- Lead
- 10,668
- Total
- 19,488
- vs nation
- R+53.3
- Turnout
- 54.7%
Carter County, OK
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.7% of 35,707 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 10,229
- Total
- 19,479
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- 55.3%
- Lead
- 9,750
- Total
- 18,534
- vs nation
- R+54.7
- Turnout
- 52.7%
- Lead
- 7,306
- Total
- 17,122
- vs nation
- R+46.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,638
- Total
- 18,844
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,712
- Total
- 18,644
- vs nation
- R+28.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,008
- Total
- 16,458
- vs nation
- R+18.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 210
- Total
- 15,804
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 48,5552024 5-year
- Population density
- 59 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 822 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,7232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pottawatomie County, OK · twin score 93.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 54.7%19,538 participants ÷ 35,707 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 38.8%–40.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19,538 | 35,707 ± 249 | 54.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 13,857 | 35,220 ± 256 | 39.3% | Audited | C/A |
| 19,511 | 35,275 ± 251 | 55.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 14,066 | 35,186 ± 204 | 40.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 18,658 | 35,426 ± 216 | 52.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 17,122 | 34,510 | 49.6% | Derived | — | |
| 18,844 | 34,553 | 54.5% | Derived | — | |
| 18,644 | 34,596 extrapolated | 53.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Carter County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Carter County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 55 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
55 precincts · 19,488 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -100019100019 | 370 | 1,395 | 35 | 1,800 | 20.6% | 77.5% | R+56.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -100031100031 | 243 | 1,356 | 20 | 1,619 | 15.0% | 83.8% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -100063100063 | 218 | 1,197 | 17 | 1,432 | 15.2% | 83.6% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -100024100024 | 315 | 910 | 17 | 1,242 | 25.4% | 73.3% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -100017100017 | 255 | 735 | 18 | 1,008 | 25.3% | 72.9% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -100062100062 | 150 | 738 | 11 | 899 | 16.7% | 82.1% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -100002100002 | 294 | 555 | 18 | 867 | 33.9% | 64.0% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -100034100034 | 129 | 711 | 13 | 853 | 15.1% | 83.4% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -100020100020 | 269 | 551 | 20 | 840 | 32.0% | 65.6% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -100071100071 | 78 | 737 | 4 | 819 | 9.5% | 90.0% | R+80.5 |
| Precinct -100015100015 | 205 | 578 | 12 | 795 | 25.8% | 72.7% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -100014100014 | 216 | 556 | 9 | 781 | 27.7% | 71.2% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -100001100001 | 287 | 438 | 15 | 740 | 38.8% | 59.2% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct -100041100041 | 93 | 615 | 11 | 719 | 12.9% | 85.5% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -100061100061 | 108 | 548 | 7 | 663 | 16.3% | 82.7% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -100033100033 | 101 | 487 | 9 | 597 | 16.9% | 81.6% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -100011100011 | 215 | 339 | 5 | 559 | 38.5% | 60.6% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct -100052100052 | 45 | 468 | 4 | 517 | 8.7% | 90.5% | R+81.8 |
| Precinct -100007100007 | 370 | 132 | 7 | 509 | 72.7% | 25.9% | D+46.8 |
| Precinct -100039100039 | 35 | 392 | 0 | 427 | 8.2% | 91.8% | R+83.6 |
| Precinct -100030100030 | 23 | 331 | 2 | 356 | 6.5% | 93.0% | R+86.5 |
| Precinct -100025100025 | 36 | 302 | 2 | 340 | 10.6% | 88.8% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -100035100035 | 65 | 260 | 3 | 328 | 19.8% | 79.3% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -100051100051 | 81 | 235 | 5 | 321 | 25.2% | 73.2% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -100040100040 | 27 | 204 | 2 | 233 | 11.6% | 87.6% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -100026100026 | 48 | 152 | 0 | 200 | 24.0% | 76.0% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -100042100042 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 19 | 5.3% | 94.7% | R+89.5 |
| Precinct -100032100032 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Voting District 140_400191 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4001911 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4001914 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4001915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4001916 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4001917 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4001919 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_400192 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4001920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4001924 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4001925 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2640_4001926 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4001930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4001931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4001932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3340_4001933 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3440_4001934 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3940_4001939 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 4140_4001941 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5140_4001951 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5240_4001952 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5340_4001953 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6140_4001961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6240_4001962 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6340_4001963 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400197 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 7140_4001971 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Carter County, OK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
84.8%
9,633 votes · D+69.5
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 81.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76.7%
14,945 votes · R+54.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
10,645votes
68.1% of the vote · D+36.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 10,441 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,945votes
76.7% of the vote · R+54.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,699 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+61.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+36.5 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +58.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+57.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.5 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +54.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Carter County, OK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 22.7%4,443 | 77.3%15,124 | 19,567 |
| 2020 | R | 22.1%4,163 | 77.9%14,716 | 18,879 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Republican than the rolls.
31,349 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−266 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +632 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,809 in average income, against $74,476 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.6 on average — 9.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Carter County, OK itself (R+54.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Love County, OK106R+66.2
- Marshall County, OK76R+63.4
- Oklahoma County, OK60R+1.7
- Cooke County, TX53R+66.8
- Cleveland County, OK43R+14.9
- Murray County, OK43R+61.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oklahoma County, OK96
- Cleveland County, OK72
- Love County, OK69
- Marshall County, OK45
- Murray County, OK42
- Garvin County, OK35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +236 |
| 2012 | −81 |
| 2013 | +406 |
| 2014 | +46 |
| 2015 | −138 |
| 2016 | −250 |
| 2017 | −222 |
| 2018 | −126 |
| 2019 | −120 |
| 2021 | +388 |
| 2022 | +273 |
| 2023 | +307 |
| 2024 | +179 |
| 2025 | −266 |
Carter County sits atop the Ardmore Basin and has shifted steadily toward lopsided Republican margins over the past two decades, with the 2024 presidential result landing at R+54.7 — well above even Oklahoma's already-tilted statewide average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 54.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.7 points.
A population of 48,555, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,723 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pottawatomie County and Kay County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Carter County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.