Cavalier County, North Dakota
Precinct data
Results by precinct
13 precincts · 1,987 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -11 | 251 | 669 | 21 | 941 | 26.7% | 71.1% | R+44.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -22 | 167 | 590 | 10 | 767 | 21.8% | 76.9% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -33 | 73 | 202 | 4 | 279 | 26.2% | 72.4% | R+46.2 |
| Cavalier 10-01 Voting District01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cavalier 10-02 Voting District02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cavalier 10-03 Voting District03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cavalier 10-04 Voting District04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cavalier 10-05 Voting District05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cavalier 10-06 Voting District06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cavalier 10-07 Voting District07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cavalier 10-08 Voting District08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cavalier 10-09 Voting District09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cavalier 10-10 Voting District10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −25.3% |
| 1896 | +22.5% |
| 1900 | −5.7% |
| 1904 | −35.8% |
| 1908 | −12.2% |
| 1912 | +15.9% |
| 1916 | −12.9% |
| 1920 | −59.5% |
| 1924 | −42.5% |
| 1928 | −10.0% |
| 1932 | +43.5% |
| 1936 | +32.3% |
| 1940 | −1.6% |
| 1944 | +6.1% |
| 1948 | +8.0% |
| 1952 | −40.0% |
| 1956 | −14.3% |
| 1960 | −2.5% |
| 1964 | +32.9% |
| 1968 | −8.4% |
| 1972 | −21.4% |
| 1976 | +3.1% |
| 1980 | −37.1% |
| 1984 | −40.8% |
| 1988 | −22.1% |
| 1992 | −21.1% |
| 1996 | −9.9% |
| 2000 | −37.7% |
| 2004 | −26.0% |
| 2008 | −9.3% |
| 2012 | −18.2% |
| 2016 | −43.9% |
| 2020 | −50.7% |
| 2024 | −48.8% |
U.S. Senate
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−26 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −392 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,657 in average income, against $126,655 for residents who stayed — 54% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −33 |
| 2012 | +3 |
| 2013 | −57 |
| 2014 | −21 |
| 2015 | −26 |
| 2016 | −25 |
| 2017 | −55 |
| 2018 | +8 |
| 2019 | −57 |
| 2021 | −15 |
| 2022 | −63 |
| 2023 | −5 |
| 2024 | −20 |
| 2025 | −26 |
Cavalier County sits along the Canadian border in northeastern North Dakota, where agriculture dominates the economy and a shrinking, homogeneous population has driven presidential margins to near-supermajority levels for over a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.8 points.
A population of 3,633, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,531 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Eddy County and Pierce County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cavalier County, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/38019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.