HarrisDemocratic20.4%19,054TrumpRepublican78.6%73,528OtherAll other candidates1.0%952
R+58.2- Lead
- 54,474
- Total
- 93,534
- vs nation
- R+56.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Tennessee 16th State Senate District
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic22.5%20,152TrumpRepublican75.5%67,480OtherAll other candidates2.0%1,774
R+52.9- Lead
- 47,328
- Total
- 89,406
- vs nation
- R+57.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic23.7%17,776TrumpRepublican72.9%54,699OtherAll other candidates3.4%2,585
R+49.2- Lead
- 36,923
- Total
- 75,060
- vs nation
- R+51.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic32.3%23,335RomneyRepublican66.0%47,760OtherAll other candidates1.7%1,242
R+33.8- Lead
- 24,425
- Total
- 72,337
- vs nation
- R+37.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic35.8%27,761McCainRepublican62.3%48,234OtherAll other candidates1.9%1,461
R+26.4- Lead
- 20,473
- Total
- 77,456
- vs nation
- R+33.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic44.1%33,636BushRepublican55.2%42,048OtherAll other candidates0.7%526
R+11.0- Lead
- 8,412
- Total
- 76,210
- vs nation
- R+8.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic53.2%35,747BushRepublican45.1%30,301OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,089
D+8.1- Lead
- 5,446
- Total
- 67,137
- vs nation
- D+7.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic52.0%31,443DoleRepublican39.6%23,903OtherAll other candidates8.4%5,069
D+12.5- Lead
- 7,540
- Total
- 60,415
- vs nation
- D+4.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 210,5442024 5-year
- Population density
- 79 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,651 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,4282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.7 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 23, TN · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
84.9%
10,890 votes · D+69.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 80.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.6%
73,528 votes · R+58.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
35,943votes
55.3% of the vote · D+23.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 35,747 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73,528votes
78.6% of the vote · R+58.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 67,480 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+69.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +56.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+57.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.9 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +56.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJanice BowlingState Senate · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 20.4%16,742 | 79.6%65,472 | 82,214 |
| 2020 | R | 24.4%14,417 | 75.6%44,644 | 59,061 |
Tennessee 16th State Senate District sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.7 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.2 points.
A population of 210,544, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,428 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 23 and State Senate District 12.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 23
Tennessee
98.4twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
State Senate District 12
Tennessee
98.3twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
State Senate District 15
Tennessee
98.1twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tennessee 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Tennessee 16th State Senate District
Frequently asked questions
How did Tennessee 16th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tennessee 16th State Senate District voted Republican by 58.2 points (R+58.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 93,534 votes cast, 19,054 went Democratic and 73,528 went Republican.
When did Tennessee 16th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tennessee 16th State Senate District voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Tennessee 16th State Senate District?
Tennessee 16th State Senate District has a population of 210,544 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tennessee 16th State Senate District?
Median household income in Tennessee 16th State Senate District is $59,428 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tennessee 16th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tennessee 16th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.