Wagoner County, Oklahoma: Stable Rural Right county. In 2024, voted R+50%. Republican peak: R+52 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 86,6092024 5-year
- Median household income
- $81,2072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cullman County, AL · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Wagoner CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Wagoner County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | −28.2% |
| 1912 | +19.5% |
| 1916 | +13.9% |
| 1920 | −1.9% |
| 1924 | +8.7% |
| 1928 | −21.8% |
| 1932 | +45.5% |
| 1936 | +16.8% |
| 1940 | −22.3% |
| 1944 | −18.7% |
| 1948 | +11.9% |
| 1952 | −5.6% |
| 1956 | −16.3% |
| 1960 | −13.7% |
| 1964 | +16.4% |
| 1968 | −13.2% |
| 1972 | −47.3% |
| 1976 | +7.3% |
| 1980 | −25.4% |
| 1984 | −40.5% |
| 1988 | −16.0% |
| 1992 | −9.3% |
| 1996 | −8.4% |
| 2000 | −22.0% |
| 2004 | −35.1% |
| 2008 | −41.8% |
| 2012 | −45.7% |
| 2016 | −52.0% |
| 2020 | −50.1% |
| 2024 | −49.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 9,330 | 28,487 | 38,501 | ||
| R | 8,464 | 26,165 | 35,338 | ||
| R | 6,723 | 23,005 | 31,300 | ||
| R | 7,791 | 20,900 | 28,691 | ||
| R | 8,810 | 21,441 | 30,251 | ||
| R | 9,157 | 19,081 | 28,238 | ||
| R | 8,244 | 12,981 | 21,517 | ||
| R | 7,749 | 9,392 | 19,558 | ||
| R | 7,041 | 9,053 | 21,529 | ||
| R | 7,378 | 10,219 | 17,718 | ||
| R | 5,271 | 12,534 | 17,913 | ||
| R | 5,235 | 8,969 | 14,727 | ||
| D | 5,879 | 5,071 | 11,057 | ||
| R | 2,257 | 6,569 | 9,107 | ||
| R | 2,183 | 3,187 | 7,632 | ||
| D | 3,957 | 2,840 | 6,797 | ||
| R | 2,707 | 3,570 | 6,277 | ||
| R | 2,544 | 3,537 | 6,081 | ||
| R | 2,966 | 3,321 | 6,287 | ||
| D | 3,389 | 2,666 | 6,055 | ||
| R | 2,373 | 3,467 | 5,848 | ||
| R | 2,946 | 4,647 | 7,618 | ||
| D | 2,977 | 2,119 | 5,117 | ||
| D | 4,015 | 1,505 | 5,520 | ||
| R | 1,745 | 2,726 | 4,497 | ||
| D | 1,985 | 1,646 | 3,903 | ||
| R | 1,375 | 1,432 | 2,965 | ||
| D | 1,040 | 749 | 2,092 | ||
| D | 888 | 555 | 1,705 | ||
| R | 1,143 | 2,107 | 3,424 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.7%
English
13.4%
Irish
11.3%
American
4.9%
Scottish
2.4%
Italian
2.0%
French
1.7%
African American
2.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$81,207
Wagoner County ranks in the top 25% of US counties.
Wagoner County$81,207
Oklahoma$65,039
United States$80,734
Wagoner County ranks in the top 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.8%
Working age (18–64)8.2%
Seniors (65+)7.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.6%
speak English only
Spanish5.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 75.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Wagoner County sits on Tulsa's southeastern edge and has urbanized steadily over the past two decades, drawing commuter families whose arrival has reinforced rather than moderated its reliably wide Republican margins.
The Republican margin here reached fifty-two points in 2016. The 2024 margin was fifty points.
A population of 86,609, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,207 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cullman County and Rogers County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wagoner County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40145/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More stable rural right counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Wagoner County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wagoner County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 49.8 points (R+50), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 38,501 votes cast, 9,330 went Democratic and 28,487 went Republican.
What is Wagoner County, Oklahoma's political typology?
Akashic places Wagoner County, Oklahoma in the "Stable Rural Right" typology — Mountain, Plains, and rural Republican counties already near their ceiling, with little further room to swing. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Wagoner County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wagoner County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Wagoner County, Oklahoma?
Wagoner County, Oklahoma has a population of 86,609 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wagoner County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Wagoner County, Oklahoma is $81,207 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Wagoner County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wagoner County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The county's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.