Lincoln County, Tennessee: Evangelical Deep South county. In 2024, voted R+65%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
- Population
- 35,9462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,6672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Etowah County, AL · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lincoln CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lincoln County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +45.3% |
| 1896 | +51.5% |
| 1900 | +50.8% |
| 1904 | +50.7% |
| 1908 | +52.6% |
| 1912 | +57.7% |
| 1916 | +66.7% |
| 1920 | +38.5% |
| 1924 | +72.8% |
| 1928 | +52.3% |
| 1932 | +81.9% |
| 1936 | +77.7% |
| 1940 | +75.6% |
| 1944 | +73.3% |
| 1948 | +63.8% |
| 1952 | +46.2% |
| 1956 | +56.7% |
| 1960 | +54.2% |
| 1964 | +47.5% |
| 1968 | +9.4% |
| 1972 | −26.5% |
| 1976 | +53.3% |
| 1980 | +30.1% |
| 1984 | +1.5% |
| 1988 | −7.7% |
| 1992 | +12.1% |
| 1996 | −1.9% |
| 2000 | −3.5% |
| 2004 | −26.4% |
| 2008 | −42.2% |
| 2012 | −49.1% |
| 2016 | −58.8% |
| 2020 | −60.0% |
| 2024 | −64.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,782 | 13,208 | 16,128 | ||
| R | 2,919 | 12,281 | 15,608 | ||
| R | 2,554 | 10,398 | 13,348 | ||
| R | 3,290 | 9,803 | 13,268 | ||
| R | 3,695 | 9,231 | 13,130 | ||
| R | 4,546 | 7,829 | 12,457 | ||
| R | 5,060 | 5,435 | 10,659 | ||
| R | 4,361 | 4,551 | 9,747 | ||
| D | 5,063 | 3,814 | 10,302 | ||
| R | 3,672 | 4,288 | 8,017 | ||
| D | 4,103 | 3,982 | 8,114 | ||
| D | 5,387 | 2,856 | 8,409 | ||
| D | 5,732 | 1,724 | 7,518 | ||
| R | 1,867 | 3,266 | 5,281 | ||
| O | 1,848 | 1,167 | 7,229 | ||
| D | 4,861 | 1,728 | 6,589 | ||
| D | 4,862 | 1,428 | 6,338 | ||
| D | 4,434 | 1,207 | 5,692 | ||
| D | 4,510 | 1,654 | 6,177 | ||
| D | 2,969 | 361 | 4,088 | ||
| D | 3,735 | 573 | 4,316 | ||
| D | 3,781 | 521 | 4,315 | ||
| D | 3,451 | 430 | 3,888 | ||
| D | 3,095 | 288 | 3,429 | ||
| D | 2,377 | 743 | 3,127 | ||
| D | 2,356 | 357 | 2,744 | ||
| D | 2,463 | 1,091 | 3,560 | ||
| D | 2,791 | 552 | 3,357 | ||
| D | 2,651 | 672 | 3,431 | ||
| D | 2,311 | 692 | 3,080 | ||
| D | 2,227 | 631 | 3,149 | ||
| D | 2,463 | 728 | 3,412 | ||
| D | 3,269 | 992 | 4,421 | ||
| D | 2,429 | 590 | 4,060 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
16.3%
English
15.3%
Irish
8.7%
German
6.3%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.1%
Polish
1.0%
African American
4.5%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$64,667
Lincoln County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lincoln County$64,667
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Lincoln County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.6%
Working age (18–64)11.7%
Seniors (65+)14.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.1%
speak English only
Spanish1.6%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lincoln County, anchored by Fayetteville in south-central Tennessee, recorded an R+64.7 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most decisively one-sided rural counties in a era of widening small-town partisan gaps.
The Republican margin here reached its widest at sixty-five points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-five points.
A median household income of $64,667, a 13% poverty rate, and a 85% non-Hispanic-white share describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Etowah County and Bell County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Tennessee
More evangelical deep south counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Lincoln County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln County, Tennessee voted Republican by 64.6 points (R+65), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,128 votes cast, 2,782 went Democratic and 13,208 went Republican.
What is Lincoln County, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Lincoln County, Tennessee in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology — Deeply Republican, heavily Baptist counties of the Deep South. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Lincoln County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Lincoln County, Tennessee?
Lincoln County, Tennessee has a population of 35,946 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Lincoln County, Tennessee is $64,667 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Lincoln County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The county's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.