Harnett County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
13 precincts · 63,757 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PR07PR07 | 3,998 | 5,899 | 149 | 10,046 | 39.8% | 58.7% | R+18.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PR01PR01 | 3,281 | 4,235 | 129 | 7,645 | 42.9% | 55.4% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct -PR08PR08 | 2,782 | 4,292 | 113 | 7,187 | 38.7% | 59.7% | R+21.0 |
| Precinct -PR28PR28 | 2,252 | 4,425 | 98 | 6,775 | 33.2% | 65.3% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -PR24PR24 | 1,342 | 4,041 | 56 | 5,439 | 24.7% | 74.3% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -PR23PR23 | 1,391 | 3,379 | 47 | 4,817 | 28.9% | 70.1% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -PR16PR16 | 1,797 | 2,568 | 58 | 4,423 | 40.6% | 58.1% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct -PR32PR32 | 1,187 | 2,470 | 55 | 3,712 | 32.0% | 66.5% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -PR29PR29 | 1,293 | 2,302 | 50 | 3,645 | 35.5% | 63.2% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct -PR26PR26 | 926 | 2,261 | 26 | 3,213 | 28.8% | 70.4% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -PR25PR25 | 1,088 | 1,379 | 25 | 2,492 | 43.7% | 55.3% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct -PR20PR20 | 1,158 | 1,164 | 27 | 2,349 | 49.3% | 49.6% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -PR31PR31 | 977 | 1,025 | 12 | 2,014 | 48.5% | 50.9% | R+2.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +22.8% |
| 1896 | +23.1% |
| 1900 | +5.6% |
| 1904 | +23.2% |
| 1908 | +17.8% |
| 1912 | +47.6% |
| 1916 | +10.8% |
| 1920 | +8.4% |
| 1924 | +6.5% |
| 1928 | −14.3% |
| 1932 | +41.4% |
| 1936 | +56.0% |
| 1940 | +48.7% |
| 1944 | +34.7% |
| 1948 | +51.9% |
| 1952 | +27.6% |
| 1956 | +30.0% |
| 1960 | +19.6% |
| 1964 | +11.9% |
| 1968 | −7.5% |
| 1972 | −50.3% |
| 1976 | +20.4% |
| 1980 | +9.2% |
| 1984 | −22.3% |
| 1988 | −14.6% |
| 1992 | −6.1% |
| 1996 | −13.0% |
| 2000 | −23.2% |
| 2004 | −28.7% |
| 2008 | −16.7% |
| 2012 | −19.0% |
| 2016 | −23.6% |
| 2020 | −22.4% |
| 2024 | −25.0% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 35.6%13,133 | 61.9%22,860 | 36,907 |
| 2020 | R | 37.2%21,523 | 57.6%33,321 | 57,883 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 15 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 58,472 | 27,553 | 19,813 | 11,049 | 57 |
| 2012 | 68,723 | 29,039 | 23,364 | 16,035 | 285 |
| 2016 | 73,561 | 27,162 | 25,526 | 20,390 | 483 |
| 2020 | 82,539 | 26,098 | 29,867 | 25,762 | 812 |
| 2022 | 84,050 | 24,436 | 30,219 | 28,610 | 785 |
| 2024 | 93,455 | 24,878 | 33,895 | 33,316 | 1,366 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2,783 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +22,258 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,663 in average income, against $69,424 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+8.2 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Harnett County, NC itself (R+25.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wake County, NC1,425D+25.4
- Cumberland County, NC794D+13.4
- Lee County, NC436R+17.4
- Johnston County, NC414R+21.5
- Durham County, NC124D+61.7
- Moore County, NC109R+29.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cumberland County, NC732
- Wake County, NC653
- Johnston County, NC350
- Lee County, NC311
- Moore County, NC171
- Sampson County, NC139
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2,403 |
| 2012 | +1,628 |
| 2013 | +1,655 |
| 2014 | +382 |
| 2015 | +127 |
| 2016 | +1,583 |
| 2017 | +707 |
| 2018 | +1,090 |
| 2019 | +836 |
| 2021 | +1,262 |
| 2022 | +2,211 |
| 2023 | +2,248 |
| 2024 | +3,343 |
| 2025 | +2,783 |
Harnett sits in the Sandhills fringe south of the Triangle, drawing commuters from Raleigh while retaining a rural, military-adjacent character anchored by Fort Liberty's eastern edge — a combination that has kept Republican margins consistently wide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 50.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.0 points.
A population of 139,150, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,287 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Prince George County and Bulloch County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Harnett County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37085/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.