Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupThurston CountyNebraskaUnited States
Navajo1.3%——
Oglala Sioux0.6%0.1%—
Rosebud Sioux0.2%——
German17.1%31.0%12.5%
Irish4.0%11.7%9.4%
Swedish3.1%3.1%—
English2.3%9.4%9.5%
Polish1.4%2.7%2.2%
American1.4%3.5%5.3%
Czech1.4%3.4%—
Norwegian1.0%——
Mexican3.8%8.7%11.3%
Cuban0.4%0.4%0.7%
Guatemalan0.3%1.0%0.5%
Spanish0.2%0.2%—
Burmese0.7%0.4%—
Nepalese0.3%——
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Thurston County
Nebraska
United States
Median age
29.2
37.3
39.1
Age 18–24
10.5%
9.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.7%
16.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Thurston County
Nebraska
United States
Median household income
$69,177
$76,475
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.9%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
22.2%
34.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Thurston County
Nebraska
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.8%
12.8%
22.3%
Spanish
1.2%
8.5%
13.6%
Other languages
2.7%
0.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Thurston County
Nebraska
United States
Catholic
6.7%
19.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
13.1%
14.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
59.7%
50.8%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
20.1%
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Thurston County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 2,123 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Thurston County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.1%Harris978
53.0%Trump1,125
0.4%Oliver8 +2
R+6.9
R+4.5
R+5.5
2,123
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican53.0%1,125
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic46.1%978
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.4%8
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.4%8
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.2%4
R
47.2%Biden1,122
49.6%Trump1,180
1.0%Jorgensen23
R+2.4
D+3.5
R+6.9
2,379
R
44.0%Clinton919
50.0%Trump1,043
2.7%Johnson56
R+5.9
R+19.8
R+8.0
2,088
D
56.3%Obama1,247
42.4%Romney939
0.9%Gray20
D+13.9
D+6.9
D+10.1
2,215
D
52.7%Obama1,120
45.7%McCain972
1.6%
D+7.0
D+4.5
R+0.3
2,126
D
50.8%Kerry1,212
48.3%Bush1,154
0.9%
D+2.4
D+8.0
D+4.9
2,387
R
44.4%Gore924
50.0%Bush1,040
2.7%Nader56
R+5.6
R+11.6
R+6.1
2,082
D
45.5%Clinton962
39.5%Dole835
13.9%Perot293
D+6.0
D+7.5
R+2.5
2,114
R
38.3%Clinton865
39.8%Bush898
21.6%Perot487
R+1.5
R+6.6
R+7.0
2,257
D
52.4%Dukakis1,225
47.2%Bush1,105
0.4%
D+5.1
D+18.4
D+12.9
2,340
R
43.1%Mondale1,077
56.4%Reagan1,410
0.5%
R+13.3
D+17.6
D+4.9
2,500
R
30.8%Carter726
61.7%Reagan1,454
7.5%
R+30.9
R+19.7
R+21.2
2,356
R
42.7%Carter1,021
53.9%Ford1,290
3.4%
R+11.2
D+18.9
R+13.3
2,393
R
34.9%McGovern840
65.1%Nixon1,565
0.0%
R+30.1
R+7.2
R+7.0
2,405
R
34.1%Humphrey802
57.0%Nixon1,341
8.9%
R+22.9
R+40.4
R+22.2
2,353
D
58.7%Johnson1,700
41.3%Goldwater1,194
0.0%
D+17.5
D+31.9
R+5.1
2,894
R
42.8%Kennedy1,315
57.2%Nixon1,757
0.0%
R+14.4
R+4.3
R+14.6
3,072
R
44.9%Stevenson1,406
55.1%Eisenhower1,722
0.0%
R+10.1
D+14.0
D+5.3
3,128
R
38.0%Stevenson1,174
62.0%Eisenhower1,918
0.0%
R+24.1
R+48.4
R+13.3
3,092
D
62.2%Truman1,890
37.8%Dewey1,149
0.0%
D+24.4
D+22.9
D+19.9
3,039
D
50.7%Roosevelt1,632
49.3%Dewey1,584
0.0%
D+1.5
R+0.2
R+6.0
3,216
D
50.8%Roosevelt2,039
49.2%Willkie1,973
0.0%
D+1.6
R+34.8
R+8.3
4,012
D
65.9%Roosevelt2,676
29.4%Landon1,195
4.7%
D+36.5
R+26.0
D+12.2
4,062
D
80.7%Roosevelt3,273
18.2%Hoover739
1.1%
D+62.5
D+53.7
D+44.7
4,056
D
54.1%Smith1,837
45.3%Hoover1,538
0.5%
D+8.8
D+9.4
D+26.3
3,393
R
36.8%Davis1,191
37.4%Coolidge1,210
25.6%La Follette829
R+0.6
D+27.6
D+24.6
3,239
R
35.1%Cox925
63.3%Harding1,667
1.5%
R+28.2
R+55.0
R+2.0
2,632
D
62.5%Wilson1,255
35.7%Hughes717
1.8%
D+26.8
D+5.2
D+23.6
2,009
D
45.4%Wilson834
23.8%Taft437
30.8%
D+21.6
D+31.3
D+2.1
1,838
R
44.3%Bryan734
54.0%Taft895
1.7%
R+9.7
D+6.5
R+0.2
1,657
R
40.2%Parker539
56.4%Roosevelt757
3.4%
R+16.2
R+6.3
D+3.4
1,342
R
44.5%Bryan656
54.5%McKinley803
1.0%
R+10.0
R+27.0
R+2.4
1,473
D
58.2%Bryan717
41.3%McKinley508
0.5%
D+17.0
D+69.7
D+23.1
1,231
R
10.5%Cleveland78
63.2%Harrison470
26.3%
R+52.7
—
R+54.3
744
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No data
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No data
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No data
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No data
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
46.7%1,917
53.3%2,185
4,102
2020
R
40.7%885
55.9%1,218
2,177
2018
R
44.7%817
53.1%970
1,826
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+10.2
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+6.9
Thurston County, NE registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 17-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+61 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −681 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,427 in average income, against $64,138 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Thurston County, NE in Thurston County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−128
2012
−62
2013
−113
2014
−1
2015
+16
2016
−20
2017
−1
2018
−13
2019
−120
2021
−165
2022
−136
2023
−26
2024
+27
2025
+61
Thurston County's large Native American population — centered on the Omaha and Winnebago reservations — shapes voting patterns that have historically made it one of the most competitive counties in an otherwise reliably red state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 52.7 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.9 points.
A population of 6,627, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,177 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nome Census Area and Dewey County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Thurston County, Nebraska voted Republican by 6.9 points (R+6.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,123 votes cast, 978 went Democratic and 1,125 went Republican.
When did Thurston County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Thurston County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Thurston County, Nebraska?
Thurston County, Nebraska has a population of 6,627 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Thurston County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Thurston County, Nebraska is $69,177 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Thurston County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Thurston County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.
