Lincoln County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 16,128 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -FayettevilleFayetteville | 319 | 915 | 15 | 1,249 | 25.5% | 73.3% | R+47.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LibertyLiberty | 177 | 950 | 14 | 1,141 | 15.5% | 83.3% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -LincolnLincoln | 143 | 990 | 5 | 1,138 | 12.6% | 87.0% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -MaranathaMaranatha | 170 | 908 | 9 | 1,087 | 15.6% | 83.5% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -1st Nat'l Bank1st Nat'l Bank | 156 | 852 | 4 | 1,012 | 15.4% | 84.2% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -Cash PointCash Point | 125 | 776 | 7 | 908 | 13.8% | 85.5% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct -McBurgMcBurg | 127 | 772 | 6 | 905 | 14.0% | 85.3% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct -CalvaryCalvary | 138 | 754 | 3 | 895 | 15.4% | 84.2% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -FlintvilleFlintville | 83 | 730 | 5 | 818 | 10.1% | 89.2% | R+79.1 |
| Precinct -Rec CenterRec Center | 251 | 552 | 11 | 814 | 30.8% | 67.8% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -Howell HillHowell Hill | 132 | 677 | 3 | 812 | 16.3% | 83.4% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -HowellHowell | 116 | 610 | 8 | 734 | 15.8% | 83.1% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -KirklandKirkland | 93 | 608 | 8 | 709 | 13.1% | 85.8% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -EloraElora | 96 | 595 | 6 | 697 | 13.8% | 85.4% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -West End Baptist ChurchWest End Baptist Church | 285 | 292 | 9 | 586 | 48.6% | 49.8% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct -PetersburgPetersburg | 82 | 491 | 7 | 580 | 14.1% | 84.7% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -TaftTaft | 82 | 495 | 3 | 580 | 14.1% | 85.3% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -MulberryMulberry | 88 | 443 | 8 | 539 | 16.3% | 82.2% | R+65.9 |
| Precinct -BellevilleBelleville | 58 | 406 | 4 | 468 | 12.4% | 86.8% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -Gum SpringsGum Springs | 61 | 392 | 3 | 456 | 13.4% | 86.0% | R+72.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +45.3% |
| 1896 | +51.5% |
| 1900 | +50.8% |
| 1904 | +50.7% |
| 1908 | +52.6% |
| 1912 | +57.7% |
| 1916 | +66.7% |
| 1920 | +38.5% |
| 1924 | +72.8% |
| 1928 | +52.3% |
| 1932 | +81.9% |
| 1936 | +77.7% |
| 1940 | +75.6% |
| 1944 | +73.3% |
| 1948 | +63.8% |
| 1952 | +46.2% |
| 1956 | +56.7% |
| 1960 | +54.2% |
| 1964 | +47.5% |
| 1968 | +9.4% |
| 1972 | −26.5% |
| 1976 | +53.3% |
| 1980 | +30.1% |
| 1984 | +1.5% |
| 1988 | −7.7% |
| 1992 | +12.1% |
| 1996 | −1.9% |
| 2000 | −3.5% |
| 2004 | −26.4% |
| 2008 | −42.2% |
| 2012 | −49.1% |
| 2016 | −58.8% |
| 2020 | −60.0% |
| 2024 | −64.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,817 |
| 2018 | 20,215 |
| 2020 | 21,845 |
| 2022 | 22,870 |
| 2024 | 24,424 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+156 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,242 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,722 in average income, against $68,944 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+35.5 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, TN itself (R+64.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Madison County, AL189R+8.9
- Franklin County, TN64R+53.2
- Marshall County, TN47R+56.6
- Giles County, TN43R+55.0
- Rutherford County, TN38R+21.8
- Bedford County, TN37R+58.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Madison County, AL208
- Franklin County, TN49
- Giles County, TN47
- Rutherford County, TN37
- Limestone County, AL36
- Marshall County, TN33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2 |
| 2012 | +44 |
| 2013 | +176 |
| 2014 | −8 |
| 2015 | +206 |
| 2016 | +25 |
| 2017 | +324 |
| 2018 | +348 |
| 2019 | +212 |
| 2021 | +272 |
| 2022 | +705 |
| 2023 | +215 |
| 2024 | +565 |
| 2025 | +156 |
Lincoln County, anchored by Fayetteville in south-central Tennessee, recorded an R+64.7 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most decisively one-sided rural counties in a era of widening small-town partisan gaps.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.6 points.
A population of 35,946, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,667 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Claiborne County and Cherokee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lincoln County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.