- Lead
- 3,498
- Total
- 31,068
- vs nation
- R+9.8
- Turnout
- 72.0%
Carson City, NV
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.0% of 43,179 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,378
- Total
- 29,739
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- 73.8%
- Lead
- 3,515
- Total
- 25,016
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- 63.1%
- Lead
- 2,103
- Total
- 23,319
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 204
- Total
- 23,463
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,730
- Total
- 23,106
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,730
- Total
- 19,452
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,899
- Total
- 18,814
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 58,3842024 5-year
- Population density
- 404 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 145 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,3552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.1 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washoe County, NV · twin score 84.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 72.0%31,068 participants ÷ 43,179 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 53.5%–59.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31,068 | 43,179 ± 692 | 72.0% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 23,747 | 42,912 ± 621 | 55.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 29,781 | 40,354 ± 583 | 73.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 22,746 | 39,721 ± 578 | 57.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 25,061 | 39,721 ± 587 | 63.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 23,319 | 39,909 | 58.4% | Derived | — | |
| 23,463 | 38,308 | 61.2% | Derived | — | |
| 23,106 | 36,707 extrapolated | 62.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 50 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 30,542 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -307307 | 939 | 992 | 16 | 1,947 | 48.2% | 51.0% | R+2.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -407407 | 666 | 1,164 | 21 | 1,851 | 36.0% | 62.9% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -109109 | 701 | 851 | 11 | 1,563 | 44.8% | 54.4% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -113113 | 623 | 880 | 17 | 1,520 | 41.0% | 57.9% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -403403 | 712 | 774 | 17 | 1,503 | 47.4% | 51.5% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -409409 | 741 | 697 | 15 | 1,453 | 51.0% | 48.0% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -309309 | 524 | 904 | 11 | 1,439 | 36.4% | 62.8% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -111111 | 669 | 741 | 11 | 1,421 | 47.1% | 52.1% | R+5.1 |
| Precinct -107107 | 583 | 807 | 14 | 1,404 | 41.5% | 57.5% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -205205 | 636 | 736 | 10 | 1,382 | 46.0% | 53.3% | R+7.2 |
| Precinct -203203 | 656 | 701 | 17 | 1,374 | 47.7% | 51.0% | R+3.3 |
| Precinct -303303 | 528 | 700 | 22 | 1,250 | 42.2% | 56.0% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct -405405 | 526 | 677 | 8 | 1,211 | 43.4% | 55.9% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct -103103 | 583 | 618 | 8 | 1,209 | 48.2% | 51.1% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -301301 | 477 | 694 | 10 | 1,181 | 40.4% | 58.8% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -207207 | 476 | 676 | 17 | 1,169 | 40.7% | 57.8% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -305305 | 481 | 667 | 16 | 1,164 | 41.3% | 57.3% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -201201 | 535 | 587 | 14 | 1,136 | 47.1% | 51.7% | R+4.6 |
| Precinct -401401 | 524 | 544 | 7 | 1,075 | 48.7% | 50.6% | R+1.9 |
| Precinct -105105 | 428 | 576 | 8 | 1,012 | 42.3% | 56.9% | R+14.6 |
| Precinct -209209 | 383 | 472 | 10 | 865 | 44.3% | 54.6% | R+10.3 |
| Precinct -101101 | 404 | 423 | 7 | 834 | 48.4% | 50.7% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -211211 | 316 | 508 | 8 | 832 | 38.0% | 61.1% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -411411 | 260 | 479 | 8 | 747 | 34.8% | 64.1% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct 10132_32510101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 10332_32510103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 10532_32510105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 10732_32510107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 10932_32510109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 11132_32510111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 11332_32510113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20132_32510201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20332_32510203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20532_32510205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20732_32510207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20932_32510209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 21132_32510211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 21332_32510213 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30132_32510301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30332_32510303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30532_32510305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30732_32510307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30932_32510309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 31132_32510311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40132_32510401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40332_32510403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40532_32510405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40732_32510407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40932_32510409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 41132_32510411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Carson City, NV · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
66.6%
566 votes · D+33.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 58.3%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
74.1%
1,653 votes · R+48.1
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 71.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
13,375votes
43.1% of the vote · R+11.3
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 12,735 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
16,873votes
54.3% of the vote · R+11.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 16,113 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+39.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.2 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +25.4 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+46.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.8 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +37.4 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Carson City, NV. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 40.9%11,662 | 59.1%16,825 | 28,487 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.2 points.
48,209 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+573 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,353 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,996 in average income, against $87,684 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.7 on average — 1.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Carson City, NV itself (R+11.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washoe County, NV500D+1.0
- Douglas County, NV272R+32.9
- Lyon County, NV256R+44.4
- El Dorado County, CA98R+12.0
- Clark County, NV95D+2.6
- Los Angeles County, CA54D+32.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washoe County, NV537
- Lyon County, NV352
- Douglas County, NV256
- Clark County, NV85
- Maricopa County, AZ35
- El Dorado County, CA35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −207 |
| 2012 | −200 |
| 2013 | −451 |
| 2014 | +437 |
| 2015 | +26 |
| 2016 | +374 |
| 2017 | +519 |
| 2018 | +787 |
| 2019 | +795 |
| 2021 | +610 |
| 2022 | −291 |
| 2023 | +331 |
| 2024 | +50 |
| 2025 | +573 |
Carson City functions as both an independent city and county, making it Nevada's only consolidated municipality of that type. Despite housing state government, it has trended Republican in recent cycles, posting an R+11.3 margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 1952. The 2024 margin was 11.3 points.
A population of 58,384, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,355 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washoe County and Marion County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Carson City, Nevada. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/32510/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.