Johnson County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 8,102 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -5 Doe5 Doe | 152 | 961 | 9 | 1,122 | 13.5% | 85.7% | R+72.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -3B Neva3B Neva | 177 | 920 | 9 | 1,106 | 16.0% | 83.2% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -7 City7 City | 192 | 834 | 11 | 1,037 | 18.5% | 80.4% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -1B Cold Springs1B Cold Springs | 127 | 746 | 7 | 880 | 14.4% | 84.8% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -1A Laurel1A Laurel | 120 | 750 | 4 | 874 | 13.7% | 85.8% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct -4A Dry Run4A Dry Run | 95 | 585 | 4 | 684 | 13.9% | 85.5% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -4B Butler4B Butler | 66 | 604 | 4 | 674 | 9.8% | 89.6% | R+79.8 |
| Precinct -6 Shady6 Shady | 110 | 503 | 5 | 618 | 17.8% | 81.4% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -3A Trade3A Trade | 92 | 463 | 3 | 558 | 16.5% | 83.0% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -2 Forge/Shouns2 Forge/Shouns | 81 | 463 | 5 | 549 | 14.8% | 84.3% | R+69.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −63.6% |
| 1896 | −76.3% |
| 1900 | −78.8% |
| 1904 | −77.5% |
| 1908 | −80.5% |
| 1912 | −30.6% |
| 1916 | −74.7% |
| 1920 | −85.1% |
| 1924 | −83.1% |
| 1928 | −87.9% |
| 1932 | −69.5% |
| 1936 | −68.8% |
| 1940 | −68.4% |
| 1944 | −71.2% |
| 1948 | −68.1% |
| 1952 | −75.3% |
| 1956 | −75.5% |
| 1960 | −73.9% |
| 1964 | −51.4% |
| 1968 | −67.6% |
| 1972 | −75.4% |
| 1976 | −34.0% |
| 1980 | −52.0% |
| 1984 | −58.6% |
| 1988 | −47.0% |
| 1992 | −25.0% |
| 1996 | −26.9% |
| 2000 | −34.1% |
| 2004 | −43.5% |
| 2008 | −42.2% |
| 2012 | −50.5% |
| 2016 | −67.2% |
| 2020 | −66.9% |
| 2024 | −69.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,242 |
| 2018 | 11,220 |
| 2020 | 10,839 |
| 2022 | 11,337 |
| 2024 | 11,961 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+304 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,561 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $68,651 in average income, against $61,253 for residents who stayed — 12% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+28.8 on average — 41 points more Democratic-leaning than Johnson County, TN itself (R+69.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Watauga County, NC37D+6.0
- Carter County, TN29R+63.2
- Washington County, TN27R+39.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Carter County, TN33
- Washington County, TN24
- Sullivan County, TN22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −25 |
| 2012 | +4 |
| 2013 | −72 |
| 2014 | +16 |
| 2015 | −37 |
| 2016 | +18 |
| 2017 | −33 |
| 2018 | +257 |
| 2019 | +104 |
| 2021 | +201 |
| 2022 | +130 |
| 2023 | +440 |
| 2024 | +254 |
| 2025 | +304 |
Nestled in the Blue Ridge highlands along the North Carolina border, Johnson County delivered a 69-point Republican margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps in a state already dominated by rural conservative voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 87.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.3 points.
A population of 18,196, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,129 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rockcastle County and Caldwell County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Johnson County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47091/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.