%
1944
−36.7%
1948
−14.8%
1952
−51.8%
1956
−39.6%
1960
−34.8%
1964
+3.7%
1968
−35.6%
1972
−39.9%
1976
−20.2%
1980
−43.5%
1984
−46.0%
1988
−19.8%
1992
−13.7%
1996
−25.6%
2000
−42.4%
2004
−45.6%
2008
−33.4%
2012
−43.1%
2016
−57.7%
2020
−56.3%
2024
−60.6%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
19.0%Harris544
79.6%Trump2,278
0.6%Oliver17 +3
R+60.6
R+4.2
R+59.1
2,863
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican79.6%2,278
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic19.0%544
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.6%17
OtherAll other candidates0.4%11
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.2%7
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.2%6
R
20.9%Biden624
77.2%Trump2,308
1.6%Jorgensen48
R+56.3
D+1.4
R+60.8
2,989
R
18.6%Clinton499
76.2%Trump2,051
4.6%Johnson124
R+57.7
R+14.6
R+59.8
2,690
R
27.4%Obama728
70.5%Romney1,874
1.5%Gray41
R+43.1
R+9.7
R+47.0
2,659
R
32.3%Obama860
65.8%McCain1,749
1.9%
R+33.4
D+12.1
R+40.7
2,659
R
26.5%Kerry764
72.1%Bush2,075
1.4%
R+45.6
R+3.1
R+43.1
2,878
R
27.3%Gore821
69.7%Bush2,096
2.2%Nader65
R+42.4
R+16.8
R+42.9
3,006
R
31.2%Clinton933
56.8%Dole1,698
11.2%Perot334
R+25.6
R+11.9
R+34.1
2,989
R
27.1%Clinton924
40.8%Bush1,391
31.6%Perot1,079
R+13.7
D+6.1
R+19.3
3,410
R
39.7%Dukakis1,322
59.6%Bush1,981
0.7%
R+19.8
D+26.2
R+12.1
3,326
R
26.6%Mondale946
72.7%Reagan2,580
0.7%
R+46.0
R+2.5
R+27.8
3,551
R
25.4%Carter926
68.9%Reagan2,514
5.8%
R+43.5
R+23.3
R+33.8
3,650
R
39.1%Carter1,315
59.3%Ford1,994
1.5%
R+20.2
D+19.6
R+22.3
3,360
R
30.1%McGovern978
69.9%Nixon2,274
0.0%
R+39.9
R+4.3
R+16.7
3,252
R
29.7%Humphrey1,061
65.3%Nixon2,331
5.0%
R+35.6
R+39.3
R+34.9
3,569
D
51.9%Johnson2,298
48.1%Goldwater2,132
0.0%
D+3.7
D+38.5
R+18.8
4,430
R
32.6%Kennedy1,550
67.4%Nixon3,202
0.0%
R+34.8
D+4.9
R+34.9
4,752
R
30.2%Stevenson1,447
69.8%Eisenhower3,346
0.0%
R+39.6
D+12.2
R+24.2
4,793
R
24.1%Stevenson1,266
75.9%Eisenhower3,992
0.0%
R+51.8
R+37.1
R+41.1
5,258
R
42.6%Truman1,931
57.4%Dewey2,601
0.0%
R+14.8
D+22.0
R+19.3
4,532
R
31.6%Roosevelt1,644
68.4%Dewey3,554
0.0%
R+36.7
R+6.3
R+44.2
5,198
R
34.8%Roosevelt2,077
65.2%Willkie3,893
0.0%
R+30.4
R+43.3
R+40.4
5,970
D
55.8%Roosevelt3,418
42.9%Landon2,628
1.3%
D+12.9
R+20.9
R+11.4
6,125
D
66.1%Roosevelt3,841
32.3%Hoover1,878
1.5%
D+33.8
D+57.8
D+16.0
5,809
R
37.8%Smith2,173
61.8%Hoover3,552
0.4%
R+24.0
R+3.1
R+6.5
5,748
R
31.8%Davis1,719
52.7%Coolidge2,847
15.2%La Follette818
R+20.9
D+28.7
D+4.3
5,399
R
23.8%Cox1,120
73.3%Harding3,456
2.9%
R+49.6
R+44.0
R+23.4
4,714
R
45.7%Wilson1,581
51.3%Hughes1,772
3.0%
R+5.5
R+29.4
R+8.7
3,457
D
45.3%Wilson1,490
21.4%Taft703
33.3%
D+23.9
D+24.2
D+4.4
3,290
R
48.8%Bryan1,703
49.1%Taft1,714
2.2%
R+0.3
D+35.9
D+9.2
3,493
R
26.3%Parker812
62.5%Roosevelt1,930
11.2%
R+36.2
R+27.0
R+16.5
3,089
R
44.9%Bryan1,516
54.1%McKinley1,825
1.0%
R+9.2
R+1.0
R+1.6
3,374
R
44.7%Bryan1,315
52.9%McKinley1,556
2.4%
R+8.2
D+25.3
R+2.1
2,943
R
13.2%Cleveland356
46.6%Harrison1,261
40.2%
R+33.5
—
R+35.1
2,704
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
22.7%1,291
77.3%4,397
5,688
2020
R
13.0%372
82.6%2,356
2,851
2018
R
24.1%539
71.9%1,606
2,234
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+55.5
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+60.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.0 points more Democratic.
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−12 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −59 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,590 in average income, against $85,500 for residents who stayed — 47% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Thayer County, NE in Thayer County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−41
2012
−3
2013
+65
2014
+46
2015
−61
2016
−23
2017
−25
2018
+31
2019
−12
2021
−80
2022
+10
2023
+8
2024
+38
2025
−12
Thayer County's agricultural flatlands and shrinking population of roughly 6,000 have produced some of the widest presidential margins in the state, reflecting a broader rural consolidation that has reshaped Nebraska's electoral map over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.6 points.
A population of 4,901, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,213 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pierce County and Hutchinson County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Thayer County, Nebraska voted Republican by 60.6 points (R+60.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,863 votes cast, 544 went Democratic and 2,278 went Republican.
When did Thayer County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Thayer County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Thayer County, Nebraska?
Thayer County, Nebraska has a population of 4,901 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Thayer County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Thayer County, Nebraska is $66,213 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Thayer County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Thayer County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.
