HarrisDemocratic38.5%2,117TrumpRepublican60.6%3,335OtherAll other candidates0.3%15
R+22.1- Lead
- 1,218
- Total
- 5,501
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Turnout
- 70.4%
Akashiccounty
Cumberland County, VA
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.4% of 7,870 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic41.9%2,227TrumpRepublican56.9%3,019JorgensenLibertarian1.0%53
R+14.9- Lead
- 792
- Total
- 5,310
- vs nation
- R+19.4
- Turnout
- 67.4%
ClintonDemocratic41.5%2,036TrumpRepublican55.0%2,697JohnsonLibertarian1.9%95
R+13.5- Lead
- 661
- Total
- 4,906
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- 63.9%
ObamaDemocratic48.0%2,422RomneyRepublican50.3%2,538OtherAll other candidates1.7%88
R+2.3- Lead
- 116
- Total
- 5,048
- vs nation
- R+6.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic47.7%2,255McCainRepublican51.2%2,418OtherAll other candidates1.1%51
R+3.5- Lead
- 163
- Total
- 4,724
- vs nation
- R+10.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.7%1,721BushRepublican57.6%2,377OtherAll other candidates0.7%28
R+15.9- Lead
- 656
- Total
- 4,126
- vs nation
- R+13.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic40.1%1,405BushRepublican56.3%1,974NaderGreen1.0%35
R+16.2- Lead
- 569
- Total
- 3,507
- vs nation
- R+16.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic40.8%1,303DoleRepublican48.4%1,544PerotReform8.6%275
R+7.6- Lead
- 241
- Total
- 3,190
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,8182024 5-year
- Population density
- 33 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 298 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $55,3252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 29.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.8 in 1988MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Conecuh County, AL · twin score 86.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 70.4%5,543 participants ÷ 7,870 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 49.9%–55.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,543 | 7,870 ± 139 | 70.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,642 | 7,775 ± 53 | 46.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,339 | 7,920 ± 105 | 67.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,245 | 7,813 ± 109 | 54.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,933 | 7,722 ± 79 | 63.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,048 | 7,577 | 66.6% | Derived | — | |
| 4,724 | 7,174 | 65.8% | Derived | — | |
| 4,126 | 6,771 extrapolated | 60.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Cumberland County only. The complete district District 5 result is shown below for comparison.
Cumberland County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Rob W. "T-ski" Tracinski0—
Suzanne K. "Dr. K" Krzyzanowski0—
Tom S. P. Perriello0—
District District 5 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 10 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 5,501 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -101 - PRECINCT 1101 - PRECINCT 1 | 395 | 805 | 6 | 1,206 | 32.8% | 66.7% | R+34.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -201 - PRECINCT 2201 - PRECINCT 2 | 367 | 752 | 9 | 1,128 | 32.5% | 66.7% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -401 - PRECINCT 4401 - PRECINCT 4 | 372 | 729 | 9 | 1,110 | 33.5% | 65.7% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -301 - PRECINCT 3301 - PRECINCT 3 | 552 | 542 | 10 | 1,104 | 50.0% | 49.1% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -501 - PRECINCT 5501 - PRECINCT 5 | 431 | 507 | 15 | 953 | 45.2% | 53.2% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct 151049000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 251049000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 351049000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 451049000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 551049000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Cumberland County, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
89.6%
362 votes · D+87.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 85.9%
Republican
George H. W. Bush1988
62.6%
1,978 votes · R+26.8
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 60.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
2,422votes
48.0% of the vote · R+2.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,255 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,335votes
60.6% of the vote · R+22.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,019 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+94.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.2 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +92.0 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+34.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+11.5 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +20.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RLuther CifersState Senate · 10
RTom GarrettState House · 56
Seats representing Cumberland County, VA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,920 |
| 2018 | 6,892 |
| 2020 | 7,196 |
| 2022 | 7,381 |
| 2024 | 7,664 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+177 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +573 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,157 in average income, against $59,262 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.5 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Cumberland County, VA itself (R+22.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Prince Edward County, VA55R+2.6
- Powhatan County, VA36R+43.9
- Chesterfield County, VA31D+8.9
- Buckingham County, VA26R+23.5
- Henrico County, VA26D+28.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Prince Edward County, VA54
- Chesterfield County, VA47
- Buckingham County, VA32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −66 |
| 2012 | −180 |
| 2013 | +10 |
| 2014 | −11 |
| 2015 | −119 |
| 2016 | −4 |
| 2017 | +91 |
| 2018 | +33 |
| 2019 | +110 |
| 2021 | +73 |
| 2022 | +85 |
| 2023 | +166 |
| 2024 | +208 |
| 2025 | +177 |
Cumberland sits in Virginia's rural Piedmont with fewer than 10,000 residents, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+22.2 reflects a long-running pattern of lopsided results in low-density counties west of Richmond.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 26.8 points in 1988. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.1 points.
A population of 9,818, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,325 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Conecuh County and Tensas Parish.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Conecuh County
Alabama
86.7twin score
% Catholic2012–2020 trajectory≠ % Black
Tensas Parish
Louisiana
86.1twin score
% Catholic2012 margin% Latino≠ 2000 margin
Screven County
Georgia
85.4twin score
% Black% Catholic2016 margin≠ Irish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cumberland County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Cumberland County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Cumberland County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cumberland County, Virginia voted Republican by 22.1 points (R+22.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,501 votes cast, 2,117 went Democratic and 3,335 went Republican.
When did Cumberland County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cumberland County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Cumberland County, Virginia?
Cumberland County, Virginia has a population of 9,818 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cumberland County, Virginia?
Median household income in Cumberland County, Virginia is $55,325 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Cumberland County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cumberland County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.