HarrisDemocratic10.9%197TrumpRepublican87.5%1,585OliverLibertarian1.7%30
R+76.6- Lead
- 1,388
- Total
- 1,812
- vs nation
- R+75.1
- Turnout
- 65.5%
Akashiccounty
Ellis County, OK
Contests in this Place (85 available)
President30 · 1908–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1908–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.5% of 2,776 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic8.6%162TrumpRepublican90.1%1,688JorgensenLibertarian1.0%18
R+81.5- Lead
- 1,526
- Total
- 1,873
- vs nation
- R+85.9
- Turnout
- 62.8%
ClintonDemocratic8.5%155TrumpRepublican88.2%1,611JohnsonLibertarian3.3%61
R+79.7- Lead
- 1,456
- Total
- 1,827
- vs nation
- R+81.8
- Turnout
- 59.5%
ObamaDemocratic12.5%226RomneyRepublican87.5%1,575OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+74.9- Lead
- 1,349
- Total
- 1,801
- vs nation
- R+78.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic14.8%282McCainRepublican85.2%1,627OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+70.5- Lead
- 1,345
- Total
- 1,909
- vs nation
- R+77.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic19.0%395BushRepublican81.0%1,685OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+62.0- Lead
- 1,290
- Total
- 2,080
- vs nation
- R+59.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic23.2%468BushRepublican75.2%1,513OtherAll other candidates1.6%32
R+51.9- Lead
- 1,045
- Total
- 2,013
- vs nation
- R+52.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic31.0%619DoleRepublican54.6%1,090PerotReform14.0%279
R+23.6- Lead
- 471
- Total
- 1,996
- vs nation
- R+32.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+76.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,6832024 5-year
- Population density
- 3.0 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,232 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,0162024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.5 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Noble County, OK · twin score 96.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 65.5%1,818 participants ÷ 2,776 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.4 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 55.4%–56.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,818 | 2,776 ± 45 | 65.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 1,523 | 2,849 ± 53 | 53.5% | Audited | C/A |
| 1,879 | 2,991 ± 48 | 62.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 1,487 | 3,052 ± 38 | 48.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 1,836 | 3,084 ± 34 | 59.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 1,801 | 3,065 | 58.8% | Derived | — | |
| 1,909 | 2,913 | 65.5% | Derived | — | |
| 2,080 | 2,761 extrapolated | 75.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Ellis County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Ellis County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ARYA0—
CONNIE JOHNSON0—
CYNDI MUNSON0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 16 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 1,812 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -230003230003 | 57 | 500 | 11 | 568 | 10.0% | 88.0% | R+78.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -230001230001 | 52 | 368 | 9 | 429 | 12.1% | 85.8% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -230007230007 | 31 | 239 | 4 | 274 | 11.3% | 87.2% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -230008230008 | 19 | 222 | 2 | 243 | 7.8% | 91.4% | R+83.5 |
| Precinct -230004230004 | 16 | 115 | 3 | 134 | 11.9% | 85.8% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -230009230009 | 16 | 80 | 1 | 97 | 16.5% | 82.5% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -230006230006 | 6 | 61 | 0 | 67 | 9.0% | 91.0% | R+82.1 |
| Voting District 140_400451 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4004510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_400453 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_400454 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_400455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_400456 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400457 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_400458 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_400459 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Ellis County, OK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
72.0%
2,795 votes · D+43.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 64.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2020
90.1%
1,688 votes · R+81.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 88.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
2,795votes
72.0% of the vote · D+43.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 2,493 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
2,583votes
78.3% of the vote · R+56.5
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 2,162 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+26.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.9 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +6.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+85.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+81.5 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +81.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMarkwayne MullinU.S. Senate
RCasey MurdockState Senate · 27
RKenton PatzkowskyState House · 61
Seats representing Ellis County, OK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 7.8%146 | 92.2%1,717 | 1,863 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+66.5
Presidential vote · 2024R+76.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 10 points more Republican than the rolls.
2,527 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+5 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −304 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,982 in average income, against $73,989 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+72.0 on average — 4.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Ellis County, OK itself (R+76.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Woodward County, OK24R+72.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Woodward County, OK35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −95 |
| 2012 | +48 |
| 2013 | +48 |
| 2014 | 0 |
| 2015 | +115 |
| 2016 | −139 |
| 2017 | −111 |
| 2018 | −19 |
| 2019 | −80 |
| 2021 | +18 |
| 2022 | −47 |
| 2023 | −35 |
| 2024 | −12 |
| 2025 | +5 |
Ellis County's sparse, ranch-driven economy and overwhelmingly rural demography have produced some of the widest presidential margins in Oklahoma, with the 2024 result exceeding 76 points in favor of the Republican nominee.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 81.5 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 76.6 points.
A population of 3,683, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,016 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Noble County and Grant County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Noble County
Oklahoma
96.8twin score
2000–2008 trajectoryelasticity
Grant County
Oklahoma
95.7twin score
2004–2020 trajectory
Roger Mills County
Oklahoma
95.2twin score
elasticity2008–2020 trajectory≠ % Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ellis County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Ellis County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ellis County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 76.6 points (R+76.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,812 votes cast, 197 went Democratic and 1,585 went Republican.
When did Ellis County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ellis County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Ellis County, Oklahoma?
Ellis County, Oklahoma has a population of 3,683 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ellis County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Ellis County, Oklahoma is $61,016 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Ellis County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ellis County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.