Lancaster County, Virginia: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1916.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 10,9362024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,7132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 25.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ada County, ID · similarity 0.98
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lancaster CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lancaster County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +4.6% |
| 1896 | +28.0% |
| 1900 | +31.2% |
| 1904 | +57.1% |
| 1908 | +57.7% |
| 1912 | +68.0% |
| 1916 | +77.2% |
| 1920 | +48.7% |
| 1924 | +71.0% |
| 1928 | −24.6% |
| 1932 | +39.6% |
| 1936 | +36.2% |
| 1940 | +38.0% |
| 1944 | +26.0% |
| 1948 | +8.6% |
| 1952 | −23.8% |
| 1956 | −51.6% |
| 1960 | −19.8% |
| 1964 | −8.2% |
| 1968 | −13.9% |
| 1972 | −42.5% |
| 1976 | −19.6% |
| 1980 | −26.6% |
| 1984 | −36.8% |
| 1988 | −36.3% |
| 1992 | −18.6% |
| 1996 | −17.7% |
| 2000 | −27.0% |
| 2004 | −20.0% |
| 2008 | −5.9% |
| 2012 | −8.7% |
| 2016 | −9.8% |
| 2020 | −4.6% |
| 2024 | −7.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,355 | 3,866 | 7,313 | ||
| R | 3,368 | 3,697 | 7,152 | ||
| R | 2,869 | 3,523 | 6,645 | ||
| R | 3,149 | 3,753 | 6,961 | ||
| R | 3,235 | 3,647 | 6,938 | ||
| R | 2,477 | 3,724 | 6,230 | ||
| R | 1,937 | 3,411 | 5,455 | ||
| R | 1,844 | 2,709 | 4,893 | ||
| R | 1,812 | 2,841 | 5,528 | ||
| R | 1,551 | 3,380 | 5,043 | ||
| R | 1,559 | 3,416 | 5,044 | ||
| R | 1,567 | 2,780 | 4,557 | ||
| R | 1,581 | 2,381 | 4,074 | ||
| R | 658 | 1,675 | 2,391 | ||
| R | 1,134 | 1,640 | 3,650 | ||
| R | 904 | 1,065 | 1,975 | ||
| R | 895 | 1,340 | 2,250 | ||
| R | 373 | 1,380 | 1,953 | ||
| R | 753 | 1,228 | 1,997 | ||
| D | 560 | 459 | 1,174 | ||
| D | 666 | 390 | 1,061 | ||
| D | 711 | 317 | 1,036 | ||
| D | 689 | 322 | 1,014 | ||
| D | 639 | 272 | 927 | ||
| R | 315 | 520 | 835 | ||
| D | 564 | 90 | 668 | ||
| D | 404 | 138 | 546 | ||
| D | 461 | 58 | 522 | ||
| D | 479 | 82 | 584 | ||
| D | 468 | 122 | 600 | ||
| D | 350 | 93 | 450 | ||
| D | 971 | 508 | 1,486 | ||
| D | 1,073 | 599 | 1,692 | ||
| D | 983 | 896 | 1,895 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
20.4%
English
17.5%
German
10.2%
Irish
8.0%
Italian
3.0%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.9%
African American
20.5%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 58.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,713
Lancaster County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lancaster County$69,713
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Lancaster County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.3%
Working age (18–64)8.3%
Seniors (65+)9.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.6%
speak English only
Spanish1.5%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lancaster sits at the tip of Virginia's Northern Neck peninsula, where a largely rural, retirement-age population has shifted the county steadily rightward over the past two decades, landing at R+7 in 2024.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached seventy-seven points in 1916; the Republican margin reached fifty-two points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seven points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $69,713, and a 10% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ada County and Fluvanna County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lancaster County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lancaster County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lancaster County, Virginia voted Republican by 7.0 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,313 votes cast, 3,355 went Democratic and 3,866 went Republican.
What is Lancaster County, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Lancaster County, Virginia in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology — Mid-size industrial metros with Catholic ethnic roots — among the most competitive, swing-prone ground in the country. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lancaster County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lancaster County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Lancaster County, Virginia?
Lancaster County, Virginia has a population of 10,936 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lancaster County, Virginia?
Median household income in Lancaster County, Virginia is $69,713 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Lancaster County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lancaster County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The county's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.