HarrisDemocratic49.8%3,311TrumpRepublican49.4%3,286BowmanIndependent0.3%22
D+0.4- Lead
- 25
- Total
- 6,652
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Turnout
- 49.2%
Akashiccounty
Haywood County, TN
Contests in this Place (88 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 49.2% of 13,579 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic53.9%4,012TrumpRepublican44.9%3,343JorgensenLibertarian0.4%31
D+9.0- Lead
- 669
- Total
- 7,439
- vs nation
- D+4.5
- Turnout
- 57.1%
ClintonDemocratic54.3%3,711TrumpRepublican44.1%3,013JohnsonLibertarian0.9%60
D+10.2- Lead
- 698
- Total
- 6,834
- vs nation
- D+8.1
- Turnout
- 51.1%
ObamaDemocratic60.4%4,569RomneyRepublican39.1%2,960OtherAll other candidates0.5%40
D+21.3- Lead
- 1,609
- Total
- 7,569
- vs nation
- D+17.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic60.3%4,893McCainRepublican39.0%3,165OtherAll other candidates0.8%63
D+21.3- Lead
- 1,728
- Total
- 8,121
- vs nation
- D+14.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic57.8%4,359BushRepublican41.6%3,140OtherAll other candidates0.6%49
D+16.1- Lead
- 1,219
- Total
- 7,548
- vs nation
- D+18.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic60.0%3,887BushRepublican39.4%2,554NaderGreen0.3%20
D+20.6- Lead
- 1,333
- Total
- 6,478
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic59.1%3,565DoleRepublican38.0%2,293PerotReform2.6%154
D+21.1- Lead
- 1,272
- Total
- 6,030
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 17,4752024 5-year
- Population density
- 33 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 533 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,4722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 48.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hampton County, SC · twin score 99.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 49.2%6,681 participants ÷ 13,579 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 21.0%–31.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,681 | 13,579 ± 136 | 49.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,967 | 13,713 ± 158 | 28.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,495 | 13,124 ± 175 | 57.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,971 | 13,554 ± 110 | 44.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,964 | 13,635 ± 96 | 51.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 7,569 | 13,704 | 55.2% | Derived | — | |
| 8,121 | 13,800 | 58.8% | Derived | — | |
| 7,548 | 13,896 extrapolated | 54.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 11 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 6,652 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -10 Haywood Jr. High10 Haywood Jr. High | 416 | 403 | 6 | 825 | 50.4% | 48.8% | D+1.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -5 Tibbs Fire Station5 Tibbs Fire Station | 229 | 543 | 5 | 777 | 29.5% | 69.9% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -6 Wyatt Duke Armory6 Wyatt Duke Armory | 222 | 537 | 4 | 763 | 29.1% | 70.4% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -8 Douglas Community Center8 Douglas Community Center | 321 | 425 | 4 | 750 | 42.8% | 56.7% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -7 Christ Church Anderson Avenue7 Christ Church Anderson Avenue | 341 | 350 | 8 | 699 | 48.8% | 50.1% | R+1.3 |
| Precinct -4 Chamber Basement4 Chamber Basement | 373 | 310 | 4 | 687 | 54.3% | 45.1% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -2 Parks and Rec2 Parks and Rec | 344 | 198 | 10 | 552 | 62.3% | 35.9% | D+26.4 |
| Precinct -3 Jefferson Court Community Center3 Jefferson Court Community Center | 347 | 168 | 2 | 517 | 67.1% | 32.5% | D+34.6 |
| Precinct -1 Christ Temple Church1 Christ Temple Church | 421 | 86 | 6 | 513 | 82.1% | 16.8% | D+65.3 |
| Precinct -9B West Side Church of Christ9B West Side Church of Christ | 170 | 176 | 4 | 350 | 48.6% | 50.3% | R+1.7 |
| Precinct -9A Stanton City Hall9A Stanton City Hall | 127 | 90 | 2 | 219 | 58.0% | 41.1% | D+16.9 |
presidential history
Party record book
Haywood County, TN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
98.2%
1,725 votes · D+96.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 96.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
59.5%
3,123 votes · R+22.0
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 51.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
4,893votes
60.3% of the vote · D+21.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 4,569 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
3,343votes
44.9% of the vote · D+9.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 3,286 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+118.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+93.1 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +116.6 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+25.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+2.5 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · −1.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RPage WalleyState Senate · 26
DJohnny ShawState House · 80
RDebra MoodyState House · 81
Seats representing Haywood County, TN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 48.3%3,081 | 51.7%3,296 | 6,377 |
| 2020 | D | 51.7%3,590 | 48.3%3,349 | 6,939 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,154 |
| 2018 | 10,832 |
| 2020 | 10,834 |
| 2022 | 10,745 |
| 2024 | 10,785 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−140 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,132 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,831 in average income, against $55,804 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+23.1 on average — 23 points more Republican-leaning than Haywood County, TN itself (D+0.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Madison County, TN54R+18.2
- Shelby County, TN39D+25.4
- Tipton County, TN23R+52.8
- Crockett County, TN22R+58.7
- Fayette County, TN21R+42.4
- Lauderdale County, TN20R+37.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Madison County, TN105
- Shelby County, TN43
- Crockett County, TN31
- Fayette County, TN24
- Lauderdale County, TN24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −298 |
| 2012 | −287 |
| 2013 | −98 |
| 2014 | −57 |
| 2015 | −227 |
| 2016 | −195 |
| 2017 | −177 |
| 2018 | −242 |
| 2019 | +2 |
| 2021 | −59 |
| 2022 | −86 |
| 2023 | −100 |
| 2024 | −168 |
| 2025 | −140 |
Haywood County sits at Tennessee's western margin where Mississippi Delta demographics meet Appalachian-state politics, producing one of the state's rare competitive counties. Its majority-Black population anchors Democratic strength that has kept presidential margins razor-thin for two consecutive cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 22.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.4 points.
A population of 17,475, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,472 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hampton County and Fairfield County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Hampton County
South Carolina
99.0twin score
% Black2000–2012 trajectory
Fairfield County
South Carolina
98.8twin score
% Black2000–2012 trajectory
Jefferson County
Georgia
98.1twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Haywood County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Haywood County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Haywood County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Haywood County, Tennessee voted a near-tie (D+0.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,652 votes cast, 3,311 went Democratic and 3,286 went Republican.
When did Haywood County, Tennessee last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Haywood County, Tennessee voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Haywood County, Tennessee?
Haywood County, Tennessee has a population of 17,475 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Haywood County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Haywood County, Tennessee is $50,472 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Haywood County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Haywood County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 31 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.