HarrisDemocratic24.1%13,380TrumpRepublican72.5%40,204OtherAll other candidates3.3%1,842
R+48.4- Lead
- 26,824
- Total
- 55,426
- vs nation
- R+46.9
- Turnout
- 66.8%
Akashiccounty
Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK
Contests in this Place (17 available)
President17 · 1960–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1960–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.8% of 82,927 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic24.0%12,970TrumpRepublican72.3%39,010OtherAll other candidates3.6%1,952
R+48.3- Lead
- 26,040
- Total
- 53,932
- vs nation
- R+52.7
- Turnout
- 69.6%
ClintonDemocratic19.1%8,519TrumpRepublican70.6%31,561OtherAll other candidates10.4%4,634
R+51.5- Lead
- 23,042
- Total
- 44,714
- vs nation
- R+53.6
- Turnout
- 63.6%
ObamaDemocratic24.3%9,329RomneyRepublican71.3%27,327OtherAll other candidates4.4%1,690
R+46.9- Lead
- 17,998
- Total
- 38,346
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic22.9%9,287McCainRepublican74.5%30,226OtherAll other candidates2.7%1,077
R+51.6- Lead
- 20,939
- Total
- 40,590
- vs nation
- R+58.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic25.9%8,288BushRepublican70.7%22,650OtherAll other candidates3.4%1,081
R+44.9- Lead
- 14,362
- Total
- 32,019
- vs nation
- R+42.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic19.6%5,373BushRepublican65.5%17,988NaderGreen9.4%2,584
R+46.0- Lead
- 12,615
- Total
- 27,448
- vs nation
- R+46.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic22.8%4,525DoleRepublican57.0%11,307PerotReform15.5%3,082
R+34.2- Lead
- 6,782
- Total
- 19,834
- vs nation
- R+42.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 112,9882024 5-year
- Population density
- 4.6 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 24,707 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $94,0312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.7 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wagoner County, OK · twin score 89.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20246 cycles · 3 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 66.8%55,426 participants ÷ 82,927 CVAP
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55,426 | 82,927 ± 407 | 66.8% | Audited | C/A | |
| 53,932 | 77,456 ± 374 | 69.6% | Audited | C/A | |
| 44,714 | 70,359 ± 353 | 63.6% | Audited | C/A | |
| 38,346 | 62,779 | 61.1% | Derived | — | |
| 40,590 | 57,774 | 70.3% | Derived | — | |
| 32,019 | 52,769 extrapolated | 60.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2020, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 75 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
75 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 07-100 Lakes No. 1100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-105 Pioneer Peak105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 07-110 Schrock110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 07-115 Wasilla Lake115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 07-120 Wasilla No. 1120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 07-125 Wasilla No. 2125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 07-130 Foothills130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 08-130 Meadow Lakes No. 1130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 08-135 Meadow Lakes No. 2135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 08-140 Knik Goose Bay No. 1140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 08-145 Knik Goose Bay No. 2145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 08-150 Knik Goose Bay No. 3150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 08-155 Big Lake155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09-622 Farm Loop622 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09-628 Fishhook628 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09-640 Sheep Mountain640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09-645 Sutton645 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-005 Kings Lake005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-010 Church010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-015 Tanaina015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-020 Houston020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-025 Meadow Lakes No. 3025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-030 Susitna030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-035 Talkeetna035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-040 Trapper Creek040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-045 Willow045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-050 Meadow Lakes No. 4050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 10-055 Lakes No. 2055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11-055 Walby055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11-060 Greater Palmer060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11-065 Mat-Su Campus065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11-070 Palmer City No. 1070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11-075 Palmer City No. 2075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11-085 Trunk085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11-090 Seward Meridian090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11-095 Springer Loop095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 11-099 Lazy Mountain099 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 12-200 Fairview No. 1200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 12-205 Fairview No. 2205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 12-210 Snowshoe210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 12-220 Butte220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake Precinct100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Butte Precinct140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| City of Palmer No. 2 Precinct027 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| City of Palmer Precinct025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairview Precinct150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farm Loop Precinct030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fishhook Precinct005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greater Palmer Precinct010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Houston Precinct103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kings Lake Precinct050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Knik Precinct055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Knik-Goose Bay Precinct105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakes Precinct015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lazy Mountain Precinct155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mat-Su Campus Precinct020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Meadow Lakes No. 1 Precinct110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Meadow Lakes No. 2 Precinct115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmer-Fishhook Precinct033 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pioneer Peak Precinct035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Schrock Precinct060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seward Meridian Precinct065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sheep Mountain Precinct043 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Snowshoe Precinct170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Springer Loop Precinct175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Susitna Precinct120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sutton Precinct047 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Talkeetna Precinct125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Trapper Creek Precinct130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Trunk Precinct040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walby Lake Precinct045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wasilla Lake Precinct070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wasilla No. 1 Precinct075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wasilla No. 2 Precinct080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willow Precinct135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
76.3%
1,326 votes · D+52.7
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 44.0%
Republican
John McCain2008
74.5%
30,226 votes · R+51.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 73.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
13,380votes
24.1% of the vote · R+48.4
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 12,970 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
40,204votes
72.5% of the vote · R+48.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 39,010 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+30.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+52.7 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · −7.2 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+58.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.6 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +53.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RGeorge RauscherState Senate · O
RGarret NelsonState House · 29
RKevin McCabeState House · 30
Seats representing Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+27.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+48.4
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 21 points more Republican than the rolls.
97,916 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+884 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +19,104 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,650 in average income, against $96,685 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+2.1 on average — 46 points more Democratic-leaning than Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK itself (R+48.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anchorage Municipality, AK1,023D+1.4
- Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK122R+34.8
- Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK117R+18.7
- Maricopa County, AZ43R+3.5
- Juneau City and Borough, AK39D+26.5
- Pierce County, WA30D+10.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK697
- Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK79
- Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK72
- Maricopa County, AZ49
- Copper River Census Area, AK28
- Pima County, AZ26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,163 |
| 2012 | +1,080 |
| 2013 | +1,277 |
| 2014 | +1,295 |
| 2015 | +1,925 |
| 2016 | +2,051 |
| 2017 | +1,154 |
| 2018 | +149 |
| 2019 | +466 |
| 2021 | +3,055 |
| 2022 | +1,919 |
| 2023 | +1,202 |
| 2024 | +1,484 |
| 2025 | +884 |
Matanuska-Susitna has absorbed waves of Anchorage exurban migration over two decades, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+48.3 reflects an electorate that ranks among the most reliably conservative in the entire state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.7 points in 1984. The 2024 margin was 48.4 points.
A population of 112,988, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,031 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wagoner County and Rogers County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wagoner County
Oklahoma
89.8twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
Rogers County
Oklahoma
88.0twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory
Kenai Peninsula Borough
Alaska
87.2twin score
elasticity2000–2008 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02170/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Matanuska-Susitna Borough
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Frequently asked questions
How did Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska voted Republican by 48.4 points (R+48.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 55,426 votes cast, 13,380 went Democratic and 40,204 went Republican.
When did Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska?
Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska has a population of 112,988 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska?
Median household income in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska is $94,031 — above the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.
What is the political history of Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.