HarrisDemocratic49.2%3,674TrumpRepublican50.4%3,765OliverLibertarian0.3%19
R+1.2- Lead
- 91
- Total
- 7,463
- vs nation
- D+0.3
- Turnout
- 65.4%
Akashiccounty
Jefferson County, GA
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.4% of 11,524 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic53.1%4,061TrumpRepublican46.3%3,537JorgensenLibertarian0.6%44
D+6.9- Lead
- 524
- Total
- 7,642
- vs nation
- D+2.4
- Turnout
- 66.1%
ClintonDemocratic54.8%3,821TrumpRepublican43.9%3,063JohnsonLibertarian1.0%70
D+10.9- Lead
- 758
- Total
- 6,976
- vs nation
- D+8.8
- Turnout
- 58.3%
ObamaDemocratic58.4%4,261RomneyRepublican41.1%2,999OtherAll other candidates0.6%41
D+17.3- Lead
- 1,262
- Total
- 7,301
- vs nation
- D+13.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic57.4%4,149McCainRepublican42.3%3,061OtherAll other candidates0.3%24
D+15.0- Lead
- 1,088
- Total
- 7,234
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic52.7%3,447BushRepublican46.9%3,066OtherAll other candidates0.4%26
D+5.8- Lead
- 381
- Total
- 6,539
- vs nation
- D+8.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic53.4%2,973BushRepublican46.0%2,559NaderGreen<0.1%2
D+7.4- Lead
- 414
- Total
- 5,566
- vs nation
- D+6.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic58.8%3,404DoleRepublican35.9%2,077PerotReform5.1%298
D+22.9- Lead
- 1,327
- Total
- 5,792
- vs nation
- D+14.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,3412024 5-year
- Population density
- 29 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 527 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,0142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 52.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+90.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Haywood County, TN · twin score 98.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 65.4%7,534 participants ÷ 11,524 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 53.7%–59.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,534 | 11,524 ± 135 | 65.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 6,307 | 11,598 ± 141 | 54.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 7,682 | 11,630 ± 107 | 66.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 6,782 | 11,771 ± 88 | 57.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,987 | 11,983 ± 101 | 58.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 7,301 | 12,532 | 58.3% | Derived | — | |
| 7,234 | 11,893 | 60.8% | Derived | — | |
| 6,539 | 11,254 extrapolated | 58.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Jefferson County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Jefferson County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Amanda Duffy0—
Derrick Jackson0—
Geoff Duncan0—
Jason Esteves0—
Keisha Lance Bottoms0—
Michael "Mike" Thurmond0—
Show all 7 candidates
Olu Brown0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 8 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 7,463 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -00820082 | 1,394 | 1,131 | 8 | 2,533 | 55.0% | 44.7% | D+10.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -00810081 | 921 | 968 | 8 | 1,897 | 48.6% | 51.0% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct -00830083 | 761 | 351 | 2 | 1,114 | 68.3% | 31.5% | D+36.8 |
| Precinct -00770077 | 135 | 347 | 1 | 483 | 28.0% | 71.8% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -14601460 | 158 | 308 | 1 | 467 | 33.8% | 66.0% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -00850085 | 154 | 186 | 1 | 341 | 45.2% | 54.5% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct -00760076 | 107 | 208 | 2 | 317 | 33.8% | 65.6% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -15931593 | 44 | 266 | 1 | 311 | 14.1% | 85.5% | R+71.4 |
presidential history
Party record book
Jefferson County, GA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
94.7%
1,454 votes · D+90.4
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · 91.1%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
70.2%
2,950 votes · R+40.4
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 70.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
4,261votes
58.4% of the vote · D+17.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 4,149 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,765votes
50.4% of the vote · R+1.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,537 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+108.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+82.2 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +83.7 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+62.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.4 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +17.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMax BurnsState Senate · 23
DBrian PrinceState House · 132
Seats representing Jefferson County, GA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 45.1%3,215 | 54.9%3,908 | 7,123 |
| 2020 | D | 52.4%3,834 | 47.6%3,481 | 7,315 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,888 |
| 2018 | 10,844 |
| 2020 | 11,481 |
| 2022 | 11,665 |
| 2024 | 12,020 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−108 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,750 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $37,355 in average income, against $55,011 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.9 on average — 4.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Jefferson County, GA itself (R+1.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Richmond County, GA49D+36.1
- Columbia County, GA27R+25.6
- Burke County, GA25R+9.3
- McDuffie County, GA20R+24.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Richmond County, GA73
- Columbia County, GA28
- Burke County, GA23
- Washington County, GA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −133 |
| 2012 | −442 |
| 2013 | −101 |
| 2014 | −86 |
| 2015 | −190 |
| 2016 | −165 |
| 2017 | −137 |
| 2018 | −151 |
| 2019 | −19 |
| 2021 | −52 |
| 2022 | −53 |
| 2023 | −22 |
| 2024 | −91 |
| 2025 | −108 |
Jefferson County's R+1.2 presidential margin in 2024 makes it among the most competitive rural counties in Georgia, a reflection of its majority-Black population and the cross-cutting pressures that characterize small-town Deep South electorates.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 40.4 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.2 points.
A population of 15,341, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,014 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Haywood County and Hale County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Haywood County
Tennessee
98.1twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory
Hale County
Alabama
97.9twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory
Wilkinson County
Mississippi
97.8twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jefferson County, Georgia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/13163/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Jefferson County, Georgia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jefferson County, Georgia voted Republican by 1.2 points (R+1.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,463 votes cast, 3,674 went Democratic and 3,765 went Republican.
When did Jefferson County, Georgia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jefferson County, Georgia voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Jefferson County, Georgia?
Jefferson County, Georgia has a population of 15,341 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jefferson County, Georgia?
Median household income in Jefferson County, Georgia is $53,014 — below the national median of $80,734. The Georgia state median is $77,353.
What is the political history of Jefferson County, Georgia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jefferson County, Georgia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.