Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupValley CountyNebraskaUnited States
German38.5%31.0%12.5%
English11.4%9.4%9.5%
Irish10.8%11.7%9.4%
Polish9.8%2.7%2.2%
Czech9.3%3.4%—
American5.6%3.5%5.3%
Italian2.5%2.1%4.8%
Swedish2.0%3.1%—
Mexican1.3%8.7%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.3%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Valley County
Nebraska
United States
Median age
46.1
37.3
39.1
Age 18–24
6.2%
9.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
25.8%
16.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Valley County
Nebraska
United States
Median household income
$61,852
$76,475
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.3%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.3%
34.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Valley County
Nebraska
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.1%
12.8%
22.3%
Spanish
1.6%
8.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Valley County
Nebraska
United States
Catholic
29.6%
19.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
13.0%
14.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
40.1%
50.8%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
17.3%
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Valley County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
7 precincts · 2,299 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Valley County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -11
45
314
3
362
12.4%
86.7%
R+74.3
Precinct -77
57
299
4
360
15.8%
83.1%
R+67.2
Precinct -55
54
294
2
350
15.4%
84.0%
R+68.6
Precinct -44
69
245
4
318
21.7%
77.0%
R+55.3
Precinct -33
61
250
3
314
19.4%
79.6%
R+60.2
Precinct -22
65
239
5
309
21.0%
77.3%
R+56.3
Precinct -66
52
231
3
286
18.2%
80.8%
R+62.6
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−27.9%
1896
+12.1%
1900
+3.2%
1904
−51.6%
1908
+0.2%
1912
+11.4%
1916
+23.8%
1920
−34.3%
1924
−33.1%
1928
−39.1%
1932
+20.1%
1936
−1.8%
1940
−21.3%
1944
−17.4%
1948
−9.3%
1952
−43.8%
1956
−33.6%
1960
−24.2%
1964
−3.5%
1968
−35.4%
1972
−44.6%
1976
−19.7%
1980
−49.4%
1984
−46.9%
1988
−29.2%
1992
−17.6%
1996
−24.6%
2000
−45.4%
2004
−51.7%
2008
−39.2%
2012
−52.8%
2016
−65.4%
2020
−63.5%
2024
−63.8%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
17.5%Harris403
81.4%Trump1,872
0.5%Oliver12 +3
R+63.8
R+0.3
R+62.4
2,301
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican81.4%1,872
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.5%403
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.5%12
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.3%6
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.3%6
OtherAll other candidates0.1%2
R
17.6%Biden412
81.1%Trump1,901
1.2%Jorgensen27
R+63.5
D+1.8
R+68.0
2,344
R
15.4%Clinton339
80.7%Trump1,780
2.4%Johnson53
R+65.4
R+12.5
R+67.4
2,205
R
22.7%Obama498
75.5%Romney1,657
1.1%Gray25
R+52.8
R+13.6
R+56.7
2,195
R
29.1%Obama706
68.4%McCain1,657
2.5%
R+39.2
D+12.5
R+46.5
2,423
R
23.6%Kerry564
75.3%Bush1,801
1.1%
R+51.7
R+6.4
R+49.3
2,391
R
25.8%Gore583
71.1%Bush1,610
2.0%Nader45
R+45.4
R+20.8
R+45.9
2,263
R
31.7%Clinton758
56.3%Dole1,346
11.5%Perot274
R+24.6
R+6.9
R+33.1
2,392
R
27.6%Clinton716
45.3%Bush1,173
26.8%Perot693
R+17.6
D+11.6
R+23.2
2,590
R
34.9%Dukakis873
64.1%Bush1,604
1.0%
R+29.2
D+17.7
R+21.5
2,503
R
26.3%Mondale739
73.2%Reagan2,055
0.5%
R+46.9
D+2.5
R+28.7
2,807
R
22.4%Carter655
71.7%Reagan2,101
5.9%
R+49.4
R+29.7
R+39.6
2,929
R
37.6%Carter1,042
57.3%Ford1,587
5.1%
R+19.7
D+24.9
R+21.7
2,769
R
27.7%McGovern771
72.3%Nixon2,011
0.0%
R+44.6
R+9.2
R+21.4
2,782
R
29.0%Humphrey793
64.4%Nixon1,759
6.6%
R+35.4
R+31.9
R+34.7
2,731
R
48.3%Johnson1,545
51.7%Goldwater1,657
0.0%
R+3.5
D+20.7
R+26.1
3,202
R
37.9%Kennedy1,248
62.1%Nixon2,045
0.0%
R+24.2
D+9.4
R+24.4
3,293
R
33.2%Stevenson1,089
66.8%Eisenhower2,189
0.0%
R+33.6
D+10.3
R+18.2
3,278
R
28.1%Stevenson1,027
71.9%Eisenhower2,630
0.0%
R+43.8
R+34.5
R+33.1
3,657
R
45.3%Truman1,385
54.7%Dewey1,670
0.0%
R+9.3
D+8.1
R+13.8
3,055
R
41.3%Roosevelt1,475
58.7%Dewey2,096
0.0%
R+17.4
D+3.9
R+24.9
3,571
R
39.4%Roosevelt1,590
60.6%Willkie2,449
0.0%
R+21.3
R+19.5
R+31.2
4,039
R
47.9%Roosevelt1,960
49.6%Landon2,033
2.5%
R+1.8
R+21.9
R+26.0
4,095
D
59.2%Roosevelt2,400
39.0%Hoover1,584
1.8%
D+20.1
D+59.2
D+2.3
4,057
R
30.2%Smith1,205
69.3%Hoover2,768
0.6%
R+39.1
R+6.0
R+21.6
3,996
R
21.9%Davis802
55.0%Coolidge2,014
22.8%La Follette834
R+33.1
D+1.1
R+7.9
3,659
R
30.5%Cox912
64.8%Harding1,935
4.7%
R+34.3
R+58.0
R+8.1
2,986
D
60.2%Wilson1,388
36.4%Hughes840
3.3%
D+23.8
D+12.3
D+20.6
2,305
D
38.2%Wilson788
26.7%Taft552
35.1%
D+11.4
D+11.2
R+8.1
2,065
D
48.7%Bryan1,045
48.5%Taft1,040
2.8%
D+0.2
D+51.8
D+9.8
2,146
R
12.4%Parker219
63.9%Roosevelt1,133
23.7%
R+51.6
R+54.7
R+31.9
1,772
D
50.6%Bryan864
47.4%McKinley810
2.0%
D+3.2
R+8.9
D+10.7
1,709
D
55.1%Bryan886
43.0%McKinley692
1.9%
D+12.1
D+40.0
D+18.1
1,608
O
9.3%Cleveland145
37.3%Harrison579
53.4%
Weaver +16.1
—
R+29.6
1,553
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
20.8%941
79.2%3,592
4,533
2020
R
12.6%280
81.9%1,821
2,223
2018
R
20.0%359
77.2%1,388
1,797
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+61.1
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+63.8
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.7 points.
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+5 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −145 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,253 in average income, against $58,886 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Valley County, NE in Valley County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−36
2012
−1
2013
−28
2014
+30
2015
−64
2016
+25
2017
+30
2018
−43
2019
−47
2021
+15
2022
+3
2023
−39
2024
+5
2025
+5
Valley County recorded an R+63.9 margin in 2024, reflecting the deep Republican lean common across Nebraska's sparsely populated Sand Hills region, where ranching and agriculture define both the economy and the electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.8 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 65.4 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 63.8 points.
A population of 4,066, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,852 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Golden Valley County and Nance County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Valley County, Nebraska voted Republican by 63.8 points (R+63.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,301 votes cast, 403 went Democratic and 1,872 went Republican.
When did Valley County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Valley County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1932.
How many people live in Valley County, Nebraska?
Valley County, Nebraska has a population of 4,066 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Valley County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Valley County, Nebraska is $61,852 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Valley County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Valley County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.
