- Lead
- 4,000
- Total
- 8,044
- vs nation
- R+48.3
- Turnout
- 46.1%
Seminole County, OK
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 46.1% of 17,504 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,861
- Total
- 8,337
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Turnout
- 45.9%
- Lead
- 3,542
- Total
- 8,037
- vs nation
- R+46.2
- Turnout
- 43.1%
- Lead
- 2,256
- Total
- 7,456
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,623
- Total
- 8,577
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,976
- Total
- 9,272
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 228
- Total
- 7,866
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,290
- Total
- 8,229
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,4942024 5-year
- Population density
- 37 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 633 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $48,0622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Haskell County, OK · twin score 93.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 46.1%8,071 participants ÷ 17,504 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.5 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 34.6%–36.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8,071 | 17,504 ± 143 | 46.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 6,049 | 17,580 ± 139 | 34.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 8,345 | 18,182 ± 168 | 45.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 6,640 | 18,453 ± 84 | 36.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 8,074 | 18,744 ± 72 | 43.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 7,456 | 18,651 | 40.0% | Derived | — | |
| 8,577 | 17,732 | 48.4% | Derived | — | |
| 9,272 | 16,813 extrapolated | 55.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Seminole County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Seminole County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 26 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 8,044 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -670022670022 | 324 | 944 | 17 | 1,285 | 25.2% | 73.5% | R+48.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -670034670034 | 341 | 693 | 25 | 1,059 | 32.2% | 65.4% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -670010670010 | 320 | 644 | 23 | 987 | 32.4% | 65.2% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -670014670014 | 186 | 756 | 18 | 960 | 19.4% | 78.8% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -670020670020 | 171 | 697 | 13 | 881 | 19.4% | 79.1% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -670024670024 | 140 | 599 | 13 | 752 | 18.6% | 79.7% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -670032670032 | 164 | 512 | 12 | 688 | 23.8% | 74.4% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -670030670030 | 132 | 502 | 6 | 640 | 20.6% | 78.4% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -670015670015 | 89 | 351 | 6 | 446 | 20.0% | 78.7% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -670031670031 | 63 | 146 | 6 | 215 | 29.3% | 67.9% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -670012670012 | 21 | 107 | 3 | 131 | 16.0% | 81.7% | R+65.6 |
| Voting District 1040_4013310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4013311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4013312 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4013314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4013315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4013320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2140_4013321 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4013322 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4013323 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4013324 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4013330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4013331 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4013332 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3440_4013334 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3540_4013335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Seminole County, OK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
78.4%
12,154 votes · D+56.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 74.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.0%
5,951 votes · R+49.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 72.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
12,154votes
78.4% of the vote · D+56.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 11,695 votes
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
8,072votes
64.6% of the vote · R+29.2
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 6,880 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+39.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+56.8 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +36.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+50.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +48.3 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Seminole County, OK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 29.7%2,459 | 70.3%5,808 | 8,267 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Republican than the rolls.
12,704 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+163 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −607 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,303 in average income, against $55,685 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+38.2 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Seminole County, OK itself (R+49.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pottawatomie County, OK136R+47.4
- Oklahoma County, OK63R+1.7
- Hughes County, OK58R+62.5
- Pontotoc County, OK38R+46.6
- Cleveland County, OK30R+14.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pottawatomie County, OK132
- Oklahoma County, OK65
- Hughes County, OK53
- Pontotoc County, OK44
- Cleveland County, OK39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −74 |
| 2012 | −20 |
| 2013 | +39 |
| 2014 | −52 |
| 2015 | +121 |
| 2016 | −280 |
| 2017 | −291 |
| 2018 | −290 |
| 2019 | −214 |
| 2021 | +167 |
| 2022 | +68 |
| 2023 | +197 |
| 2024 | −141 |
| 2025 | +163 |
Seminole County, home to the Seminole Nation of Oklahoma, delivered an R+49.7 margin in the 2024 presidential race despite a Native American population that has historically produced more competitive local results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.7 points.
A population of 23,494, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,062 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Haskell County and Latimer County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Seminole County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.