Jefferson County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 25,815 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -3rd White Pine School3rd White Pine School | 537 | 3,213 | 29 | 3,779 | 14.2% | 85.0% | R+70.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -2nd Piedmont Elementary School2nd Piedmont Elementary School | 466 | 2,252 | 16 | 2,734 | 17.0% | 82.4% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -1st Dandridge Elementary School1st Dandridge Elementary School | 507 | 2,145 | 31 | 2,683 | 18.9% | 79.9% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -5th Jefferson County High School5th Jefferson County High School | 482 | 2,087 | 25 | 2,594 | 18.6% | 80.5% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -9th Talbott Elementary School9th Talbott Elementary School | 349 | 2,174 | 23 | 2,546 | 13.7% | 85.4% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct -7th New Market City Hall7th New Market City Hall | 389 | 2,035 | 18 | 2,442 | 15.9% | 83.3% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -6th Rush Strong School6th Rush Strong School | 397 | 1,921 | 26 | 2,344 | 16.9% | 82.0% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -4th Jefferson Elementary School4th Jefferson Elementary School | 481 | 1,593 | 35 | 2,109 | 22.8% | 75.5% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -8-1 Old Chestnut Hill School8-1 Old Chestnut Hill School | 314 | 1,362 | 12 | 1,688 | 18.6% | 80.7% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -10th Jefferson City Fire Dept10th Jefferson City Fire Dept | 399 | 1,164 | 18 | 1,581 | 25.2% | 73.6% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -8-2 Swannsylvania Baptist Church8-2 Swannsylvania Baptist Church | 182 | 1,122 | 11 | 1,315 | 13.8% | 85.3% | R+71.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −42.9% |
| 1896 | −48.7% |
| 1900 | −48.2% |
| 1904 | −51.6% |
| 1908 | −49.1% |
| 1912 | −1.3% |
| 1916 | −51.9% |
| 1920 | −64.7% |
| 1924 | −57.7% |
| 1928 | −71.1% |
| 1932 | −39.2% |
| 1936 | −37.0% |
| 1940 | −28.6% |
| 1944 | −52.9% |
| 1948 | −51.7% |
| 1952 | −57.9% |
| 1956 | −56.3% |
| 1960 | −58.0% |
| 1964 | −30.9% |
| 1968 | −48.9% |
| 1972 | −61.9% |
| 1976 | −15.3% |
| 1980 | −36.2% |
| 1984 | −41.3% |
| 1988 | −36.4% |
| 1992 | −11.7% |
| 1996 | −14.5% |
| 2000 | −24.4% |
| 2004 | −35.8% |
| 2008 | −42.7% |
| 2012 | −50.2% |
| 2016 | −59.2% |
| 2020 | −59.3% |
| 2024 | −64.2% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 30,968 |
| 2018 | 31,725 |
| 2020 | 32,868 |
| 2022 | 34,481 |
| 2024 | 37,890 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,047 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +9,694 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,747 in average income, against $74,671 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.6 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Jefferson County, TN itself (R+64.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Knox County, TN346R+19.5
- Sevier County, TN332R+61.1
- Hamblen County, TN305R+58.9
- Cocke County, TN102R+68.3
- Grainger County, TN69R+73.7
- Blount County, TN39R+47.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hamblen County, TN334
- Knox County, TN275
- Sevier County, TN218
- Cocke County, TN120
- Grainger County, TN53
- Blount County, TN42
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +233 |
| 2012 | +396 |
| 2013 | −117 |
| 2014 | +303 |
| 2015 | +604 |
| 2016 | +260 |
| 2017 | +731 |
| 2018 | +454 |
| 2019 | +661 |
| 2021 | +944 |
| 2022 | +1,373 |
| 2023 | +1,327 |
| 2024 | +1,478 |
| 2025 | +1,047 |
Nestled in the foothills of the Great Smoky Mountains, Jefferson County recorded a 64-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the heavily Republican alignment that now defines much of rural East Tennessee's electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 71.1 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.2 points.
A population of 56,864, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,114 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Walker County and Boone County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jefferson County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.