- Lead
- 2,844
- Total
- 4,957
- vs nation
- R+55.9
- Turnout
- 59.4%
Noble County, OK
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.4% of 8,385 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,818
- Total
- 4,938
- vs nation
- R+61.5
- Turnout
- 57.8%
- Lead
- 2,814
- Total
- 4,878
- vs nation
- R+59.8
- Turnout
- 56.7%
- Lead
- 2,345
- Total
- 4,631
- vs nation
- R+54.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,707
- Total
- 5,055
- vs nation
- R+60.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,658
- Total
- 5,328
- vs nation
- R+47.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,814
- Total
- 4,697
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 562
- Total
- 4,791
- vs nation
- R+20.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,8972024 5-year
- Population density
- 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 732 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,3652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ellis County, OK · twin score 96.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 59.4%4,978 participants ÷ 8,385 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 49.3%–49.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,978 | 8,385 ± 95 | 59.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,974 | 8,304 ± 97 | 47.9% | Audited | C/A |
| 4,953 | 8,564 ± 98 | 57.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,003 | 8,608 ± 86 | 46.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,914 | 8,660 ± 83 | 56.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 4,631 | 8,676 | 53.4% | Derived | — | |
| 5,055 | 8,363 | 60.4% | Derived | — | |
| 5,328 | 8,050 extrapolated | 66.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Noble County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Noble County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 27 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
27 precincts · 4,957 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -520305520305 | 182 | 770 | 24 | 976 | 18.6% | 78.9% | R+60.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -520101520101 | 129 | 585 | 21 | 735 | 17.6% | 79.6% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -520307520307 | 109 | 517 | 12 | 638 | 17.1% | 81.0% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -520201520201 | 131 | 362 | 5 | 498 | 26.3% | 72.7% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -520203520203 | 80 | 384 | 9 | 473 | 16.9% | 81.2% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -520202520202 | 120 | 321 | 5 | 446 | 26.9% | 72.0% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -520301520301 | 71 | 336 | 4 | 411 | 17.3% | 81.8% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -520104520104 | 69 | 250 | 0 | 319 | 21.6% | 78.4% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -520103520103 | 42 | 166 | 11 | 219 | 19.2% | 75.8% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -520102520102 | 19 | 107 | 3 | 129 | 14.7% | 82.9% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -520105520105 | 57 | 55 | 1 | 113 | 50.4% | 48.7% | D+1.8 |
| Voting District 10140_40103101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10240_40103102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10340_40103103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10440_40103104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10540_40103105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20140_40103201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20240_40103202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20340_40103203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30140_40103301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30240_40103302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30340_40103303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30440_40103304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30540_40103305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30640_40103306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30740_40103307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30840_40103308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Noble County, OK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
73.0%
4,414 votes · D+45.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 61.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
78.4%
4,085 votes · R+59.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 77.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
4,414votes
73.0% of the vote · D+45.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 3,901 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
4,422votes
71.0% of the vote · R+42.1
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 4,085 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+28.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+45.9 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +10.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+61.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+57.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +60.8 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Noble County, OK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 17.6%864 | 82.4%4,047 | 4,911 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.4 points more Republican than the rolls.
6,955 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+37 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −174 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,821 in average income, against $69,205 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+28.0 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Noble County, OK itself (R+57.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Payne County, OK77R+25.3
- Kay County, OK38R+49.4
- Oklahoma County, OK23R+1.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Payne County, OK74
- Kay County, OK31
- Oklahoma County, OK25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +5 |
| 2012 | −39 |
| 2013 | −119 |
| 2014 | +126 |
| 2015 | +6 |
| 2016 | −134 |
| 2017 | −72 |
| 2018 | −17 |
| 2019 | −145 |
| 2021 | +55 |
| 2022 | −10 |
| 2023 | +52 |
| 2024 | +81 |
| 2025 | +37 |
Noble County's small-town and agricultural character anchors a voting pattern that has favored Republican presidential candidates by wide margins for decades, with 2024's R+57.4 result reflecting the broader rural realignment across the Great Plains.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.2 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 57.4 points.
A population of 10,897, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,365 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ellis County and Dewey County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Noble County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.